Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Primeira Liga · 74 signals · 18 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BenficaGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score70/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.7
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.26
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
84.0
Recency
43.8
Context
80.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
GuimaraesChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score64/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−5.2
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.32
Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
51.1
Context
100.0
Quality
53.3

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 5; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.39; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Academico ViseuPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score62/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+4.8
Observed xG difference / match8-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.76
Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
49.4
Context
100.0
Quality
50.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 14; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
Santa ClaraDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score60/100

Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.

Clean sheetsLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
5/8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
0.5
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.43
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
65.4
Recency
37.1
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Clean sheets — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.18; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
EstrelaGoals at both endsInsight Score53/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.8
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.9
Both teams scoredLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
75%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.66
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.0
Recency
38.3
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals74 signals · 18 clubs

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Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Sporting CP Unbeaten in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak83
Streak Sporting CP 10+ Unbeaten in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 83/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WYes
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WYes
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WYes
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WYes
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WYes
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DYes
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DYes
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WYes
2026-10-13LensA2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Goals conceded per match 0.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Santa Clara 0.5 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2D
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0W
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0W
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1D
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0W
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1W
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0D
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Nacional Losses in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak63
Streak Nacional 6 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Nacional’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-10Santa ClaraA2–2DNo
2026-08-16EstorilH2–0WNo
2026-08-23GuimaraesA0–1LYes
2026-08-30EstrelaH2–3LYes
2026-09-05Sporting CPA0–2LYes
2026-09-12AlvercaH1–3LYes
2026-09-19FamalicaoH0–4LYes
2026-10-11Rio AveA2–3LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Estoril Points below expected −7.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast64
Forecast Estoril −7.2 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points2.0xPts9.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 2; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
83.1
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
2.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Scoring in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak85
Streak Benfica 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 85/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WYes
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WYes
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WYes
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WYes
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WYes
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WYes
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WYes
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LYes
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WYes
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Scoring in a row 10+ Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak83
Streak Sporting CP 10+ Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 83/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WYes
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WYes
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WYes
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WYes
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WYes
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DYes
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DYes
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WYes
2026-10-13LensA2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Clean sheets 5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Santa Clara 5 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
65.4
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2DNo
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0WYes
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0WYes
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1DNo
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0WYes
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1WNo
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0DYes
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Benfica xG difference per match +1.26 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG45
Observed xG Benfica +1.26 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for2.03xG against0.77

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
84.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.03
xG against
0.77

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Points above expected +6.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast61
Forecast Santa Clara +6.5 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points18.0xPts11.5

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 18; xPts 11.5. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
75.0
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
18.0
xPts
11.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Unbeaten in a row 8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68
Streak Santa Clara 8 Unbeaten in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Unbeaten in a row

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
73.8
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2DYes
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0WYes
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0WYes
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1DYes
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0WYes
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1WYes
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0DYes
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Goals scored per match 2.7 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores69
Scores Benfica 2.7 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 69/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.9
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1W
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1W
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1W
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0W
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0W
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1W
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0W
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3L
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0W
2026-10-15CelticH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Academico Viseu Wins in a row 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak55
Streak Academico Viseu 4 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.9
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Academico Viseu’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09BenficaA2–2DNo
2026-08-15Santa ClaraH0–1LNo
2026-08-22MaritimoA2–2DNo
2026-08-29FC PortoH0–3LNo
2026-09-06GIL VicenteA1–0WYes
2026-09-12GuimaraesH2–1WYes
2026-09-20EstrelaA2–0WYes
2026-10-10EstorilH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Benfica 0.8 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.8
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1W
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1W
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1W
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0W
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0W
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1W
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0W
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3L
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0W
2026-10-15CelticH4–1W
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Goals conceded per match 0.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57
Scores GIL Vicente 0.8 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
23.9
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09Rio AveH1–0W
2026-08-24Casa PiaH2–0W
2026-08-30FamalicaoA0–0D
2026-09-06Academico ViseuH0–1L
2026-09-13BenficaA1–3L
2026-09-19MaritimoH1–1D
2026-10-09MoreirenseA1–0W
2026-10-19SC BragaA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Estoril Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak52
Streak Estoril 3 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07FamalicaoH1–1DNo
2026-08-16NacionalA0–2LYes
2026-08-22Rio AveH0–2LYes
2026-08-31BenficaA1–2LYes
2026-09-07AroucaH0–0DNo
2026-09-14SC BragaA0–1LYes
2026-09-20Casa PiaH1–2LYes
2026-10-10Academico ViseuA1–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto Points above expected +5.1 9/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57
Forecast FC Porto +5.1 Points above expected 9/10 covered matches · current leagues Points24.0xPts18.9

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Points 24; xPts 18.9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
54.6
Recency
84.7
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

