AS Roma

3rd · Serie A · 17 points · Matches played: 7

2 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.3 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 74.3+0.3
World Rank 24th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last GenoaH xG 1.3–0.5 2–0 Next Slovan BratislavaH 80%

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AS Roma · All competitions

Forecast
Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 80% win 2.54 xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 36% win 1.35 xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 70% win 2.28 xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 63% win 2.10 xPts Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 28% win 1.09 xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 72% win 2.34 xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ParmaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

AS Roma · All competitions

Full time
GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 1.3–0.5 xG +0.7 Δpts Real MadridUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home L 3–4 1.5–1.9 xG -1.2 Δpts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 1.1–1.5 xG -0.4 Δpts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 1.7–2.4 xG -0.6 Δpts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 2.2–0.7 xG +0.9 Δpts FenerbahceUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away D 1–1 — xG -0.7 Δpts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +0.9 Δpts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away W 4–0 3.3–0.7 xG +0.9 Δpts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 4–0 3.1–0.4 xG +0.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show AS Roma first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 23

Rest profile3 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 1,030 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, 4 key: M. Svilar, B. Cristante
29%

Load before the next match, vs Slovan Bratislava, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 24 Aug vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100
W
 Aug 31 Aug at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
 5 Sep vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 36/100
W
 Sep 10 Sep at Fenerbahce: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 39/100
D
 14 Sep at Torino: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 22/100
W
 19 Sep vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 62/100
D
 11 Oct at Como: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100
D
 Oct 14 Oct vs Real Madrid: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 71/100
L
 17 Oct vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 16/100
W
 20 Oct vs Slovan Bratislava: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 11/100 24 Oct at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 39/100 27 Oct vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 18/100 31 Oct at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 17/100 3 Nov at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 56/100 Nov 7 Nov vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 18/100 21 Nov at Parma: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100 25 Nov at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 72/100 29 Nov vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 10/100 6 Dec at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 27/100 Dec 8 Dec vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 62/100 13 Dec at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 38/100 20 Dec vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 42/100 3 Jan vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 Jan 6 Jan at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 8/100 10 Jan vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 17 Jan at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 36/100 19 Jan at AEK Athens FC: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 31/100 24 Jan vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 17/100 27 Jan vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 33/100 31 Jan at Monza: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 10/100 7 Feb vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 22/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Parma: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 21 Feb at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100 28 Feb vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 7 Mar at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 Mar 14 Mar at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 16/100 21 Mar vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 15/100 4 Apr vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Apr 11 Apr at Inter: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100 18 Apr vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 25 Apr at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 2 May vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 39/100 May 9 May at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 16 May at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 42/100 23 May vs Como: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 30 May at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 18/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3 daysbefore SLO
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d1,030 kmaway trips
Schedule load23%Moderate
vs Slovan BratislavaTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 20 80%win13%draw7%loss Moderate load · 3 d rest · 3 in 14 d at NapoliSat 24 Oct, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 63 36%win26%draw37%loss Moderate load · 3.9 d rest · 4 in 14 d vs CagliariTue 27 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 33 70%win18%draw12%loss High load · 3.2 d rest · 4 in 14 d at UdineseSat 31 Oct, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 32 63%win21%draw16%loss High load · 3.9 d rest · 4 in 14 d at Manchester UnitedTue 3 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 79 28%win25%draw47%loss High load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs SassuoloSat 7 Nov, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 33 72%win17%draw11%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Slovan Bratislava, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+12%

Baseline 5.90 → Forecast 6.58 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−10%

Baseline 3.37 → Forecast 3.02 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Slovan Bratislava20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +27% −30% 2.26 → 2.87
at Napoli24 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −14% +12% 1.61 → 1.39
vs Cagliari27 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +15% −16% 2.03 → 2.32

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

AS Roma

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Uplift +27% Expected goals Baseline2.26Forecast2.87
Conceding Risk −30% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.09Forecast0.76
Clean Sheet +13.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline33.7%Forecast46.9%