Bundesliga Gameweek 10 Sat, Nov 21 · 14:30 Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt am Main
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Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel97 kmRest days14 · 12.8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Eintracht Frankfurt—%
Draw—%
1899 Hoffenheim—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Frankfurt am Main)

Forecast from 6 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1899 Hoffenheim. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Eintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
48 Current StrengthIn forecast 49
54 AttackIn forecast 46
37 DefenceIn forecast 43
52 Form indexContext 15
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt

Attack—
Defense risk—

1899 Hoffenheim

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Eintracht Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.83
2.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.33
1.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.70
2.00 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.40
-0.10 Goals minus xGContext +0.13
83% Scored inContext 100%
17% Clean sheetsContext 0%
14.67 ShotsContext 17.83
5.83 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.33
40% On target shareContext 30%
11.50 Shots in the boxContext 11.00
78% Box shareContext 61%
11% ConversionContext 10%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.20
17.50 Shots allowedContext 13.50
7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
5.00 BlocksContext 4.33
4.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.33
67% Save rateContext 52%
51% PossessionIn forecast 57%
436 PassesContext 499
353 Accurate passesContext 405
81% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.86 Team ratingContext 6.83
10.33 FoulsContext 13.33
13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 10.00
2.33 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
1.60 xGVia Att/Def 1.56
1.75 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.52
+0.00 Goals minus xGContext -0.16
90% Scored inContext 80%
10% Clean sheetsContext 10%
14.10 ShotsContext 16.60
5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.70
41% On target shareContext 28%
9.60 Shots in the boxContext 10.30
68% Box shareContext 62%
11% ConversionContext 8%
2.22 OffsidesContext 2.14
15.70 Shots allowedContext 12.90
6.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20
4.44 BlocksContext 4.10
4.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.10
66% Save rateContext 50%
53% PossessionIn forecast 59%
449 PassesContext 515
370 Accurate passesContext 426
82% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.78 Team ratingContext 6.72
10.80 FoulsContext 14.00
12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 9.00
2.30 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km357 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 52 · 7 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · +0.7 vs expected
  • W16 OctH · 1.FC Köln1–01.8 xPts
  • L10 OctA · RB Leipzig0–60.8 xPts
  • D19 SepH · SC Freiburg2–21.3 xPts
  • W12 SepA · FSV Mainz 053–10.9 xPts
  • L6 SepH · FC Augsburg1–41.5 xPts
1899 Hoffenheim
Rest12.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel97 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 15 · 3 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -5.0 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.2 xPts
  • L15 OctH · Besiktas2–31.5 xPts
  • L10 OctH · Hamburger SV2–31.9 xPts
  • L20 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–31.4 xPts
  • L17 SepA · OFI0–21.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Eintracht Frankfurt 1899 Hoffenheim
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14Bundesliga 2026-2027, 7 Nov12.8Bundesliga 2026-2027, 8 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km97 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways357 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 30 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one7.15.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Last XI · not confirmed
4-4-2 · vs 1.FC Köln (H) 1–0, 16 Oct
1N. Atubolu(G)
26K. Kosugi 3L. Brassier 4R. Koch 34P. Collins
8F. Chaïbi 27M. Götze 25R. Onyedika 20R. Doan
11Y. Ebnoutalib 9J. Burkardt
1899 Hoffenheim Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) 2–1, 18 Oct
1O. Baumann(G)
39M. Rots 28K. Machida 2R. Hranáč 34V. Coufal
22A. Prass 7L. Avdullahu
10A. Hložek 11F. Asllani 20B. Conté
19T. Lemperle

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Eintracht Frankfurt Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
1899 Hoffenheim Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Eintracht Frankfurt · Home 1.33points per game · 3 home games
W-D-L
1-1-1
Scored
1.33
Conceded
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored
1.67
Conceded
2.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 10 of 10 meetings

5 Eintracht Frankfurt wins2 draws3 1899 Hoffenheim wins
Goals per game2.40 – 1.90 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 24 Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt1–31899 Hoffenheim
  • 30 Aug 20251899 Hoffenheim1–3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 26 Jan 20251899 Hoffenheim2–2Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 31 Aug 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
  • 10 Mar 2024Eintracht Frankfurt3–11899 Hoffenheim
  • 21 Oct 20231899 Hoffenheim1–3Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goal timing

Eintracht Frankfurt6 games · scored 10 · conceded 16
5 3 0-15
16-30
2 3 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 5 76-90
1899 Hoffenheim6 games · scored 11 · conceded 14
2 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 3 46-60
2 4 61-75
4 76-90
Eintracht Frankfurt10 games · scored 16 · conceded 24
6 4 0-15
16-30
2 7 31-45
2 6 46-60
3 2 61-75
3 5 76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
2 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 4 46-60
3 5 61-75
1 8 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.