9/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
24.0
xPts
18.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Famalicao Points below expected −5.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast58
Forecast Famalicao −5.4 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts12.4

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Points 7; xPts 12.4. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
62.3
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
12.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Rio Ave xG difference per match −0.92 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG37
Observed xG Rio Ave −0.92 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.73xG against1.65

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.73; xG against 1.65. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 37/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.73
xG against
1.65

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores FC Porto 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.7
Recency
84.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0W
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0W
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0W
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0W
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1W
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2L
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1W
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1W
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1W
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Goals scored per match 2.5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65
Scores Sporting CP 2.5 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.6
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2D
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2W
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1W
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0W
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0W
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1W
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1D
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2D
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1W
2026-10-13LensA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Guimaraes Points below expected −5.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast56
Forecast Guimaraes −5.2 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points5.0xPts10.2

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 5; xPts 10.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
60.0
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
10.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Moreirense xG difference per match −0.85 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG36
Observed xG Moreirense −0.85 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.53xG against1.38

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.53; xG against 1.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 36/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.53
xG against
1.38

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Academico Viseu Points above expected +4.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast Academico Viseu +4.8 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts9.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 14; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Alverca Wins in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak53
Streak Alverca 3 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2DNo
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3LNo
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1DNo
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2LNo
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1WYes
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0WYes
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Arouca Goals conceded per match 0.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Arouca 0.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08GuimaraesA1–0W
2026-08-16MoreirenseH4–0W
2026-08-23FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-29MaritimoH2–1W
2026-09-07EstorilA0–0D
2026-09-13Santa ClaraH1–2L
2026-09-19Sporting CPA2–2D
2026-10-11EstrelaH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Arouca Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Arouca 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.3
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Arouca’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08GuimaraesA1–0WYes
2026-08-16MoreirenseH4–0WYes
2026-08-23FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-29MaritimoH2–1WNo
2026-09-07EstorilA0–0DYes
2026-09-13Santa ClaraH1–2LNo
2026-09-19Sporting CPA2–2DNo
2026-10-11EstrelaH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores GIL Vicente 4 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.3
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from GIL Vicente’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09Rio AveH1–0WYes
2026-08-24Casa PiaH2–0WYes
2026-08-30FamalicaoA0–0DYes
2026-09-06Academico ViseuH0–1LNo
2026-09-13BenficaA1–3LNo
2026-09-19MaritimoH1–1DNo
2026-10-09MoreirenseA1–0WYes
2026-10-19SC BragaA2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Casa Pia xG difference per match −0.80 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG35
Observed xG Casa Pia −0.80 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.58xG against1.38

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.58; xG against 1.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 35/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.58
xG against
1.38

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Nacional Points below expected −4.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast Nacional −4.8 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts8.8

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 4; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
8.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Nacional Goals conceded per match 2.3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55
Scores Nacional 2.3 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Nacional’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10Santa ClaraA2–2D
2026-08-16EstorilH2–0W
2026-08-23GuimaraesA0–1L
2026-08-30EstrelaH2–3L
2026-09-05Sporting CPA0–2L
2026-09-12AlvercaH1–3L
2026-09-19FamalicaoH0–4L
2026-10-11Rio AveA2–3L
Full club analysis →
FC Porto Goals scored per match 2.2 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61
Scores FC Porto 2.2 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.2
Recency
84.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0W
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0W
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0W
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0W
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1W
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2L
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1W
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1W
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1W
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54
Scores Sporting CP 1.0 Goals conceded per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.5
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2D
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2W
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1W
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0W
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0W
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1W
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1D
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2D
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1W
2026-10-13LensA2–0W
Full club analysis →
Alverca Scoring in a row 7 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak66
Streak Alverca 7 Scoring in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
64.6
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2DYes
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1DYes
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2LYes
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1WYes
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0WYes
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Estoril xG difference per match −0.73 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG33
Observed xG Estoril −0.73 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.02xG against1.75

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
48.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.02
xG against
1.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Rio Ave Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Rio Ave 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rio Ave’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09GIL VicenteA0–1L
2026-08-15FC PortoH0–2L
2026-08-22EstorilA2–0W
2026-08-28Sporting CPH0–4L
2026-09-06Santa ClaraA0–4L
2026-09-14EstrelaH3–3D
2026-09-19AlvercaA0–1L
2026-10-11NacionalH3–2W
Full club analysis →
Estrela Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Estrela 75% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.6
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2DYes
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2DYes
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2WYes
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2DYes
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1WYes
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3DYes
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2LNo
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Nacional xG difference per match −0.71 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG33
Observed xG Nacional −0.71 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.05xG against1.76

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.05; xG against 1.76. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 33/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
47.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.05
xG against
1.76

