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UEFA Europa League · 140 signals · 34 clubs in this view
Bayer LeverkusenWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score72/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 5
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +3.5
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.10
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 73.3
- Recency
- 64.4
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 50.9
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
BenficaGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.26
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 84.0
- Recency
- 43.7
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
NEC NijmegenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score67/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −6.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.55
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.1
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 64.4
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 57.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 11; xPts 17.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Union St. GilloiseDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score62/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/10
- Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.44
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 67.2
- Recency
- 43.7
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Real SociedadGoals at both endsInsight Score58/100
Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Both teams scoredLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 80%
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.44
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 54.4
- Recency
- 48.3
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Both teams scored — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals140 signals · 34 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Rennes
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.8
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Le MansH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AngersA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | MarseilleH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Sturm GrazA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | LyonA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | AuxerreH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | OFIH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Paris FCA | 3–4L | Yes |
Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.0
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | FC ThunA | 1–1D |
| 2026-07-28 | FC ThunH | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-04 | Kauno ŽalgirisH | 5–0W |
| 2026-08-11 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-18 | VikingH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-26 | VikingA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-16 | Hapoel Beer ShevaA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-15 | AnderlechtH | 1–0W |
AC Milan
Clean sheets
3
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 13.4
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | TorinoA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-28 | VeneziaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | JuventusA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-12 | LazioA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | BenficaH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | LecceH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | SassuoloA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Red Bull SalzburgA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | AtalantaH | 3–2W | No |
Real Sociedad
xG difference per match
−0.44
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG26
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 29.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.28
- xG against
- 1.72
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace
Points below expected
−1.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 10; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 15.0
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 10.0
- xPts
- 11.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.2
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W | No |
Rennes
xG difference per match
+0.21
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG21
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.12; xG against 1.91. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 14.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.12
- xG against
- 1.91
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Plzen
xG difference per match
−0.39
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG25
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.97; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 26.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.97
- xG against
- 1.36
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Juventus
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 13.1
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FrosinoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | ParmaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | AC MilanH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | SassuoloA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | NEC NijmegenH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AtalantaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | CagliariA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Celta VigoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | LazioH | 0–3L |
Dinamo Zagreb
xG difference per match
−0.38
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG25
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.58. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 25.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.20
- xG against
- 1.58
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.2
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | OsasunaH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletic ClubH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-03 | Real SociedadA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | GetafeA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-13 | MalagaH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Omonia NicosiaA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Racing SantanderH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | ElcheA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | JuventusH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-10-18 | AlavesH | 2–1W | No |
Dinamo Zagreb
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | FC ThunA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | FC ThunH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | Kauno ŽalgirisH | 5–0W | No |
| 2026-08-11 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | VikingH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | VikingA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Hapoel Beer ShevaA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | AnderlechtH | 1–0W | No |
Celtic
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.2
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W | No |
Crystal Palace
xG difference per match
−0.34
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG24
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.52; xG against 1.86. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 22.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.52
- xG against
- 1.86
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celje
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.5
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Egnatia RrogozhinëA | 3–3D |
| 2026-07-28 | Egnatia RrogozhinëH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-04 | Ararat-ArmeniaA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-11 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-19 | Slovan BratislavaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-26 | Slovan BratislavaH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-16 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Omonia NicosiaH | 0–3L |
Celje
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.9
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Egnatia RrogozhinëA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | Egnatia RrogozhinëH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | Ararat-ArmeniaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-19 | Slovan BratislavaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | Slovan BratislavaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Omonia NicosiaH | 0–3L | No |
Ararat-Armenia
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.2
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | RigaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | RigaA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-07-21 | Shamrock RoversH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock RoversA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-04 | CeljeH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-11 | CeljeA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Universitatea CraiovaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Sparta PrahaH | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | JagielloniaA | 1–3L | No |
Lech Poznan
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores45
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 11.5
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | AarhusA | 4–1W |
| 2026-07-29 | AarhusH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-06 | KI KlaksvikH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-14 | KI KlaksvikA | 5–0W |
| 2026-08-20 | FC ThunH | 7–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | FC ThunA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Crystal PalaceA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 0–4L |
Red Bull Salzburg
xG difference per match
−0.29
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG23
