Hamburger SV

9th · Bundesliga · 9 points · Matches played: 6

5 points behind Bayern München · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+0.2 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.7 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 39.7+0.2
World Rank 133rd Global, by Elo
Bundesliga Rank 14th L90 Strength
Last VfB StuttgartH xG 1.5–1.7 1–0 Next SC Paderborn 07A 34%

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Upcoming fixtures

Hamburger SV · All competitions

Forecast
SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 34% win 1.26 xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away 26% win 1.00 xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home 54% win 1.85 xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Werder BremenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayern MünchenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Union BerlinBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC Schalke 04Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SV ElversbergBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC FreiburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FC AugsburgBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Hamburger SV · All competitions

Full time
VfB StuttgartBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 1.5–1.7 xG +2.1 Δpts 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 1.2–1.1 xG +2.1 Δpts 1.FC KölnBundesliga 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 1.5–1.4 xG +1.5 Δpts RB LeipzigBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–5 1.1–2.4 xG -0.6 Δpts FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–5 0.2–2.8 xG -1.4 Δpts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.9–1.5 xG -0.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Hamburger SV first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load220 km to venue, 968 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability10 out, 4 key: N. Remberg, A. Grønbæk · Last match: 17 Oct
30%

Load before the next match, at SC Paderborn 07, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 29 Aug at Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 83/100
L
 Aug 6 Sep vs FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 Sep 13 Sep at RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100
L
 19 Sep vs 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100
W
 10 Oct at 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100
W
 Oct 17 Oct vs VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100
W
 24 Oct at SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 1 Nov at Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100 Nov 6 Nov vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 22 Nov at Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 28 Nov vs Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 94/100 5 Dec at Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 Dec 12 Dec vs FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 19 Dec at SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 52/100 9 Jan vs Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 Jan 12 Jan at SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 70/100 16 Jan vs FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 23 Jan vs Borussia Dortmund: Schedule difficulty 49/100; match difficulty 83/100 30 Jan at FSV Mainz 05: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100 6 Feb vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Feb 13 Feb at 1.FC Köln: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 45/100 20 Feb vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 58/100 27 Feb at VfB Stuttgart: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 74/100 2 Mar vs SC Paderborn 07: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 48/100 Mar 6 Mar vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 58/100 13 Mar at Borussia Mönchengladbach: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 47/100 20 Mar vs Werder Bremen: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 3 Apr at Bayern München: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 94/100 Apr 10 Apr vs Union Berlin: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 17 Apr at FC Schalke 04: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 24 Apr vs SV Elversberg: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 8 May at Bayer Leverkusen: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 82/100 May 15 May vs SC Freiburg: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 22 May at FC Augsburg: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 58/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7 daysbefore PAD
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d968 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at SC Paderborn 07Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 38 34%win25%draw42%loss Low load · 7 d rest at Eintracht FrankfurtSun 1 Nov, 16:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 48 26%win22%draw52%loss Low load · 8.1 d rest vs Borussia MönchengladbachFri 6 Nov, 19:30 Bundesliga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 36 54%win22%draw24%loss Low load · 5.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at SC Paderborn 07, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+23%

Baseline 4.07 → Forecast 4.99 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−16%

Baseline 5.99 → Forecast 5.05 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at SC Paderborn 0724 Oct · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +18% −23% 1.25 → 1.48
at Eintracht Frankfurt1 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +13% −4% 1.25 → 1.42
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach6 Nov · Bundesliga 2026-2027 +33% −22% 1.57 → 2.09

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Hamburger SV

Baseline: average Bundesliga opponent

Attack Uplift +18% Expected goals Baseline1.25Forecast1.48
Conceding Risk −23% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.15Forecast1.66
Clean Sheet +7.3 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline11.7%Forecast18.9%