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Casa Pia Goals conceded per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53
Scores Casa Pia 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Casa Pia’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08MaritimoA0–1L
2026-08-17BenficaH0–7L
2026-08-24GIL VicenteA0–2L
2026-08-30MoreirenseH0–1L
2026-09-06GuimaraesA0–0D
2026-09-12FC PortoH1–4L
2026-09-20EstorilA2–1W
2026-10-10Santa ClaraH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Casa Pia Points below expected −3.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Casa Pia −3.5 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points4.0xPts7.5

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 4; xPts 7.5. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.4
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
7.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Academico Viseu xG difference per match −0.76 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG Academico Viseu −0.76 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 8-match window xG for1.02xG against1.78

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.02; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.8
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
1.02
xG against
1.78

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Maritimo Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores Maritimo 75% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.6
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08Casa PiaH1–0WNo
2026-08-16FamalicaoA2–1WYes
2026-08-22Academico ViseuH2–2DYes
2026-08-29AroucaA1–2LYes
2026-09-05BenficaH0–3LNo
2026-09-14MoreirenseA1–3LYes
2026-09-19GIL VicenteA1–1DYes
2026-10-10FC PortoH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Alverca Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Alverca 75% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
43.6
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2LNo
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2DYes
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1DYes
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2LYes
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1WYes
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0WNo
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP xG difference per match +0.67 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG32
Observed xG Sporting CP +0.67 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.71xG against1.04

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.71; xG against 1.04. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 32/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.71
xG against
1.04

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59
Scores Benfica 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WNo
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WNo
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WNo
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WYes
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WYes
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WNo
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WYes
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LNo
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WYes
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Arouca Points above expected +3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Arouca +3.4 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts10.6

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 14; xPts 10.6. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
10.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
SC Braga Points below expected −3.1 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55
Forecast SC Braga −3.1 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts14.1

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 11; xPts 14.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.8
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
14.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Estrela xG difference per match −0.66 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG31
Observed xG Estrela −0.66 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.09xG against1.75

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.09; xG against 1.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 31/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
44.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.09
xG against
1.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto xG difference per match +0.62 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG30
Observed xG FC Porto +0.62 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.75xG against1.13

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 30/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.75
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
FC Porto Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58
Scores FC Porto 4 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-14 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.8
Recency
84.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from FC Porto’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09AlvercaH2–0WYes
2026-08-15Rio AveA2–0WYes
2026-08-23AroucaH2–0WYes
2026-08-29Academico ViseuA3–0WYes
2026-09-04MoreirenseH2–1WNo
2026-09-08Manchester CityH0–2LNo
2026-09-12Casa PiaA4–1WNo
2026-09-20BenficaH3–1WNo
2026-10-10MaritimoA2–1WNo
2026-10-14Real BetisA2–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Both teams scored 70% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores61
Scores Sporting CP 70% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.2
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WYes
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WYes
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WNo
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WNo
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WYes
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DYes
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DYes
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WYes
2026-10-13LensA2–0WNo
Full club analysis →
GIL Vicente Points above expected +2.9 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast54
Forecast GIL Vicente +2.9 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points14.0xPts11.1

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 14; xPts 11.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.5
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
14.0
xPts
11.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
SC Braga Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores SC Braga 3 Clean sheets Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.2
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09MoreirenseA2–2DNo
2026-08-31GuimaraesH1–0WYes
2026-09-05AlvercaA2–1WNo
2026-09-10EstrelaA1–2LNo
2026-09-14EstorilH1–0WYes
2026-09-20Santa ClaraA0–0DYes
2026-10-09Sporting CPH1–3LNo
2026-10-19GIL VicenteH1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Points above expected +2.7 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Sporting CP +2.7 Points above expected 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Points24.0xPts21.3

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Points 24; xPts 21.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.0
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
24.0
xPts
21.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Santa Clara xG difference per match +0.43 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26
Observed xG Santa Clara +0.43 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.18xG against0.75

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.18; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.18
xG against
0.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Benfica Points above expected +2.2 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49
Forecast Benfica +2.2 Points above expected 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Points25.0xPts22.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 25; xPts 22.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
55.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
25.0
xPts
22.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.

