Clubs Compare

Arsenal vs Manchester United

Real strength. Different football profiles.

Arsenal

Premier League · 2026-2027

Rating as of 20 Oct 2026
Power94.4
The football profile

Club DNA

ArsenalManchester United

Strength Profile · Current

Fixed 0–100 ratings. Power is the Elo baseline; Attack and Defence use a common reference opponent. Form is opponent-adjusted.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Arsenal · Power 94.4 ptsArsenal · Attack 86.3 ptsArsenal · Defence 94.9 ptsArsenal · Form 92.2 ptsArsenal · Consistency 66.6 ptsArsenal · Squad Availability 77.6 % Manchester United · Power 79.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 72.1 ptsManchester United · Defence 79.5 ptsManchester United · Form 37.5 ptsManchester United · Consistency 58.0 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 82.3 % Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Arsenal · Power 94.4 ptsArsenal · Attack 86.3 ptsArsenal · Defence 94.9 ptsArsenal · Form 92.2 ptsArsenal · Consistency 66.6 ptsArsenal · Squad Availability 77.6 % Manchester United · Power 79.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 72.1 ptsManchester United · Defence 79.5 ptsManchester United · Form 37.5 ptsManchester United · Consistency 58.0 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 82.3 %
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

94.4Power79.4
Arsenal +15.0 pts
86.3Attack72.1
Arsenal +14.2 pts
94.9Defence79.5
Arsenal +15.4 pts
92.2Form37.5
Arsenal +54.7 pts
66.6Consistency58.0
Arsenal +8.6 pts
77.6%Squad Availability82.3%
Manchester United +4.7 pp

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Arsenal shows better recent form.
  • Arsenal holds the defensive advantage.
  • Arsenal has the higher Power rating.
  • Manchester United had more of its weighted squad available for its last completed match.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Arsenal · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 3 pre-match / 17 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 18 Oct 2026

Manchester United · Form 5/5 · Consistency 20/20 covered matches · 3 pre-match / 17 historical forecast backfills · Availability · last completed match 18 Oct 2026

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Arsenal · Current gap SD 1.00 points · mean gap 0.52 · Full window

Manchester United · Current gap SD 1.26 points · mean gap -0.02 · Full window

Playing Style · Current

Observed profile · last 10 matches before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Arsenal · Possession 57.1 %Arsenal · Pass accuracy 86.9 %Arsenal · Shots in the box 71.5 %Arsenal · On target share 34.1 %Arsenal · Shot Frequency 2.7 shots/100 passesArsenal · Corner Pressure 5.1 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 53.1 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 59.7 %Manchester United · On target share 31.3 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 5.6 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Arsenal · Possession 57.1 %Arsenal · Pass accuracy 86.9 %Arsenal · Shots in the box 71.5 %Arsenal · On target share 34.1 %Arsenal · Shot Frequency 2.7 shots/100 passesArsenal · Corner Pressure 5.1 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 53.1 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.5 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 59.7 %Manchester United · On target share 31.3 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.5 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 5.6 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

57.1%Possession53.1%
Arsenal +4.0 pp
86.9%Pass accuracy86.5%
Arsenal +0.4 pp
71.5%Shots in the box59.7%
Arsenal +11.8 pp
34.1%On target share31.3%
Arsenal +2.8 pp
2.7Shot Frequency3.5
Manchester United +0.8 shots/100 passes
5.1Corner Pressure5.6
Manchester United +0.5 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Arsenal · Window 10 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 9/10 · Corner Pressure 9/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Manchester United · Window 10 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 10/10 · Corner Pressure 10/10 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Strength Profile · Season Average

Match-sampled averages of available ratings this season, across tracked competitions. These are not time-weighted averages or a measure of consistency.

Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency Squad Availability Arsenal · Power 94.4 ptsArsenal · Attack 89.1 ptsArsenal · Defence 94.6 ptsArsenal · Form 93.2 ptsArsenal · Consistency 62.0 ptsArsenal · Squad Availability 75.7 % Manchester United · Power 81.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 77.9 ptsManchester United · Defence 77.2 ptsManchester United · Form 53.7 ptsManchester United · Consistency 55.9 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 80.1 % Strength profile radarCommon axes run from zero at the centre to 100 at the edge. Exact values appear alongside. A missing metric leaves the shape incomplete. 255075100 Power Attack Defence Form Consistency SquadAvailability Arsenal · Power 94.4 ptsArsenal · Attack 89.1 ptsArsenal · Defence 94.6 ptsArsenal · Form 93.2 ptsArsenal · Consistency 62.0 ptsArsenal · Squad Availability 75.7 % Manchester United · Power 81.4 ptsManchester United · Attack 77.9 ptsManchester United · Defence 77.2 ptsManchester United · Form 53.7 ptsManchester United · Consistency 55.9 ptsManchester United · Squad Availability 80.1 %
Ratings · 0–100 · Availability is a percentage

Strength comparison

Point gaps · Availability in percentage points

94.4Power81.4
Arsenal +13.0 pts
89.1Attack77.9
Arsenal +11.2 pts
94.6Defence77.2
Arsenal +17.4 pts
93.2Form53.7
Arsenal +39.5 pts
62.0Consistency55.9
Arsenal +6.1 pts
75.7%Squad Availability80.1%
Manchester United +4.4 pp

Consistency measures variation in points minus LOAD90 expected points, centred on the club’s average gap. Higher means less variation, not better results. Squad Availability is the percentage of model-weighted squad available for the last completed match, using its saved pre-match snapshot. It does not predict readiness for the next match. Missing historical data stays unavailable.

What separates them

The Difference

  • Arsenal has the higher average Form value.
  • Arsenal has the higher average Defence value.
  • Arsenal has the higher average Power value.
  • Manchester United has the higher average Squad Availability value.
Descriptive rating gaps, not a match forecast. Small gaps are left out; missing ratings are not compared.

Arsenal · Power 9 · Attack 3 · Defence 3 · Form 6 · Consistency 9 · Squad Availability 3 · 3 pre-match / 6 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

Manchester United · Power 9 · Attack 3 · Defence 3 · Form 6 · Consistency 9 · Squad Availability 3 · 3 pre-match / 6 historical Elo backfills. Minimum 3 observations per average. Consistency averages eligible rolling windows, which overlap; availability uses genuine pre-match snapshots only. Historical Form is reconstructed using the current calibration.

How Consistency works

For each match, gap = points earned − LOAD90 expected points. Consistency = 100 × (1 − SD(gaps) / 3), with SD calculated around the window’s mean gap. The endpoints come from the mathematical bounds of point gaps; this is not a fitted percentile or a forecast factor. A constant positive or negative gap can be consistent.

Current uses the latest 20 completed tracked matches within one year. At least 15 usable forecasts and 75% coverage are required. A 15–19-match score is provisional; comparative Consistency insights require 20 each. Historical backfills are reconstructed expectations, not forecasts archived before kickoff. Result randomness and changes in model calibration can affect the score.

Arsenal · Current gap SD 1.00 points · mean gap 0.52 · Full window

Manchester United · Current gap SD 1.26 points · mean gap -0.02 · Full window

Playing Style · Season Average

Observed profile · league season before each club’s reference fixture. Native units and coverage are shown below.

Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Pass accuracy 0–100 % Shots in the box 0–100 % On target share 0–100 % Shot Frequency 0–6 shots/100 passes Corner Pressure 0–12 corners/90 Arsenal · Possession 61.4 %Arsenal · Pass accuracy 87.0 %Arsenal · Shots in the box 73.0 %Arsenal · On target share 33.7 %Arsenal · Shot Frequency 2.4 shots/100 passesArsenal · Corner Pressure 4.7 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 54.7 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.4 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 55.3 %Manchester United · On target share 25.5 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.8 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 6.1 corners/90 Playing style radarEach axis has its own labelled native range, shared by both clubs and both periods. Grid rings mark quarters of those ranges. Exact values appear alongside; missing data leaves the shape incomplete. Possession 0–100 % Passaccuracy 0–100 % Shots inthe box 0–100 % On targetshare 0–100 % ShotFrequency 0–6 shots/100 passes CornerPressure 0–12 corners/90 Arsenal · Possession 61.4 %Arsenal · Pass accuracy 87.0 %Arsenal · Shots in the box 73.0 %Arsenal · On target share 33.7 %Arsenal · Shot Frequency 2.4 shots/100 passesArsenal · Corner Pressure 4.7 corners/90 Manchester United · Possession 54.7 %Manchester United · Pass accuracy 86.4 %Manchester United · Shots in the box 55.3 %Manchester United · On target share 25.5 %Manchester United · Shot Frequency 3.8 shots/100 passesManchester United · Corner Pressure 6.1 corners/90
Native units · axis ranges shown · larger is not better

How they play

Differences in each metric’s native units

61.4%Possession54.7%
Arsenal +6.7 pp
87.0%Pass accuracy86.4%
Arsenal +0.6 pp
73.0%Shots in the box55.3%
Arsenal +17.7 pp
33.7%On target share25.5%
Arsenal +8.2 pp
2.4Shot Frequency3.8
Manchester United +1.4 shots/100 passes
4.7Corner Pressure6.1
Manchester United +1.4 corners/90

Shot Frequency = shots per 100 passes on the same covered matches: how quickly passing sequences turn into attempts. Corner Pressure = corners per completed 90-minute game. These describe attacking tendencies, not strength; extra time and custom-length games are excluded.

These are observed profiles. League and schedule differences can affect them. The radar uses native axis ranges shared by both clubs and both periods; a larger shape does not imply superiority.

Arsenal · Window 7 matches · before 24 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

Manchester United · Window 7 matches · before 25 Oct 2026 · Shot Frequency 7/7 · Corner Pressure 7/7 covered regulation matches. Per-metric coverage of the four percentage shares is unavailable.

The season so far

Historical Trend

Power · 0–100

Base Power at recorded match dates. Solid lines join saved pre-match ratings; dashed segments include historical Elo backfills. The same fixed scale is used for both clubs.

Season Power historyAvailable pre-match Power observations and historical Elo backfills. Lines connect observations, not daily measurements. Exact dates and values are available in the table below. 0255075100 Arsenal · 2026-08-21 19:00:00 UTC · 94.2 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-08-31 19:00:00 UTC · 94.3 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-09-06 15:30:00 UTC · 94.5 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-09-09 19:00:00 UTC · 94.6 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-09-12 19:00:00 UTC · 94.8 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-09-19 14:00:00 UTC · 94.9 · backfill Arsenal · 2026-10-10 11:30:00 UTC · 94.1 · pre Arsenal · 2026-10-13 19:00:00 UTC · 94.2 · pre Arsenal · 2026-10-18 15:30:00 UTC · 94.2 · pre Manchester United · 2026-08-22 11:30:00 UTC · 83.7 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-08-30 15:30:00 UTC · 81.4 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-06 13:00:00 UTC · 81.9 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-10 19:00:00 UTC · 81.8 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-13 15:30:00 UTC · 82.1 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-09-20 15:30:00 UTC · 81.1 · backfill Manchester United · 2026-10-10 16:30:00 UTC · 81 · pre Manchester United · 2026-10-13 19:00:00 UTC · 80.4 · pre Manchester United · 2026-10-18 13:00:00 UTC · 79.2 · pre 21 Aug 202618 Oct 2026
ArsenalManchester United
View history data and coverage
ClubDate (UTC)PowerSource
Arsenal2026-08-21 19:00:0094.2Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-08-31 19:00:0094.3Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-09-06 15:30:0094.5Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-09-09 19:00:0094.6Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-09-12 19:00:0094.8Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-09-19 14:00:0094.9Historical Elo backfill
Arsenal2026-10-10 11:30:0094.1Saved pre-match
Arsenal2026-10-13 19:00:0094.2Saved pre-match
Arsenal2026-10-18 15:30:0094.2Saved pre-match
Manchester United2026-08-22 11:30:0083.7Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-08-30 15:30:0081.4Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-06 13:00:0081.9Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-10 19:00:0081.8Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-13 15:30:0082.1Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-09-20 15:30:0081.1Historical Elo backfill
Manchester United2026-10-10 16:30:0081.0Saved pre-match
Manchester United2026-10-13 19:00:0080.4Saved pre-match
Manchester United2026-10-18 13:00:0079.2Saved pre-match
Chances, finishing & results

