Sparta Rotterdam

13th · Eredivisie · 9 points · Matches played: 9

14 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+4.6 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -1.9 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 18.3+4.6
World Rank 411th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 15th L90 Strength
Last Willem IIH xG 3.5–1.2 3–2 Next AjaxH 21%

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Upcoming fixtures

Sparta Rotterdam · All competitions

Forecast
AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 21% win 0.81 xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 25% win 0.95 xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 34% win 1.27 xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Sparta Rotterdam · All competitions

Full time
Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 3–2 3.5–1.2 xG +1.0 Δpts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away D 3–3 1.9–1.2 xG +0.1 Δpts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 0–4 — xG -1.6 Δpts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away L 1–4 — xG -0.2 Δpts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 2–2 — xG -0.7 Δpts ExcelsiorEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 — xG -1.0 Δpts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home D 3–3 1.7–1.9 xG -0.4 Δpts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 3–1 2.5–1.4 xG +2.2 Δpts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.0–3.5 xG -0.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Sparta Rotterdam first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile7.9 days since last match
0%
Schedule load1 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability2 out, 2 key: S. Mito, M. van Bergen · Last match: 17 Oct
15%

Load before the next match, vs Ajax, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 9 Aug vs Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 84/100
L
 Aug 14 Aug at Telstar: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
W
 22 Aug vs Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
D
 29 Aug at Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100
L
 4 Sep vs PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100
D
 Sep 13 Sep at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100
L
 19 Sep vs Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100
L
 10 Oct at GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100
D
 Oct 17 Oct vs Willem II: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100
W
 25 Oct vs Ajax: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 1 Nov at Groningen: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 Nov 7 Nov at ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 22 Nov vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 28 Nov at Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 5 Dec vs NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100 Dec 13 Dec at Twente: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 19 Dec at Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 9 Jan vs Excelsior: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 Jan 15 Jan at Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 24 Jan vs Groningen: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 30 Jan vs Telstar: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 14 Feb at Willem II: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Feb 21 Feb at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100 28 Feb vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 45/100; match difficulty 90/100 7 Mar vs Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 56/100 Mar 14 Mar at AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 77/100 21 Mar at Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100 4 Apr vs ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 Apr 11 Apr vs GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 25 Apr at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 42/100; match difficulty 84/100 2 May vs Twente: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 75/100 May 9 May at PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 16 May at Ajax: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 23 May vs Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest7.9 daysbefore AJA
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs AjaxSun 25 Oct, 15:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 53 21%win19%draw60%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest at GroningenSun 1 Nov, 15:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 30 25%win20%draw55%loss Low load · 7 d rest at ADO Den HaagSat 7 Nov, 17:45 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 15 34%win24%draw42%loss Low load · 6.1 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Ajax, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−9%

Baseline 3.26 → Forecast 2.98 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+23%

Baseline 3.92 → Forecast 4.82 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Ajax25 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −22% +42% 1.83 → 1.43
at Groningen1 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 +8% +7% 1.44 → 1.55
at ADO Den Haag7 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Sparta Rotterdam

Baseline: average Eredivisie opponent

Attack Downlift −22% Expected goals Baseline1.83Forecast1.43
Conceding Risk +42% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.74Forecast2.48
Clean Sheet −9.2 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline17.6%Forecast8.4%