Clubs Compare

Manchester United vs Newcastle

Real strength. Different football profiles.

Newcastle

Premier League · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power71.1
The football profile

Club DNA

Manchester UnitedNewcastle

Strength Profile · Current

Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Manchester United · Power 79.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 72.1 ptsManchester United · Defence 79.5 ptsManchester United · Form 37.5 ptsManchester United · Consistency 58.0 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 82.3 % Newcastle · Power 71.1 ptsNewcastle · Attack 60.8 ptsNewcastle · Defence 61.4 ptsNewcastle · Form 35.1 ptsNewcastle · Consistency 54.3 ptsNewcastle · Squad Availability 93.0 % Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Manchester United · Power 79.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 72.1 ptsManchester United · Defence 79.5 ptsManchester United · Form 37.5 ptsManchester United · Consistency 58.0 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 82.3 % Newcastle · Power 71.1 ptsNewcastle · Attack 60.8 ptsNewcastle · Defence 61.4 ptsNewcastle · Form 35.1 ptsNewcastle · Consistency 54.3 ptsNewcastle · Squad Availability 93.0 %
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

79.4Power71.1
Manchester United +8.3 pts
72.1Attack60.8
Manchester United +11.3 pts
79.5Defence61.4
Manchester United +18.1 pts
37.5Form35.1
Manchester United +2.4 pts
58.0Consistency54.3
Manchester United +3.7 pts
82.3%Squad Availability93.0%
Newcastle +10.7 pp

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Manchester United holds the defensive advantage.
  • Manchester United has the stronger attacking profile.
  • Manchester United has the higher Power rating.
  • Newcastle had more of its weighted squad available for its last completed match.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Manchester United · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 3 pre-match / 17 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 18 Oct 2026

Newcastle · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 2 pre-match / 18 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 17 Oct 2026

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Manchester United · Current gap SD 1.26 points · mean gap -0.02 · Full window

Newcastle · Current gap SD 1.37 points · mean gap -0.16 · Full window

Playing Style · Current

Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 53.1 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 59.7 %Manchester United · On target share 31.3 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 5.6 corners/90 Newcastle · Possession 52.5 %Newcastle · Pass accuracy 84.0 %Newcastle · Shots in the box 59.2 %Newcastle · On target share 32.3 %Newcastle · Shot Frequency 2.7 shots/100 passesNewcastle · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 53.1 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 59.7 %Manchester United · On target share 31.3 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 5.6 corners/90 Newcastle · Possession 52.5 %Newcastle · Pass accuracy 84.0 %Newcastle · Shots in the box 59.2 %Newcastle · On target share 32.3 %Newcastle · Shot Frequency 2.7 shots/100 passesNewcastle · Corner Pressure 4.8 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

53.1%Possession52.5%
Manchester United +0.6 pp
86.5%Pass accuracy84.0%
Manchester United +2.5 pp
59.7%Shots in the box59.2%
Manchester United +0.5 pp
31.3%On target share32.3%
Newcastle +1.0 pp
3.5Shot Frequency2.7
Manchester United +0.7 shots/100 passes
5.6Corner Pressure4.8
Manchester United +0.8 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Manchester United · Window 10 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Newcastle · Window 10 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Strength Profile · Season Average

Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Manchester United · Power 81.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 77.9 ptsManchester United · Defence 77.2 ptsManchester United · Form 53.7 ptsManchester United · Consistency 55.9 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 80.1 % Newcastle · Power 75.2 ptsNewcastle · Form 65.1 ptsNewcastle · Consistency 54.1 pts Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Manchester United · Power 81.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 77.9 ptsManchester United · Defence 77.2 ptsManchester United · Form 53.7 ptsManchester United · Consistency 55.9 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 80.1 % Newcastle · Power 75.2 ptsNewcastle · Form 65.1 ptsNewcastle · Consistency 54.1 pts
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

81.4Power75.2
Manchester United +6.2 pts
77.9Attack—
Shared data unavailable
77.2Defence—
Shared data unavailable
53.7Form65.1
Newcastle +11.4 pts
55.9Consistency54.1
Manchester United +1.8 pts
80.1%Squad Availability—
Shared data unavailable

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Newcastle has the higher average Form value.
  • Manchester United has the higher average Power value.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Manchester United · Power 9 · Attack 3 · Defence 3 · Form 6 · Consistency 9 · Squad Availability 3 · 3 pre-match / 6 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

Newcastle · Power 7 · Attack 2 · Defence 2 · Form 4 · Consistency 7 · Squad Availability 2 · 2 pre-match / 5 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Manchester United · Current gap SD 1.26 points · mean gap -0.02 · Full window