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.35; xG against 1.64. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 19.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.35
- xG against
- 1.64
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sturm Graz
xG difference per match
−0.29
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG23
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.16; xG against 1.45. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 19.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.16
- xG against
- 1.45
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | UtrechtA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Fortuna SittardA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 5–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | HeerenveenA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Willem IIH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | SunderlandA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | TelstarH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FeyenoordA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Hapoel Beer ShevaH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | CambuurA | 2–2D | Yes |
Marseille
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.9
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | StrasbourgH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | MonacoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | Paris FCH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-11 | RennesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-17 | BesiktasA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-20 | Paris Saint GermainH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Estac TroyesA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympiakos PiraeusH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-18 | AngersA | 5–2W |
Benfica
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W | Yes |
Crystal Palace
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.9
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | EvertonA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | Manchester CityH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | IpswichH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | Lech PoznanH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | LeedsA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-11 | Nottingham ForestH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | LyonA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | BrightonA | 0–5L |
Lyon
xG difference per match
−0.25
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG22
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.32; xG against 1.57. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 16.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.32
- xG against
- 1.57
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Rennes
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.9
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-30 | Le MansH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | AngersA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-11 | MarseilleH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | Sturm GrazA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-19 | LyonA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-11 | AuxerreH | 4–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | OFIH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | Paris FCA | 3–4L |
Celtic
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W | Yes |
Marseille
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.9
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | StrasbourgH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | MonacoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | Paris FCH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-11 | RennesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-17 | BesiktasA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-20 | Paris Saint GermainH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Estac TroyesA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympiakos PiraeusH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-18 | AngersA | 5–2W |
Ferencvarosi TC
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Sunderland
Goals conceded per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores48
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.9
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | IpswichA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | FulhamH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | BrentfordA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-12 | ArsenalH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-16 | AZ AlkmaarH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester CityA | 3–5L |
| 2026-10-10 | BrightonH | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | TorreenseA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | BournemouthA | 0–2L |
Besiktas
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 99.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AlanyasporA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | Çorum FKH | 6–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FenerbahceA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | MarseilleH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AmedA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | KocaelisporH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–2L | No |
1899 Hoffenheim
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores46
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 7.0
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FC KölnA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia DortmundH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB StuttgartH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | OFIA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SVH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-15 | BesiktasH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 2–1W |
Jagiellonia
xG difference per match
−0.23
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG21
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.55; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 15.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.55
- xG against
- 1.78
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.4
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | RigaH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-07-14 | RigaA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | Shamrock RoversH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock RoversA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | CeljeH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | CeljeA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Universitatea CraiovaH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Sparta PrahaH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | JagielloniaA | 1–3L | Yes |
Sparta Praha
xG difference per match
−0.21
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG21
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.15; xG against 1.36. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 14.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.15
- xG against
- 1.36
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celtic
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.6
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W |
Ararat-Armenia
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 6.6
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | RigaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-07-14 | RigaA | 2–3L |
| 2026-07-21 | Shamrock RoversH | 2–0W |
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock RoversA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-04 | CeljeH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-11 | CeljeA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-27 | Universitatea CraiovaH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | Sparta PrahaH | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | JagielloniaA | 1–3L |
Bournemouth
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.7
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester CityA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | EvertonH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | NewcastleA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | BrentfordH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Real SociedadA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | LiverpoolH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | ChelseaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-15 | Sturm GrazH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | SunderlandH | 2–0W |
Red Bull Salzburg
Goals scored per match
1.5
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores39
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 2.2
- Recency
- 87.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Red Bull Salzburg’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | PafosH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-13 | PafosA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-20 | Mjallby AIFA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | Mjallby AIFH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | Levski SofiaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | AC MilanH | 0–4L |
Bournemouth
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.7
- Recency
- 96.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester CityA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | EvertonH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | NewcastleA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | BrentfordH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Real SociedadA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | LiverpoolH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | ChelseaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-15 | Sturm GrazH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | SunderlandH | 2–0W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →