Hamburger SV

9th · Bundesliga · 9 points · Matches played: 6

5 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 39.7+0.2
World Rank 133rd Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last VfB StuttgartH xG 1.5–1.7 1–0 Next SC Paderborn 07A 34%

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Our take

Short on strength, fighting for points.

Hamburger SV rely on a mid-table defence, but their attack is among the league's weakest and costs them. Across the 6 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 more points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. N. Remberg and A. Grønbæk are out, and The toughest of the next 3 matches is the trip to Eintracht Frankfurt.

Bundesliga · 6 games. Their chance balance is better than the scorelines suggest. They are scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding more goals than expected; goalkeeping or opponents' finishing may contribute, but these figures do not establish the cause.

They are comfortable without the ball, with only 40% possession, and look to hurt teams on the break. They give up a lot of shots (19 a game), and play a physical game, among the most fouls in the league. Home is where they earn their points: 2.0 per game there against 1.0 away.

  • Relegation 8%Likely 12th · 40 projected points
  • Next 3: about 4 of 9 points Toughest at Eintracht Frankfurt · , 26% to win
  • 4 key players outN. Remberg, A. Grønbæk · 30% of squad weight missing · Last match: 17 Oct
  • 9 pts vs 5.9 expected+3.1 vs pre-match expectations · 6 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Hamburger SV. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
BundesligaView table →
Position
9th/ 18
Points
91.50 PPG
Played
6
League gap
5pts behind leader
50.0%Win %
Wins3
Draws0
Losses3

Expected metrics · 6 of 6 matches covered

Goals For
61.00 / game
xG 6.26 0.26 fewer goals than expected. vs 6 goals
Goals Against
152.50 / game
xGA 10.96 4.04 more conceded than expected. vs 15 conceded
Goal Difference
-9-1.50 / game
xGD -4.70 Goal difference is 4.30 lower than expected. vs -9 GD
Clean Sheets
117% of games

League standings

Bundesliga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full Bundesliga table, Hamburger SV highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1▲ Bayern München 94 6420 +17 14
2– Borussia Dortmund 81 6420 +7 14
3▼ SC Freiburg 64 6411 +9 13
4– Bayer Leverkusen 79 6411 +7 13
5▲ FSV Mainz 05 55 6312 +4 10
6▲ SV Elversberg 42 6312 +1 10
7▼ RB Leipzig 68 6303 +5 9
8▼ Werder Bremen 43 6231 +0 9
9▲ Hamburger SV 40 6303 -9 9
10▼ FC Augsburg 50 6222 +4 8
11▲ Eintracht Frankfurt 48 6222 -6 8
12▼ 1.FC Köln 34 6213 -3 7
13▼ VfB Stuttgart 68 6204 -2 6
14▲ 1899 Hoffenheim 49 6204 -3 6
15▼ FC Schalke 04 46 6123 -3 5
16▼ SC Paderborn 07 38 6123 -4 5
17▼ Union Berlin 39 6123 -12 5
18– Borussia Mönchengladbach 36 6006 -12 0

18 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Hamburger SV league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
130 Aug 20261401
26 Sep 20261802
313 Sep 20261803
420 Sep 20261634
511 Oct 20261265
618 Oct 2026996

Squad 32 players · this season, all competitions · 7 out

Absences reported for the last match: 17 Oct 2026

Top scorer
Y. Poulsen2 goals
Injured
Most assists
A. Grønbæk2 assists
Injured
Best rated
A. Grønbæk7.26 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
D. Heuer Fernandes540 min
Key to the model
D. Heuer FernandesStarter · weight 1.94
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
D. Heuer Fernandes 33 6 (6) 540 0 0 6.71 starter
S. Tangvik 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Defenders
D. Møller Wolfe 24 5 (5) 431 0 0 6.38 starter
S. Bornauw 27 4 (4) 360 0 0 6.22 starter
J. Torunarigha 29 4 (4) 308 0 0 6.03 starter
W. Omari 26 4 (3) 287 0 0 6.74 starter
Z. El Ouahdi 24 4 (3) 268 0 1 6.66 starter
Louis Lemke — 5 (3) 262 0 0 6.28 rotation
M. Muheim 28 2 (1) 139 2 1 7.38 starter
S. Nandja 19 2 (1) 117 0 0 5.60 rotation
J. Agyekum — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Daniel Elfadli 29 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Midfielders
N. Capaldo 28 6 (6) 540 1 0 6.23 starter
N. Remberg injured 26 5 (5) 401 0 0 6.44 starter
A. Grønbæk injured 25 5 (4) 349 0 2 7.26 starter
A. Sambi Lokonga injured 26 4 (4) 334 0 0 6.60 starter
Fábio Vieira 26 5 (3) 319 0 0 6.52 starter
M. Adeline 22 5 (4) 267 0 0 6.52 starter
B. Nadir injured 22 3 (2) 138 0 0 6.80 rotation
B. Jatta injured 28 3 (1) 96 0 0 6.40 rotation
K. Amoako 21 2 (0) 20 0 0 6.42 depth
I. Pherai 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Forwards
Y. Poulsen injured 32 5 (3) 218 2 0 7.05 rotation
P. Daka injured 28 4 (2) 207 0 0 6.35 rotation
T. Moffi 27 6 (2) 203 1 0 6.63 rotation
Otto Stange 19 5 (0) 121 0 0 6.39 rotation
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit 19 1 (0) 14 0 0 6.57 depth
Rayan Philippe 25 1 (0) 1 0 0 — rotation
Jean-Luc Dompe 31 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
K. Ojo — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
E. Sahiti 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Vasiljevic — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the trip to SC Paderborn 07: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Bundesliga · 18 clubs