Efficiency

From chances to results. Exact values share a scale within each row; colours identify the clubs.

Last 10

Arsenal
Manchester United
ConversionGoals / shots · %
11.7% 9/10 covered
9.7% 10/10 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
75.0% 7/10 covered
69.4% 9/10 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
+0.05 8/10 covered
-0.12 9/10 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
+0.11 8/10 covered
-0.04 9/10 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.133 8/10 covered
0.091 9/10 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
14.2 9/10 covered
17.6 10/10 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.67 7/7 covered
1.63 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.78 7/7 covered
1.34 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
2.57 7/7 league matches
1.00 7/7 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+1.64 5/5 Form window
-4.20 5/5 Form window

Arsenal · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · W · W · L · W

Manchester United · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · L · D · D · L

League season

Arsenal
Manchester United
ConversionGoals / shots · %
12.8% 7/7 covered
7.3% 7/7 covered
Save RateSaves / shots on target faced · %
71.4% 6/7 covered
67.7% 7/7 covered
Goals − xGFinishing gap · per match
-0.10 7/7 covered
-0.20 7/7 covered
xGA − GAGoals prevented · per match
+0.07 7/7 covered
-0.09 7/7 covered
Shot QualityObserved xG / shot
0.136 7/7 covered
0.083 7/7 covered
Shot VolumeShots / 90
12.3 7/7 covered
19.6 7/7 covered
xG / matchLeague season · fixed window
1.67 7/7 covered
1.63 7/7 covered
xGA / matchLeague season · fixed window
0.78 7/7 covered
1.34 7/7 covered
Points / gameLeague season · fixed window
2.57 7/7 league matches
1.00 7/7 league matches
Points vs expected · Form windowUp to 5 matches · stored pure forecasts
+1.64 5/5 Form window
-4.20 5/5 Form window

Arsenal · Statistics before 24 Oct 2026 · Recent results W · W · W · L · W

Manchester United · Statistics before 25 Oct 2026 · Recent results D · L · D · D · L

Positive Goals − xG means more goals scored than the observed chances predicted. Positive xGA − GA means fewer goals conceded than those chances predicted; it reflects defence and goalkeeping together. Gaps are per covered match and pair goals and xG on the same matches. Shot Quality pairs total xG and total shots. Minimum three known matches per metric; missing data stays unavailable.

Butterfly bars grow from the centre towards each club. Length shows magnitude, not superiority; negative gaps use stripes and a minus sign. Percentages use 0–100%, PPG uses 0–3; other rows share the larger absolute value as their limit. xG, xGA and PPG retain their league-season window. Points vs expected retains the latest up to five completed matches with stored pure forecasts across tracked competitions; results are newest first. These observed metrics are not adjusted for league or opponent strength.

About this comparison

Strength ratings share LOAD90’s fixed scales across leagues. Elo reflects opponent quality; Attack and Defence describe performance against the same reference club on a neutral pitch. Form adjusts for opponents and venue. League Strength is not added a second time. Cross-league ratings remain model estimates; sparse connections between leagues and incomplete data limit precision. Explore the methodology →