Galatasaray vs Amed – 7 Nov 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 7 · 16:00 Rams Global Stadium, İstanbul

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

VS— Compare

Amed 2nd · 17 pts · 8 played DWWDW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Galatasaray are slight favourites.

Galatasaray are the stronger side on L90 Strength (64 vs 34). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Amed. Galatasaray have 3.9 days of rest, Amed 6.2 and have to travel 1,026 km.

Away travel1,026 kmRest days3.9 · 6.2Matches / 14d3 · 2

Galatasaray57%

Draw22%

Amed21%

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.18

Galatasaray63%

Draw22%

Amed16%

Expected goals 2.00 – 0.90

Galatasaray57%

Draw22%

Amed21%

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.18

Galatasaray49%

Draw24%

Amed27%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.32

Galatasaray56%

Draw23%

Amed21%

Expected goals 2.00 – 1.16

Over 2.5 63% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 2 days ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (İstanbul)

Forecast from 23 Oct

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Galatasaray

Amed

64 L90 StrengthIn forecast 34

62 Current StrengthIn forecast 34

57 AttackIn forecast 38

55 DefenceIn forecast 46

59 Form indexContext 66

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Galatasaray

Attack−11%

Defense risk+10%

Amed

Attack−20%

Defense risk+39%

Both teams face a less favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

Galatasaray

Amed

2.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

1.38 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13

2.29 xGVia Att/Def 1.84

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.75

-0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.41

88% Scored inContext 88%

38% Clean sheetsContext 38%

22.13 ShotsContext 14.25

7.38 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75

33% On target shareContext 33%

15.13 Shots in the boxContext 7.63

69% Box shareContext 53%

10% ConversionContext 16%

2.83 OffsidesContext 2.83

10.75 Shots allowedContext 9.25

3.86 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

3.71 BlocksContext 3.00

2.57 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38

78% Save rateContext 68%

60% PossessionIn forecast 47%

475 PassesContext 386

411 Accurate passesContext 317

87% Pass accuracyContext 82%

7.02 Team ratingContext 6.93

11.75 FoulsContext 14.00

11.63 Fouls sufferedContext 10.25

1.63 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.25 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.25

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.13

1.97 xGVia Att/Def 1.84

1.22 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.75

-0.07 Goals minus xGContext +0.41

90% Scored inContext 88%

30% Clean sheetsContext 38%

19.20 ShotsContext 14.25

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.75

34% On target shareContext 33%

13.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.63

69% Box shareContext 53%

10% ConversionContext 16%

3.43 OffsidesContext 2.83

11.50 Shots allowedContext 9.25

4.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

3.56 BlocksContext 3.00

2.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38

64% Save rateContext 68%

57% PossessionIn forecast 47%

460 PassesContext 386

397 Accurate passesContext 317

86% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.93

11.60 FoulsContext 14.00

11.60 Fouls sufferedContext 10.25

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 8 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest3.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km926 km in 14d

Schedule load15%Low

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Amed DWWDW

Rest6.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel1,026 km1,001 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 66 · 11 pts vs 9.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected

W17 OctH · Konyaspor1–02.0 xPts
D10 OctA · Genclerbirligi2–21.8 xPts
W20 SepH · Besiktas3–21.4 xPts
W13 SepH · Istanbul Basaksehir5–01.5 xPts
D6 SepA · Kasimpasa2–21.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Galatasaray	Amed
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 15	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 3 Nov	6.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 1 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,026 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	926 km	1,001 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 6	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	13.9	13.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Amed Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Konyaspor (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

40A. Lafont(G)

17C. Meraş 4D. Bates 21Mehmet Yeşil 7E. Krasniqi

8F. Soyalp 22R. Raveloson

10S. Ballet 91D. Sabi'a 93R. Lutin

99G. Orban

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Galatasaray No reported absences

Amed No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Galatasaray+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Amed+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Galatasaray · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.25
Conceded: 1.25

Amed · Away 0.67points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 0-2-1
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 6 this season

Opponent	Galatasaray	Amed
Genclerbirligi	W 1–0 A	D 2–2 A
Kasimpasa	W 3–1 H	D 2–2 A
Trabzonspor	L 0–4 A	W 2–1 H
Kocaelispor	W 1–0 H	L 0–2 A
Istanbul Basaksehir	W 3–2 A	W 5–0 H
Erzurumspor FK	W 4–0 A	W 3–0 H
Points	15 of 18 · 2.50 per game	11 of 18 · 1.83 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Galatasaray	Amed	Forecast
Scored per game	2.13	2.25
Conceded per game	1.38	1.13
Match goals	3.50	3.38	3.24
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	75%	75%	63%
Over 3.5	75%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	50%	61%
Clean sheets	38%	38%
Failed to score	13%	13%
Games	8	8

	Galatasaray	Amed	Forecast
Scored per game	1.90	2.25
Conceded per game	1.80	1.13
Match goals	3.70	3.38	3.24
Over 1.5	80%	88%
Over 2.5	80%	75%	63%
Over 3.5	80%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	50%	61%
Clean sheets	30%	38%
Failed to score	10%	13%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Galatasaray	Amed	League
Corners
Corners won	7.38	4.25
Corners conceded	3.13	3.75
Match total	10.51	8.00	9.12
Over 8.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	38% 3/8	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	1.88	3.13
Opponent cards	2.00	2.63
Match total	3.88	5.76	4.04
Over 3.5	63% 5/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	38% 3/8	50% 4/8

	Galatasaray	Amed	League
Corners
Corners won	6.40	4.25
Corners conceded	3.20	3.75
Match total	9.60	8.00	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	38% 3/8
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	2.00	3.13
Opponent cards	1.80	2.63
Match total	3.80	5.76	4.04
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	50% 4/8

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.