L90 Strength14th of 18
40 Elo 1584 · World #133
Current Strength
40 With absences before 24 Oct: +0 Elo
Attack14th of 18
37 Scores 1.36 per match against an average top-five side
Defence10th of 18
43 Concedes 1.64 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Bayern München: attack 96, defence 90, L90 Strength 94 Borussia Dortmund: attack 69, defence 80, L90 Strength 81 SC Freiburg: attack 63, defence 73, L90 Strength 64 Bayer Leverkusen: attack 87, defence 79, L90 Strength 79 FSV Mainz 05: attack 68, defence 56, L90 Strength 55 SV Elversberg: attack 44, defence 37, L90 Strength 42 RB Leipzig: attack 76, defence 53, L90 Strength 68 Werder Bremen: attack 56, defence 45, L90 Strength 43 Hamburger SV: attack 37, defence 43, L90 Strength 40 FC Augsburg: attack 72, defence 23, L90 Strength 50 Eintracht Frankfurt: attack 54, defence 37, L90 Strength 48 1.FC Köln: attack 36, defence 36, L90 Strength 34 VfB Stuttgart: attack 70, defence 58, L90 Strength 68 1899 Hoffenheim: attack 46, defence 43, L90 Strength 49 FC Schalke 04: attack 33, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 SC Paderborn 07: attack 34, defence 33, L90 Strength 38 Union Berlin: attack 42, defence 41, L90 Strength 39 Borussia Mönchengladbach: attack 34, defence 21, L90 Strength 36
Every Bundesliga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 6 listed

70
Form index · 7th of 18 in league
Points, last 5
9
Median top-5 club
6.6
Own forecasts
5.4 +3.6
Table9th L90 Strength14th Form7th

Higher in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctH · VfB Stuttgart1–01.0 xPts
  • W10 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–20.9 xPts
  • W19 SepH · 1.FC Köln2–11.5 xPts
  • L13 SepA · RB Leipzig0–50.6 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FSV Mainz 050–51.4 xPts
  • L29 AugA · Borussia Dortmund0–20.5 xPts

Trends last 6, all competitions

Scored 3/6
Clean sheet 1/6
Conceded 2+ 4/6
Over 2.5 4/6
Both teams scored 2/6

Playing style vs Bundesliga average

HAMLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.00 1.84 15th
Goals conceded 2.50 1.84 15th
xG 1.04 1.75 17th
xG allowed 1.83 1.75 10th
Scored in 50% 76% 15th
Clean sheets 17% 24% 9th
HAMLeagueRank
Shots 11.00 15.55 17th
Shots on target 3.67 5.77 17th
On target share 33% 35% 12th
Box share 56% 68% 18th
Conversion 9% 12% 12th
HAMLeagueRank
Shots allowed 19.17 15.55 16th
On target allowed 5.67 5.71 10th
Blocks 5.33 4.49 4th
Save rate 62% 66% 12th
HAMLeagueRank
Possession 40% 50% 18th
Passes 346 455 18th
Pass accuracy 78% 81% 15th
HAMLeagueRank
Fouls 14.17 11.43 17th
Fouls suffered 12.83 11.44 5th
Yellow cards 1.33 1.71 6th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
This league season, per match · 6 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
HAMLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.30 1.84 15th
Goals conceded 2.10 1.74 13th
xG 1.11 1.71 18th
xG allowed 1.63 1.62 9th
Scored in 70% 80% 14th
Clean sheets 10% 24% 13th
HAMLeagueRank
Shots 11.60 14.87 16th
Shots on target 4.00 5.55 17th
On target share 35% 36% 15th
Box share 59% 67% 18th
Conversion 11% 12% 12th
HAMLeagueRank
Shots allowed 16.40 14.13 16th
On target allowed 5.30 5.23 10th
Blocks 4.56 4.08 5th
Save rate 64% 66% 11th
HAMLeagueRank
Possession 40% 51% 18th
Passes 348 455 18th
Pass accuracy 79% 82% 15th
HAMLeagueRank
Fouls 12.40 10.89 15th
Fouls suffered 12.20 10.68 4th
Yellow cards 1.50 1.70 8th
Red cards 0.00 0.02 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 18 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home2.00pts per game2-0-1 · 1.0–2.0 goals · 3 games
Away1.00pts per game1-0-2 · 1.0–3.0 goals · 3 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 1 0-15
3 16-30
1 3 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Bundesliga · 6 games · rank of 18

Attack

GF 6 15th / 18
GF/G 1.00 15th / 18
xG/G 1.04 17th / 18
G − xG -0.04 11th / 18

Defence

GA 15 15th / 18
GA/G 2.50 15th / 18
xGA/G 1.83 10th / 18
xGA − GA -0.67 15th / 18

Overall

Pts 9 7th / 18
xPts 5.9 18th / 18
PPG 1.50 7th / 18
TR 6.54 17th / 18
GD -9 16th / 18
xGD -4.7 13th / 18
W 3 5th / 18
L 3 10th / 18

Scorelines

  • 0–5×2
  • 0–2×1
  • 2–1×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 1–0×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
17% 1
17% 2
17% 3
0% 4
50% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
83%81%
Over 2.5
67%74%
Over 3.5
50%56%
Both scored
33%59%
Clean sheet
17%24%
Failed to score
50%24%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.