Real Madrid

3rd · La Liga · 21 points · Matches played: 9

6 points behind Barcelona · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-1.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 89.3-1.5
World Rank 6th Global, by Elo
La Liga Rank 2nd L90 Strength
Last SevillaH xG 2.3–0.8 4–1 Next RB LeipzigH 70%

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Upcoming fixtures

Real Madrid · All competitions

Forecast
RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home 70% win 2.27 xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 15% win 0.62 xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 74% win 2.38 xPts AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away 59% win 1.99 xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away 63% win 2.10 xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Lask LinzUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home — win — xPts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away — win — xPts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Athletic ClubLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ValenciaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Celta VigoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts OsasunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GetafeLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LevanteLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BarcelonaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Racing SantanderLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlavesLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Real Madrid · All competitions

Full time
SevillaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 2.3–0.8 xG +0.6 Δpts AS RomaUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Away W 4–3 1.9–1.5 xG +1.5 Δpts VillarrealLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 1–0 1.0–0.6 xG +0.9 Δpts Atletico MadridLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.3–2.4 xG -1.7 Δpts ElcheLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 3.6–0.8 xG +0.7 Δpts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 2.6–1.2 xG +0.5 Δpts InterUEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · Home W 2–1 — xG +1.0 Δpts Real BetisLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 3.5–0.9 xG -2.0 Δpts MalagaLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–0 2.6–0.7 xG +0.5 Δpts Real SociedadLa Liga 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 3.1–0.6 xG +0.6 Δpts EspanyolLa Liga 2026-2027 · Away W 2–1 2.7–1.1 xG +1.0 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Real Madrid first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Moderate · 28

Rest profile3 days since last match
53%
Schedule load3 matches in last 14 days
30%
Travel loadHome match, 2,731 km in 14 days
17%
Squad availability3 out, no key players
2%

Load before the next match, vs RB Leipzig, 21 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 11/100
W
 Aug 26 Aug vs Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 17/100
W
 30 Aug vs Malaga: Schedule difficulty 5/100; match difficulty 10/100
W
 4 Sep at Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 27/100
L
 Sep 8 Sep vs Inter: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 40/100
W
 12 Sep vs Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 17/100
W
 15 Sep at Elche: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 11/100
W
 20 Sep at Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 37/100
L
 10 Oct vs Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 23/100
W
 Oct 14 Oct at AS Roma: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 29/100
W
 18 Oct vs Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 14/100
W
 21 Oct vs RB Leipzig: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 24/100 25 Oct at Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 61/100 1 Nov at Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 11/100 Nov 4 Nov at AEK Athens FC: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 15/100 7 Nov at Valencia: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 14/100 22 Nov vs Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 15/100 24 Nov vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 28/100 29 Nov vs Alaves: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 6 Dec at Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 16/100 Dec 9 Dec at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 65/100 13 Dec vs Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 12/100 20 Dec at Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 12/100 3 Jan vs Getafe: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 Jan 10 Jan vs Levante: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 17 Jan at Malaga: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 10/100 19 Jan vs Lask Linz: Schedule difficulty 13/100; match difficulty 10/100 24 Jan vs Real Betis: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 27/100 27 Jan at Shakhtar Donetsk: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 17/100 31 Jan at Rayo Vallecano: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 17/100 7 Feb at Real Sociedad: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 17/100 Feb 14 Feb vs Athletic Club: Schedule difficulty 8/100; match difficulty 16/100 21 Feb at Sevilla: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 14/100 28 Feb vs Valencia: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 14/100 7 Mar at Villarreal: Schedule difficulty 15/100; match difficulty 23/100 Mar 14 Mar vs Espanyol: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 21 Mar at Celta Vigo: Schedule difficulty 11/100; match difficulty 15/100 4 Apr vs Atletico Madrid: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 37/100 Apr 11 Apr at Osasuna: Schedule difficulty 9/100; match difficulty 12/100 18 Apr at Getafe: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 21 Apr vs Elche: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 11/100 2 May at Levante: Schedule difficulty 10/100; match difficulty 13/100 May 9 May vs Barcelona: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 16 May vs Racing Santander: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 11/100 23 May at Alaves: Schedule difficulty 7/100; match difficulty 13/100 30 May vs Deportivo La Coruna: Schedule difficulty 6/100; match difficulty 12/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest3 daysbefore LEI
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel / 14d2,731 kmaway trips
Schedule load28%Moderate
vs RB LeipzigWed 21 Oct, 20:00 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 68 70%win16%draw14%loss Moderate load · 3 d rest · 3 in 14 d at BarcelonaSun 25 Oct, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 93 15%win17%draw68%loss Moderate load · 4 d rest · 3 in 14 d at Racing SantanderSun 1 Nov, 15:15 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 41 74%win15%draw11%loss Moderate load · 6.8 d rest · 3 in 14 d at AEK Athens FCWed 4 Nov, 17:45 UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase · opponent L90 Strength 53 59%win21%draw19%loss High load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d at ValenciaSat 7 Nov, 20:00 La Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 51 63%win21%draw16%loss Moderate load · 3.1 d rest · 3 in 14 d
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs RB Leipzig, 21 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+5%

Baseline 6.50 → Forecast 6.83 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing+48%

Baseline 3.32 → Forecast 4.91 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs RB Leipzig21 Oct · UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase +8% +22% 2.61 → 2.82
at Barcelona25 Oct · La Liga 2026-2027 −37% +131% 1.95 → 1.23
at Racing Santander1 Nov · La Liga 2026-2027 +43% −14% 1.94 → 2.79

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Real Madrid

Baseline: average La Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +8% Expected goals Baseline2.61Forecast2.82
Conceding Risk +22% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.00Forecast1.22
Clean Sheet −7.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline36.7%Forecast29.6%