Full club analysis →
Alverca Points above expected +1.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast43
Forecast Alverca +1.8 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points11.0xPts9.2

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Points 11; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.8
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Guimaraes xG difference per match +0.32 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG23
Observed xG Guimaraes +0.32 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.39xG against1.07

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.39; xG against 1.07. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 23/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.39
xG against
1.07

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Moreirense Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Moreirense 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-09 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
71.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Moreirense’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SC BragaH2–2D
2026-08-16AroucaA0–4L
2026-08-30Casa PiaA1–0W
2026-09-04FC PortoA1–2L
2026-09-09BenficaH0–4L
2026-09-14MaritimoH3–1W
2026-09-20GuimaraesA1–1D
2026-10-09GIL VicenteH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Estrela Goals conceded per match 1.9 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Estrela 1.9 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
19.1
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2D
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2D
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2W
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2D
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1W
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3D
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2L
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Estrela Points above expected +1.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast40
Forecast Estrela +1.2 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points10.0xPts8.8

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 10; xPts 8.8. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
13.8
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
10.0
xPts
8.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Sporting CP Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Sporting CP 3 Clean sheets Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-13 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.8
Recency
81.9
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sporting CP’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-08EstrelaA2–2DNo
2026-08-14GuimaraesH3–2WNo
2026-08-22AlvercaH3–1WNo
2026-08-28Rio AveA4–0WYes
2026-09-05NacionalH2–0WYes
2026-09-09GalatasarayH3–1WNo
2026-09-13FamalicaoA1–1DNo
2026-09-19AroucaH2–2DNo
2026-10-09SC BragaA3–1WNo
2026-10-13LensA2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Maritimo Points above expected +1.0 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast39
Forecast Maritimo +1.0 Points above expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points8.0xPts7.0

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Points 8; xPts 7. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
11.5
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
7.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Rio Ave Points below expected −1.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast40
Forecast Rio Ave −1.3 Points below expected 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Points7.0xPts8.3

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Points 7; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 0; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.0
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
7.0
xPts
8.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 0; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
SC Braga Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores SC Braga 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from SC Braga’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-09MoreirenseA2–2DYes
2026-08-31GuimaraesH1–0WNo
2026-09-05AlvercaA2–1WYes
2026-09-10EstrelaA1–2LYes
2026-09-14EstorilH1–0WNo
2026-09-20Santa ClaraA0–0DNo
2026-10-09Sporting CPH1–3LYes
2026-10-19GIL VicenteH1–2LYes
Full club analysis →
Famalicao Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores51
Scores Famalicao 63% Both teams scored Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.5
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Famalicao’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-07EstorilA1–1DYes
2026-08-16MaritimoH1–2LYes
2026-08-23Santa ClaraA0–1LNo
2026-08-30GIL VicenteH0–0DNo
2026-09-05EstrelaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Sporting CPH1–1DYes
2026-09-19NacionalA4–0WNo
2026-10-12AlvercaH1–4LYes
Full club analysis →
Maritimo xG difference per match −0.36 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24
Observed xG Maritimo −0.36 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for1.05xG against1.41

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.05; xG against 1.41. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
24.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.05
xG against
1.41

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Estrela Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Estrela 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
76.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estrela’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Sporting CPH2–2D
2026-08-15AlvercaA2–2D
2026-08-30NacionalA3–2W
2026-09-05FamalicaoH2–2D
2026-09-10SC BragaH2–1W
2026-09-14Rio AveA3–3D
2026-09-20Academico ViseuH0–2L
2026-10-11AroucaA0–1L
Full club analysis →
Maritimo Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores48
Scores Maritimo 1.8 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.3
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Maritimo’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Casa PiaH1–0W
2026-08-16FamalicaoA2–1W
2026-08-22Academico ViseuH2–2D
2026-08-29AroucaA1–2L
2026-09-05BenficaH0–3L
2026-09-14MoreirenseA1–3L
2026-09-19GIL VicenteA1–1D
2026-10-10FC PortoH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Benfica Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56
Scores Benfica 60% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.2
Recency
87.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-20AarhusH3–1WYes
2026-08-27AarhusA3–1WYes
2026-08-31EstorilH2–1WYes
2026-09-05MaritimoA3–0WNo
2026-09-09MoreirenseA4–0WNo
2026-09-13GIL VicenteH3–1WYes
2026-09-16AC MilanA2–0WNo
2026-09-20FC PortoA1–3LYes
2026-10-11GuimaraesH2–0WNo
2026-10-15CelticH4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Famalicao xG difference per match −0.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG21
Observed xG Famalicao −0.23 xG difference per match Underlying performance · 10-match window xG for0.90xG against1.13

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.9; xG against 1.13. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.90
xG against
1.13

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Alverca 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.6
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44
Scores Santa Clara 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2D
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0W
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0W
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1D
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0W
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1W
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0D
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Estoril Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44
Scores Estoril 1.5 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Estoril’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-07FamalicaoH1–1D
2026-08-16NacionalA0–2L
2026-08-22Rio AveH0–2L
2026-08-31BenficaA1–2L
2026-09-07AroucaH0–0D
2026-09-14SC BragaA0–1L
2026-09-20Casa PiaH1–2L
2026-10-10Academico ViseuA1–2L
Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores45
Scores Alverca 1.5 Goals conceded per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
79.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–74 of 74 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →