Real Madrid

3rd · La Liga · 21 points · Matches played: 9

6 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 89.3-1.5
World Rank 6th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last SevillaH xG 2.3–0.8 4–1 Next RB LeipzigH 70%

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Our take

A top side, and in form.

Real Madrid build on a top-three attack and back it with a top-three defence. Across the 9 league matches with forecasts, their points total is close to our pre-match expectations. The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Barcelona.

La Liga · 9 games. Their results look better than their underlying numbers. They are scoring more goals than their chances suggest. They are conceding fewer goals than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the gap.

They are among the busiest attacks in the league, with 18 shots a game. They are clinical in front of goal (15% of shots scored). Home is where they earn their points: 3.0 per game there against 1.5 away.

  • Top 4 >99% · Relegation 0%Likely 2nd · 83 projected points
  • Next 5: about 9 of 15 points Toughest at Barcelona · , 15% to win
  • 3 out, none key2% of squad weight missing
  • 21 pts vs 19.7 expected+1.3 vs pre-match expectations · 9 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Real Madrid. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
La LigaView table →
Position
3rd/ 20
Points
212.33 PPG
Played
9
League gap
6pts behind leader
77.8%Win %
Wins7
Draws0
Losses2

Expected metrics · 9 of 9 matches covered

Goals For
232.56 / game
xG 21.73 1.27 more goals than expected. vs 23 goals
Goals Against
91.00 / game
xGA 9.05 0.05 fewer conceded than expected. vs 9 conceded
Goal Difference
+14+1.56 / game
xGD +12.68 Goal difference is 1.32 higher than expected. vs +14 GD
Clean Sheets
222% of games

League standings

La Liga · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full La Liga table, Real Madrid highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Barcelona 93 9900 +30 27
2– Atletico Madrid 81 9711 +11 22
3▲ Real Madrid 89 9702 +14 21
4▼ Real Betis 72 9612 +2 19
5▲ Real Sociedad 58 9513 +0 16
6▼ Sevilla 50 9423 -2 14
7– Alaves 48 9324 +3 11
8▲ Celta Vigo 54 9252 +3 11
9▼ Deportivo La Coruna 45 9252 +1 11
10▲ Osasuna 46 9324 -8 11
11▼ Athletic Club 55 7232 +1 9
12▼ Villarreal 67 9234 +0 9
13– Rayo Vallecano 58 8233 -5 9
14– Getafe 48 9234 -6 9
15▼ Espanyol 44 9225 -1 8
16▼ Racing Santander 41 9225 -12 8
17– Levante 48 8143 -4 7
18– Elche 44 9144 -6 7
19– Valencia 51 9135 -9 6
20– Malaga 41 9045 -12 4

20 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchweek.

League position over time

Position by matchweek

Higher is better. One point per matchweek; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Real Madrid league position by matchweek
MWResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
227 Aug 2026262
331 Aug 2026293
6 · Partial17 Sep 20262156
720 Sep 20264157
8 · Partial12 Oct 20264188
919 Oct 20263219

Squad 39 players · this season, all competitions · 2 out

Top scorer
K. Mbappé11 goals (2 pen)
Most assists
A. Güler4 assists
Best rated
K. Mbappé7.90 avg rating
Most minutes
T. Courtois990 min
Key to the model
ViníciusCore · weight 2.57
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
T. Courtois 34 11 (11) 990 0 0 7.17 starter
A. Lunin 27 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Sergio Mestre 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Javier Navarro 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
I. Voloshyn — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
I. Konaté 27 10 (10) 900 0 0 6.85 starter
Marc Cucurella 28 11 (7) 732 0 0 6.65 starter
D. Huijsen 21 8 (8) 720 0 0 6.86 starter
D. Dumfries 30 9 (7) 567 0 0 6.36 starter
A. Rüdiger 33 5 (4) 396 2 0 7.15 rotation
T. Alexander-Arnold 28 6 (4) 344 0 1 6.94 rotation
Álvaro Fernández 23 7 (4) 262 1 0 6.92 rotation
Éder Militão 28 1 (0) 5 0 0 6.63 rotation
Diego Aguado Facio 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Raúl Asencio injured 23 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Lamini Fati — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Jesús Fortea — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
David Jiménez 22 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Joan Martínez — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
F. Mendy injured 31 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Mario Rivas 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Midfielders
F. Valverde 28 11 (11) 920 1 2 7.20 core
J. Bellingham 23 11 (10) 869 3 3 7.49 core
A. Güler 21 10 (7) 535 2 4 7.48 starter
A. Tchouaméni 26 7 (5) 439 0 1 6.75 starter
Bernardo Silva 32 8 (3) 322 0 1 6.66 rotation
E. Camavinga 23 8 (2) 264 0 0 6.87 rotation
Brahim Díaz 27 5 (2) 199 0 1 6.74 rotation
Jorge Cestero — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Manuel Ángel Morán — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Thiago Pitarch — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — rotation
Alexis Ciria — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Forwards
K. Mbappé 27 11 (11) 985 11 2 7.90 core
Vinícius 26 10 (9) 749 1 3 6.79 core
Y. Diomande 19 11 (5) 546 2 3 7.18 starter
Endrick 20 3 (1) 104 1 0 6.97 depth
Carlos Espí 21 7 (0) 42 3 0 7.12 depth
Alvaro Leiva — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Daniel Yáñez 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with RB Leipzig: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength La Liga · 20 clubs

