FC Porto

1st · Primeira Liga · 24 points · Matches played: 8

League leaders · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.9 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.2 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 79.9-1.9
World Rank 15th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last Real BetisA xG 0.8–1.7 2–3 Next PSV EindhovenH 58%

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Upcoming fixtures

FC Porto · All competitions

Forecast
PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 58% win 1.97 xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 57% win 1.95 xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 79% win 2.52 xPts NapoliUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 55% win 1.87 xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 61% win 2.05 xPts FeyenoordUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LiverpoolUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Lask LinzUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstorilPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

FC Porto · All competitions

Full time
Real BetisUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away L 2–3 0.8–1.7 xG -1.4 Δpts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.2–0.3 xG +0.6 Δpts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 3–1 — xG +1.6 Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 4–1 — xG +0.7 Δpts Manchester CityUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home L 0–2 0.3–2.3 xG — Δpts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +0.5 Δpts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 1.5–0.8 xG +0.9 Δpts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.9–0.5 xG +0.8 Δpts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–0 2.0–0.7 xG +0.9 Δpts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–0 2.6–1.6 xG +0.7 Δpts

Score and actual xG show FC Porto first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 10

Rest profile6 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 3,343 km in 14 days
33%
Squad availability4 out, no key players
3%

Load before the next match, vs PSV Eindhoven, 20 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100
W
 Aug 15 Aug at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 9/100
W
 23 Aug vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100
W
 29 Aug at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100
W
 4 Sep vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100
W
 Sep 8 Sep vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100
L
 12 Sep at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 8/100
W
 20 Sep vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100
W
 10 Oct at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 7/100
W
 Oct 14 Oct at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 41/100
L
 20 Oct vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 43/100 24 Oct at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 31 Oct vs Estoril: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 9/100 4 Nov vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 32/100 Nov 8 Nov at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 24 Nov at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 31/100 29 Nov vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 55/100 6 Dec at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 15/100 Dec 9 Dec at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 56/100 13 Dec vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 8/100 20 Dec at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 17/100 27 Dec vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 7/100 10 Jan at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 14/100; match difficulty 27/100 Jan 17 Jan at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 19 Jan vs Slavia Praha: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 18/100 24 Jan vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 9/100 27 Jan at Lask Linz: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 17/100 31 Jan at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 15/100 7 Feb vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 14/100 Feb 14 Feb at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 21 Feb vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 28 Feb at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 7 Mar vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 7/100 Mar 14 Mar vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 21 Mar at Estoril: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 9/100 4 Apr vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100 Apr 11 Apr at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 18 Apr vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 25 Apr at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 4/100; match difficulty 8/100 2 May vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100 May 9 May at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 7/100 16 May vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 27/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6 daysbefore PSV
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d3,343 kmaway trips
Schedule load10%Low
vs PSV EindhovenTue 20 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 74 58%win22%draw20%loss Low load · 6 d rest at GIL VicenteSat 24 Oct, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 31 57%win24%draw19%loss Low load · 4 d rest vs EstorilSat 31 Oct, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 22 79%win14%draw7%loss Low load · 7 d rest vs NapoliWed 4 Nov, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 63 55%win23%draw22%loss Low load · 4 d rest at GuimaraesSun 8 Nov, 18:00 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 27 61%win22%draw17%loss Low load · 3.9 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs PSV Eindhoven, 20 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing−2%

Baseline 6.73 → Forecast 6.61 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+5%

Baseline 2.67 → Forecast 2.81 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs PSV Eindhoven20 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase −16% +33% 2.46 → 2.06
at GIL Vicente24 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −2% −4% 1.89 → 1.84
vs Estoril31 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +14% −13% 2.38 → 2.72

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

FC Porto

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Downlift −16% Expected goals Baseline2.46Forecast2.06
Conceding Risk +33% Expected goals conceded Baseline0.85Forecast1.13
Clean Sheet −10.5 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline42.8%Forecast32.3%