Newcastle · Current gap SD 1.37 points · mean gap -0.16 · Full window

Playing Style · Season Average

Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 54.7 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.4 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 55.3 %Manchester United · On target share 25.5 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.8 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 6.1 corners/90 Newcastle · Possession 51.6 %Newcastle · Pass accuracy 83.5 %Newcastle · Shots in the box 61.6 %Newcastle · On target share 29.1 %Newcastle · Shot Frequency 2.9 shots/100 passesNewcastle · Corner Pressure 4.6 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 54.7 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.4 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 55.3 %Manchester United · On target share 25.5 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.8 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 6.1 corners/90 Newcastle · Possession 51.6 %Newcastle · Pass accuracy 83.5 %Newcastle · Shots in the box 61.6 %Newcastle · On target share 29.1 %Newcastle · Shot Frequency 2.9 shots/100 passesNewcastle · Corner Pressure 4.6 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

54.7%Possession51.6%
Manchester United +3.1 pp
86.4%Pass accuracy83.5%
Manchester United +2.9 pp
55.3%Shots in the box61.6%
Newcastle +6.3 pp
25.5%On target share29.1%
Newcastle +3.6 pp
3.8Shot Frequency2.9
Manchester United +0.9 shots/100 passes
6.1Corner Pressure4.6
Manchester United +1.6 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Manchester United · Window 7 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Newcastle · Window 7 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

The season so far

Historical Trend

Power · 0–100

Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.

Season Power historyAvailable pre-match Power observations and historical Elo backfills. Lines connect observations, not daily measurements. Exact dates and values are available in the table below. 0255075100 Manchester United · 2026-08-22 11:30:00 UTC · 83.7 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-08-30 15:30:00 UTC · 81.4 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-06 13:00:00 UTC · 81.9 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-10 19:00:00 UTC · 81.8 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-13 15:30:00 UTC · 82.1 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-20 15:30:00 UTC · 81.1 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-10-10 16:30:00 UTC · 81 · pre Manchester United · 2026-10-13 19:00:00 UTC · 80.4 · pre Manchester United · 2026-10-18 13:00:00 UTC · 79.2 · pre Newcastle · 2026-08-23 15:30:00 UTC · 75.3 · backfill Newcastle · 2026-08-29 16:30:00 UTC · 75.1 · backfill Newcastle · 2026-09-05 11:30:00 UTC · 76.9 · backfill Newcastle · 2026-09-14 19:00:00 UTC · 76.6 · backfill Newcastle · 2026-09-19 14:00:00 UTC · 74.9 · backfill Newcastle · 2026-10-12 19:00:00 UTC · 75.2 · pre Newcastle · 2026-10-17 16:30:00 UTC · 72.5 · pre 22 Aug 202618 Oct 2026
Manchester UnitedNewcastle
View history data and coverage
ClubDate (UTC)PowerSource
Manchester United2026-08-22 11:30:0083.7Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-08-30 15:30:0081.4Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-06 13:00:0081.9Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-10 19:00:0081.8Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-13 15:30:0082.1Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-20 15:30:0081.1Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-10-10 16:30:0081.0Saved pre-match
Manchester United2026-10-13 19:00:0080.4Saved pre-match
Manchester United2026-10-18 13:00:0079.2Saved pre-match
Newcastle2026-08-23 15:30:0075.3Historical Elo backfill
Newcastle2026-08-29 16:30:0075.1Historical Elo backfill
Newcastle2026-09-05 11:30:0076.9Historical Elo backfill
Newcastle2026-09-14 19:00:0076.6Historical Elo backfill
Newcastle2026-09-19 14:00:0074.9Historical Elo backfill
Newcastle2026-10-12 19:00:0075.2Saved pre-match
Newcastle2026-10-17 16:30:0072.5Saved pre-match
Chances, finishing & results

Efficiency

From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.

Last 10

Manchester United
Newcastle
ConversionGoals / shots · %
9.7% 10/10 covered
11.3% 10/10 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
69.4% 9/10 covered
68.4% 10/10 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.12 9/10 covered
+0.21 10/10 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-0.04 9/10 covered
-0.20 10/10 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.091 9/10 covered
0.096 10/10 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
17.6 10/10 covered
12.4 10/10 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.63 7/7 covered
1.19 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.34 7/7 covered
1.74 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.00 7/7 league matches
1.14 7/7 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
-4.20 5/5 Form window
-3.27 5/5 Form window

Manchester United · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · L · D · D · L

Newcastle · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · L · W · L · D

League season

Manchester United
Newcastle
ConversionGoals / shots · %
7.3% 7/7 covered
11.6% 7/7 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
67.7% 7/7 covered
62.2% 7/7 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.20 7/7 covered
+0.24 7/7 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
-0.09 7/7 covered
-0.26 7/7 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.083 7/7 covered
0.097 7/7 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
19.6 7/7 covered
12.3 7/7 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.63 7/7 covered
1.19 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.34 7/7 covered
1.74 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
1.00 7/7 league matches
1.14 7/7 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
-4.20 5/5 Form window
-3.27 5/5 Form window

Manchester United · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · L · D · D · L

Newcastle · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results L · L · W · L · D

Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.

Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.

About this comparison

Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →