Udinese vs AS Roma – 31 Oct 2026

Serie A Gameweek 10 Sat, Oct 31 · 17:00 Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

Udinese 16th · 4 pts · 7 played LLLLL

VS— Compare

AS Roma 3rd · 17 pts · 7 played WWDDW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

AS Roma are clear favourites.

AS Roma are the stronger side on L90 Strength (74 vs 32). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for AS Roma. Udinese have 3 days of rest, AS Roma 3.9 and have to travel 468 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel468 kmRest days3 · 3.9Matches / 14d3 · 4

Udinese16%

Draw21%

AS Roma63%

Expected goals 1.00 – 2.16

Udinese20%

Draw24%

AS Roma56%

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.80

Udinese16%

Draw21%

AS Roma63%

Expected goals 1.00 – 2.16

Udinese12%

Draw18%

AS Roma71%

Expected goals 0.90 – 2.42

Udinese14%

Draw18%

AS Roma68%

Expected goals 1.02 – 2.43

Over 2.5 61% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–2

EloLambda forecast, updated 7 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Udine)

13°CClear

Precipitation 6%
Wind 6 km/h
Humidity 84%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Udinese 5 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Udinese

AS Roma

32 L90 StrengthIn forecast 74

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 71

22 AttackIn forecast 72

18 DefenceIn forecast 75

7 Form indexContext 68

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Udinese

Attack−21%

Defense risk+27%

AS Roma

Attack+34%

Defense risk−21%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Udinese

AS Roma

1.29 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.29

2.29 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.43

1.13 xGVia Att/Def 2.10

2.18 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

+0.16 Goals minus xGContext +0.19

71% Scored inContext 86%

0% Clean sheetsContext 71%

14.14 ShotsContext 18.14

3.86 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

27% On target shareContext 33%

9.14 Shots in the boxContext 12.86

66% Box shareContext 70%

9% ConversionContext 13%

1.60 OffsidesContext 3.57

16.29 Shots allowedContext 10.29

6.71 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.14

4.71 BlocksContext 2.60

4.43 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57

66% Save rateContext 82%

51% PossessionIn forecast 56%

467 PassesContext 526

397 Accurate passesContext 447

85% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.73 Team ratingContext 7.14

10.71 FoulsContext 11.86

8.57 Fouls sufferedContext 8.57

1.86 Yellow cardsContext 1.86

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

1.07 xGVia Att/Def 2.19

1.86 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.11

+0.03 Goals minus xGContext +0.01

60% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 60%

12.70 ShotsContext 16.80

3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.90

30% On target shareContext 35%

8.20 Shots in the boxContext 11.90

66% Box shareContext 70%

9% ConversionContext 13%

2.14 OffsidesContext 3.00

15.70 Shots allowedContext 10.70

6.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.80

4.30 BlocksContext 2.57

4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.90

68% Save rateContext 76%

49% PossessionIn forecast 57%

445 PassesContext 542

375 Accurate passesContext 466

84% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.77 Team ratingContext 7.06

11.10 FoulsContext 12.70

8.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.20

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Udinese LLLLL

Rest3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km535 km in 14d

Schedule load23%Moderate

Form 7 · 0 pts vs 7.4 for an average club · -6.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Lecce0–31.9 xPts
L12 OctA · Torino1–21.1 xPts
L19 SepH · Cagliari0–11.6 xPts
L14 SepA · Inter3–50.5 xPts
L7 SepH · Lazio1–21.4 xPts

AS Roma WDDLW

Rest3.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d4High congestion

Travel468 km373 km in 14d

Schedule load41%High

Form 68 · 8 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · -0.6 vs expected

W17 OctH · Genoa2–02.3 xPts
L14 OctH · Real Madrid3–41.2 xPts
D11 OctA · Como0–01.4 xPts
D19 SepH · Inter2–21.6 xPts
W14 SepA · Torino2–02.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Udinese	AS Roma
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 23	High · 41
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	Yes
Rest dayssince last match	3Serie A 2026-2027, 28 Oct	3.9Serie A 2026-2027, 27 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	468 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	535 km	373 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	2 / 3 / 4	1 / 4 / 6
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	3.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Udinese Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Lecce (H) 0–3, 18 Oct

40M. Okoye(G)

77E. Ebosse 5D. Alaba 28O. Solet

11H. Kamara 6Oier Zarraga 8J. Karlström 23M. Vojvoda

30G. Chakvetadze 32J. Ekkelenkamp

9K. Davis

AS Roma Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Genoa (H) 2–0, 17 Oct

95P. Gollini(G)

3K. Koulierakis 5O. Ndicka 26L. Balerdi

2D. Rensch 61N. Pisilli 15M. de Roon 77Emanuele Lulli

86Rodrigo Mora 18M. Soulé

9S. Castro

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Udinese No reported absences

AS Roma No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Udinese+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
AS Roma+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Udinese · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 1.75

AS Roma · Away 2.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 4 this season

Opponent	Udinese	AS Roma
Lecce	L 0–3 H	W 4–0 A
Torino	L 1–2 A	W 2–0 A
Inter	L 3–5 A	D 2–2 H
Como	D 1–1 H	D 0–0 A
Points	1 of 12 · 0.25 per game	8 of 12 · 2.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

2 Udinese wins1 draws7 AS Roma wins

Goals per game0.90 – 1.70 Over 2.560% Both scored40% Clean sheets20% · 40%

2 Feb 2026Udinese1–0AS Roma
9 Nov 2025AS Roma2–0Udinese
26 Jan 2025Udinese1–2AS Roma
22 Sep 2024AS Roma3–0Udinese
25 Apr 2024Udinese1–2AS Roma
26 Nov 2023AS Roma3–1Udinese

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Udinese	AS Roma	Forecast
Scored per game	1.29	2.29
Conceded per game	2.29	0.43
Match goals	3.57	2.71	3.16
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	71%	57%	61%
Over 3.5	29%	43%
Both teams scored	71%	29%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	71%
Failed to score	29%	14%
Games	7	7

	Udinese	AS Roma	Forecast
Scored per game	1.10	2.20
Conceded per game	1.80	0.80
Match goals	2.90	3.00	3.16
Over 1.5	70%	90%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	61%
Over 3.5	20%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	57%
Clean sheets	10%	60%
Failed to score	40%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Udinese	AS Roma	League
Corners
Corners won	3.86	5.14
Corners conceded	5.86	2.57
Match total	9.72	7.71	9.38
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	29% 2/7
Over 9.5	57% 4/7	14% 1/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	14% 1/7
Cards
Cards	1.86	2.00
Opponent cards	0.43	1.71
Match total	2.29	3.71	3.43
Over 3.5	14% 1/7	57% 4/7
Over 4.5	14% 1/7	43% 3/7

	Udinese	AS Roma	League
Corners
Corners won	3.90	5.00
Corners conceded	5.70	3.40
Match total	9.60	8.40	9.38
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	0.70	2.00
Match total	2.70	4.00	3.43
Over 3.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.