L90 Strength2nd of 20
89 Elo 1964 · World #6
Current Strength
89 With absences before 21 Oct: -3 Elo
Attack2nd of 20
89 Scores 2.50 per match against an average top-five side
Defence3rd of 20
85 Concedes 1.02 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Barcelona: attack 97, defence 92, L90 Strength 93 Atletico Madrid: attack 82, defence 87, L90 Strength 81 Real Madrid: attack 89, defence 85, L90 Strength 89 Real Betis: attack 79, defence 59, L90 Strength 72 Real Sociedad: attack 62, defence 48, L90 Strength 58 Sevilla: attack 48, defence 57, L90 Strength 50 Alaves: attack 48, defence 55, L90 Strength 48 Celta Vigo: attack 36, defence 61, L90 Strength 54 Deportivo La Coruna: attack 40, defence 57, L90 Strength 45 Osasuna: attack 50, defence 50, L90 Strength 46 Athletic Club: attack 51, defence 64, L90 Strength 55 Villarreal: attack 76, defence 73, L90 Strength 67 Rayo Vallecano: attack 61, defence 60, L90 Strength 58 Getafe: attack 27, defence 59, L90 Strength 48 Espanyol: attack 36, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Racing Santander: attack 42, defence 22, L90 Strength 41 Levante: attack 55, defence 41, L90 Strength 48 Elche: attack 39, defence 51, L90 Strength 44 Valencia: attack 39, defence 52, L90 Strength 51 Malaga: attack 28, defence 31, L90 Strength 41
Every La Liga club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 10 listed

91
Form index · 3rd of 20 in league
Points, last 5
12
Median top-5 club
5.6
Own forecasts
10.1 +1.9
Table3rd L90 Strength2nd Form3rd

Table position in line with their strength.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W18 OctH · Sevilla4–12.4 xPts
  • W14 OctA · AS Roma4–31.5 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Villarreal1–02.1 xPts
  • L20 SepA · Atletico Madrid1–21.7 xPts
  • W15 SepA · Elche3–22.3 xPts
  • W12 SepH · Rayo Vallecano4–12.5 xPts
  • W8 SepH · Inter2–12.0 xPts
  • L4 SepA · Real Betis0–12.0 xPts
  • W30 AugH · Malaga4–02.4 xPts
  • W26 AugH · Real Sociedad4–12.4 xPts

Trends last 10, all competitions

Scored 9/10
Clean sheet 2/10
Conceded 2+ 3/10
Over 2.5 8/10
Both teams scored 7/10

Playing style vs La Liga average

REALeagueRank
Goals scored 2.56 1.54 2nd
Goals conceded 1.00 1.55 3rd
xG 2.41 1.45 2nd
xG allowed 1.01 1.46 3rd
Scored in 89% 75% 5th
Clean sheets 22% 25% 11th
REALeagueRank
Shots 17.56 13.43 2nd
Shots on target 7.22 4.90 2nd
On target share 41% 35% 1st
Box share 69% 59% 2nd
Conversion 15% 11% 2nd
REALeagueRank
Shots allowed 12.78 13.36 8th
On target allowed 4.44 4.92 9th
Blocks 3.44 3.56 12th
Save rate 73% 69% 7th
REALeagueRank
Possession 53% 50% 4th
Passes 528 456 4th
Pass accuracy 90% 84% 2nd
REALeagueRank
Fouls 8.44 12.30 1st
Fouls suffered 14.11 12.30 3rd
Yellow cards 2.11 2.17 10th
Red cards 0.22 0.11 16th
This league season, per match · 9 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
REALeagueRank
Goals scored 2.70 1.56 2nd
Goals conceded 1.20 1.55 5th
xG 2.32 1.44 2nd
xG allowed 1.06 1.43 2nd
Scored in 90% 76% 3rd
Clean sheets 20% 22% 11th
REALeagueRank
Shots 16.90 13.43 2nd
Shots on target 7.30 4.92 2nd
On target share 43% 35% 1st
Box share 71% 60% 1st
Conversion 16% 11% 2nd
REALeagueRank
Shots allowed 14.20 13.15 11th
On target allowed 5.10 4.91 11th
Blocks 3.80 3.45 6th
Save rate 75% 68% 2nd
REALeagueRank
Possession 50% 50% 8th
Passes 501 450 5th
Pass accuracy 89% 84% 2nd
REALeagueRank
Fouls 8.90 12.32 1st
Fouls suffered 13.30 12.28 6th
Yellow cards 2.00 2.11 10th
Red cards 0.20 0.11 15th
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home3.00pts per game5-0-0 · 3.4–0.6 goals · 5 games
Away1.50pts per game2-0-2 · 1.5–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 9 games

2 0-15
6 1 16-30
4 1 31-45
1 3 46-60
3 1 61-75
7 3 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings La Liga · 9 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 23 2nd / 20
GF/G 2.56 2nd / 20
xG/G 2.41 2nd / 20
G − xG +0.15 11th / 20

Defence

GA 9 4th / 20
GA/G 1.00 4th / 20
xGA/G 1.01 3rd / 20
xGA − GA +0.01 7th / 20

Overall

Pts 21 3rd / 20
xPts 19.7 2nd / 20
PPG 2.33 3rd / 20
TR 7.17 2nd / 20
GD +14 2nd / 20
xGD +12.6 2nd / 20
W 7 2nd / 20
L 2 3rd / 20

Scorelines

  • 4–1×3
  • 2–1×1
  • 4–0×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 1–2×1

Goals per game both teams

0% 0
22% 1
0% 2
22% 3
11% 4
44% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
78%76%
Over 2.5
78%56%
Over 3.5
56%39%
Both scored
67%59%
Clean sheet
22%25%
Failed to score
11%25%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.