AZ Alkmaar

2nd · Eredivisie · 20 points · Matches played: 9

3 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+3.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 47.2+3.4
World Rank 93rd Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 4th L90 Strength
Last CambuurA xG 1.6–1.5 2–2 Next Ararat-ArmeniaA 72%

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AZ Alkmaar · All competitions

Forecast
Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 72% win 2.32 xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 50% win 1.73 xPts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 25% win 0.95 xPts JuventusUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 34% win 1.27 xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 57% win 1.93 xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

AZ Alkmaar · All competitions

Full time
CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 1.6–1.5 xG -0.9 Δpts Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–1 2.6–1.0 xG +1.0 Δpts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 1.0–2.2 xG -1.0 Δpts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 — xG +0.6 Δpts SunderlandUEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 0–1 1.5–2.3 xG -1.1 Δpts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG -1.7 Δpts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 — xG +1.0 Δpts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 5–2 — xG +0.7 Δpts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 4.4–0.4 xG +1.2 Δpts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 2.1–0.9 xG +1.7 Δpts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.7–1.0 xG +0.8 Δpts

Score and actual xG show AZ Alkmaar first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 35

Rest profile4.2 days since last match
0%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel load3,295 km to venue, 353 km in 14 days
67%
Squad availability3 out, 1 key: K. Smit · Last match: 18 Oct
9%

Load before the next match, at Ararat-Armenia, 22 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 8 Aug vs ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100
W
 Aug 15 Aug at Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
W
 22 Aug at Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100
W
 29 Aug vs GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100
W
 6 Sep at Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 Sep 11 Sep vs Willem II: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100
D
 16 Sep at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100
L
 20 Sep vs Telstar: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 27/100
W
 10 Oct at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100
L
 Oct 15 Oct vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100
W
 18 Oct at Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 27/100
D
 22 Oct at Ararat-Armenia: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 10/100 25 Oct vs Twente: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 48/100 31 Oct at Ajax: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 55/100 5 Nov vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 Nov 8 Nov vs Groningen: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 35/100 22 Nov at Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 26 Nov at Sparta Praha: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 39/100 29 Nov at PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 21/100 5 Dec vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 73/100 Dec 10 Dec vs Sturm Graz: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 42/100 13 Dec vs NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 37/100 19 Dec at Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 26/100 9 Jan vs Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Jan 17 Jan at GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 28/100 21 Jan vs Dinamo Zagreb: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 24 Jan vs Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 38/100 28 Jan at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 58/100; match difficulty 80/100 31 Jan vs Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 58/100; match difficulty 62/100 14 Feb at Groningen: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Feb 21 Feb vs Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 28 Feb at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 7 Mar at Twente: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100 21 Mar vs Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 26/100 4 Apr at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Apr 11 Apr at Willem II: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100 25 Apr vs Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 2 May at Telstar: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 May 9 May vs Ajax: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 16 May vs PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 21/100 23 May at ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 19/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.2 daysbefore ARA
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d353 kmaway trips
Schedule load35%Moderate
at Ararat-ArmeniaThu 22 Oct, 17:45 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 7 72%win17%draw12%loss Moderate load · 4.2 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs TwenteSun 25 Oct, 19:00 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 45 50%win23%draw27%loss Moderate load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at AjaxSat 31 Oct, 20:00 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 53 25%win21%draw54%loss Moderate load · 6 d rest · 3 in 14 d vs JuventusThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 67 34%win25%draw41%loss Low load · 5 d rest vs GroningenSun 8 Nov, 15:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 33 57%win21%draw22%loss Moderate load · 2.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Ararat-Armenia, 22 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−1%

Baseline 6.14 → Forecast 6.09 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+6%

Baseline 4.38 → Forecast 4.65 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Ararat-Armenia22 Oct · UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase +41% −35% 1.87 → 2.64
vs Twente25 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −17% +12% 2.38 → 1.97
at Ajax31 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −22% +42% 1.89 → 1.48

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

AZ Alkmaar

Baseline: average Eredivisie opponent

Attack Uplift +41% Expected goals Baseline1.87Forecast2.64
Conceding Risk −35% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.55Forecast1.01
Clean Sheet +15.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline21.2%Forecast36.2%