AS Roma vs Lille – 27 Jan 2027

UEFA Champions League Matchday 8 Wed, Jan 27 · 20:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AS Roma 25th · 1 pts · 2 played DL

VS— Compare

Lille 34th · 0 pts · 2 played LL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,205 kmRest days3.1 · 4.2Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real contextStrength only

AS Roma—%

Draw—%

Lille—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Roma)

Forecast from 12 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

AS Roma

Lille

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

71 Current StrengthIn forecast 54

72 AttackIn forecast 42

75 DefenceIn forecast 60

68 Form indexContext 39

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

AS Roma

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lille

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

AS Roma

Lille

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.00

— xGVia Att/Def 0.62

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

— Goals minus xGContext +0.38

100% Scored inContext 50%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.00 ShotsContext 5.00

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

46% On target shareContext 20%

7.50 Shots in the boxContext 2.50

70% Box shareContext 46%

18% ConversionContext 20%

— OffsidesContext 3.50

13.50 Shots allowedContext 18.00

6.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.50

— BlocksContext 5.50

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

62% Save rateContext 54%

56% PossessionIn forecast 44%

580 PassesContext 426

513 Accurate passesContext 368

88% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.50

17.00 FoulsContext 10.00

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.50

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

0.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

2.19 xGVia Att/Def 1.24

1.11 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.36

+0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.04

90% Scored inContext 80%

60% Clean sheetsContext 40%

16.80 ShotsContext 10.50

5.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.89

35% On target shareContext 42%

11.90 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

70% Box shareContext 63%

13% ConversionContext 11%

3.00 OffsidesContext 3.11

10.70 Shots allowedContext 14.80

3.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20

2.57 BlocksContext 4.00

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.90

76% Save rateContext 69%

57% PossessionIn forecast 51%

542 PassesContext 480

466 Accurate passesContext 417

86% Pass accuracyContext 87%

7.06 Team ratingContext 6.86

12.70 FoulsContext 10.90

9.20 Fouls sufferedContext 14.30

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

AS Roma WDDLW

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km3,060 km in 14d

Schedule load33%Moderate

Form 68 · 8 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.6 vs expected

W17 OctH · Genoa2–02.3 xPts
L14 OctH · Real Madrid3–41.2 xPts
D11 OctA · Como0–01.4 xPts
D19 SepH · Inter2–21.6 xPts
W14 SepA · Torino2–02.1 xPts

Lille WLWLD

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel1,205 km1,662 km in 14d

Schedule load32%Moderate

Form 39 · 7 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -1.6 vs expected

D17 OctH · Stade Brestois 291–11.8 xPts
L13 OctA · Arsenal0–30.4 xPts
W10 OctH · LE Havre1–02.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Nice1–21.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Estac Troyes2–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	AS Roma	Lille
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 33	Moderate · 32
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	3.1Serie A 2026-2027, 24 Jan	4.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 23 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,205 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	3,060 km	1,662 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 6	1 / 3 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	3.9	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

AS Roma Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Genoa (H) 2–0, 17 Oct

95P. Gollini(G)

3K. Koulierakis 5O. Ndicka 26L. Balerdi

2D. Rensch 61N. Pisilli 15M. de Roon 77Emanuele Lulli

86Rodrigo Mora 18M. Soulé

9S. Castro

Lille Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Stade Brestois 29 (H) 1–1, 17 Oct

12O. Gill(G)

15R. Perraud 23T. Nianzou 3N. Ngoy 38Maxima Goffi

17N. Mukau 21B. André

7D. Bakwa 10H. Haraldsson 8E. Mbappé

9O. Giroud

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

AS Roma Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Lille Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

AS Roma · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 4.00

Lille · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 AS Roma wins0 draws1 Lille wins

Goals per game0.00 – 1.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets0% · 100%

2 Oct 2025AS Roma0–1Lille

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	AS Roma	Lille
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	2.50	3.00
Match goals	4.50	4.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	100%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	AS Roma	Lille
Scored per game	2.20	1.20
Conceded per game	0.80	1.30
Match goals	3.00	2.50
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	50%	40%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Clean sheets	60%	40%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	AS Roma	Lille	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	5.00
Corners conceded	5.00	5.00
Match total	9.00	10.00	9.71
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	100% 1/1
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	100% 1/1
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.50
Opponent cards	2.50	2.50
Match total	5.00	4.00	3.80
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	AS Roma	Lille	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.00
Corners conceded	3.40	4.50
Match total	8.40	8.50	9.71
Over 8.5	40% 4/10	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	13% 1/8
Cards
Cards	2.00	1.50
Opponent cards	2.00	1.90
Match total	4.00	3.40	3.80
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.