Parma

19th · Serie A · 4 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Inter · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -3.3 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 27.8-2.4
World Rank 211th Global, by Elo
Serie A Rank 18th L90 Strength
Last TorinoH xG 1.4–1.4 0–3 Next LazioA 15%

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Upcoming fixtures

Parma · All competitions

Forecast
LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 15% win 0.68 xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 48% win 1.69 xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away 19% win 0.81 xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home 31% win 1.21 xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FrosinoneSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AS RomaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UdineseSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SassuoloSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NapoliSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LecceSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LazioSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VeneziaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FiorentinaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AtalantaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AC MilanSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BolognaSerie A 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Parma · All competitions

Full time
TorinoSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 0–3 1.4–1.4 xG -1.3 Δpts InterSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.4–2.3 xG -0.2 Δpts GenoaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 0.3–0.8 xG +1.5 Δpts ComoSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.0–3.2 xG -0.4 Δpts MonzaSerie A 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 — xG -0.8 Δpts JuventusSerie A 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.2–1.7 xG -0.5 Δpts CagliariSerie A 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 0.8–0.9 xG -1.5 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Parma first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 6

Rest profile5 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load368 km to venue, 0 km in 14 days
20%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: L. Valenti · Last match: 19 Oct
10%

Load before the next match, at Lazio, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug vs Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100
L
 Aug 29 Aug at Juventus: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
L
 6 Sep vs Monza: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
D
 Sep 14 Sep at Como: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100
L
 20 Sep vs Genoa: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100
W
 10 Oct at Inter: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 Oct 19 Oct vs Torino: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100
L
 24 Oct at Lazio: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 28 Oct vs Udinese: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 2 Nov at Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 Nov 7 Nov vs Bologna: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 67/100 21 Nov vs AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 85/100 29 Nov at Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 53/100 6 Dec at AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 20 Dec at Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 3 Jan vs Napoli: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 Jan 6 Jan at Lecce: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 50/100 10 Jan vs Venezia: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 33/100 17 Jan vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 55/100; match difficulty 90/100 24 Jan at Genoa: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 52/100 31 Jan at Cagliari: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 56/100 7 Feb vs Frosinone: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Feb 14 Feb at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 85/100 21 Feb at Udinese: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 28 Feb vs Sassuolo: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 7 Mar at Napoli: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 78/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Lecce: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 21 Mar vs Lazio: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 4 Apr at Venezia: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 33/100 Apr 11 Apr vs Como: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 18 Apr at Fiorentina: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 25 Apr vs Atalanta: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 2 May at Torino: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 May 9 May vs AC Milan: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 16 May at Monza: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 23 May vs Juventus: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 30 May at Bologna: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest5 daysbefore LAZ
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load6%Low
at LazioSat 24 Oct, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 62 15%win23%draw62%loss Low load · 5 d rest vs UdineseWed 28 Oct, 17:30 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 32 48%win26%draw26%loss Low load · 3.9 d rest at AtalantaMon 2 Nov, 19:45 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 59 19%win24%draw57%loss Low load · 5.1 d rest vs BolognaSat 7 Nov, 17:00 Serie A 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 49 31%win29%draw40%loss Low load · 4.9 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Lazio, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+8%

Baseline 3.09 → Forecast 3.34 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−2%

Baseline 4.90 → Forecast 4.78 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Lazio24 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 −15% +7% 0.95 → 0.81
vs Udinese28 Oct · Serie A 2026-2027 +35% −21% 1.19 → 1.59
at Atalanta2 Nov · Serie A 2026-2027 −2% +3% 0.95 → 0.94

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Parma

Baseline: average Serie A opponent

Attack Downlift −15% Expected goals Baseline0.95Forecast0.81
Conceding Risk +7% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.73Forecast1.86
Clean Sheet −2.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline17.7%Forecast15.5%