Lyon vs Angers – 31 Oct 2026

Ligue 1 Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 31 · 19:45 Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu

Lyon 1st · 14 pts · 7 played WDWLW

VS— Compare

Angers 15th · 7 pts · 7 played LDWLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Lyon are clear favourites.

Lyon are the stronger side on L90 Strength (60 vs 19). Lyon have 6 days of rest, Angers 6.1 and have to travel 461 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel461 kmRest days6 · 6.1Matches / 14d3 · 2

Lyon77%

Draw14%

Angers9%

Expected goals 2.88 – 0.94

Lyon71%

Draw18%

Angers11%

Expected goals 2.30 – 0.78

Lyon77%

Draw14%

Angers9%

Expected goals 2.88 – 0.94

Lyon70%

Draw17%

Angers13%

Expected goals 2.57 – 1.06

Lyon77%

Draw14%

Angers9%

Expected goals 2.89 – 0.96

Over 2.5 74% Both score 58% Likeliest score 2–0

EloLambda forecast, updated 7 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Décines-Charpieu)

13°CMainly clear

Precipitation 20%
Wind 12 km/h
Humidity 93%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Lyon 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Lyon

Angers

60 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

60 Current StrengthIn forecast 19

55 AttackIn forecast 22

56 DefenceIn forecast 12

85 Form indexContext 16

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lyon

Attack+42%

Defense risk−21%

Angers

Attack−14%

Defense risk+15%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Lyon

Angers

1.86 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.29

0.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.14

1.22 xGVia Att/Def 1.79

1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.30

+0.64 Goals minus xGContext -0.50

86% Scored inContext 71%

43% Clean sheetsContext 29%

12.29 ShotsContext 13.29

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

38% On target shareContext 23%

8.57 Shots in the boxContext 9.00

71% Box shareContext 68%

15% ConversionContext 10%

2.20 OffsidesContext 2.00

11.86 Shots allowedContext 17.29

4.14 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.57

1.71 BlocksContext 3.86

3.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.71

79% Save rateContext 72%

52% PossessionIn forecast 49%

468 PassesContext 420

400 Accurate passesContext 353

85% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.97 Team ratingContext 6.73

11.00 FoulsContext 10.57

14.14 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

1.43 Yellow cardsContext 1.57

0.14 Red cardsContext 0.14

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.32 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.57 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.96

+0.58 Goals minus xGContext -0.32

90% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 20%

12.70 ShotsContext 12.10

5.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

42% On target shareContext 25%

9.10 Shots in the boxContext 8.30

72% Box shareContext 68%

15% ConversionContext 10%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.00

12.40 Shots allowedContext 17.10

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.60

2.30 BlocksContext 3.50

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.80

76% Save rateContext 73%

52% PossessionIn forecast 46%

457 PassesContext 394

389 Accurate passesContext 328

85% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.95 Team ratingContext 6.71

10.50 FoulsContext 10.00

13.80 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lyon WWLWW

Rest6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km1,764 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 85 · 12 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +4.3 vs expected

W18 OctH · Nice2–12.2 xPts
W15 OctH · Crystal Palace3–21.5 xPts
L9 OctA · Lens1–21.1 xPts
W19 SepH · Rennes4–01.6 xPts
W16 SepA · Anderlecht2–11.3 xPts

Angers LDWLL

Rest6.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel461 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 16 · 4 pts vs 8.7 for an average club · -2.0 vs expected

L18 OctH · Marseille2–51.0 xPts
L10 OctA · Stade Brestois 291–50.9 xPts
W19 SepH · Estac Troyes2–01.8 xPts
D12 SepA · LE Havre0–01.2 xPts
L6 SepH · Rennes1–21.1 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lyon	Angers
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 20	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6Ligue 1 2026-2027, 25 Oct	6.1Ligue 1 2026-2027, 25 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	461 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,764 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 5	1 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	7.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lyon Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Nice (H) 2–1, 18 Oct

40R. Descamps(G)

16Abner 19M. Niakhaté 22Clinton Mata 13Z. Athekame

2M. Bidstrup 6F. Tessmann

24J. Duranville 99N. Nartey 26K. Boudache

10P. Šulc

Angers Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Marseille (H) 2–5, 18 Oct

1A. Lopes(G)

27L. Rao-Lisoa 34Maël Gernigon 24E. Biumla 2C. Arcus

8B. van den Boomen 14Y. Belkhdim

10M. Sbaï 6L. Mouton 18J. Allevinah

19A. El Ouazzani

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lyon No reported absences

Angers No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Lyon+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Angers+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Lyon · Home 2.50points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 3-1-0
Scored: 2.50
Conceded: 0.75

Angers · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Lyon	Angers
Rennes	W 4–0 H	L 1–2 H
Auxerre	W 3–1 H	W 3–1 A
LE Havre	D 1–1 H	D 0–0 A
Points	7 of 9 · 2.33 per game	4 of 9 · 1.33 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 8 of 8 meetings

6 Lyon wins1 draws1 Angers wins

Goals per game2.13 – 0.75 Over 2.563% Both scored25% Clean sheets63% · 25%

5 Apr 2026Angers0–0Lyon
19 Sep 2025Lyon1–0Angers
17 May 2025Lyon2–0Angers
7 Dec 2024Angers0–3Lyon
25 Feb 2023Angers1–3Lyon
3 Sep 2022Lyon5–0Angers

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Lyon	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.86	1.29
Conceded per game	0.71	2.14
Match goals	2.57	3.43	3.82
Over 1.5	86%	86%
Over 2.5	57%	57%	74%
Over 3.5	29%	43%
Both teams scored	57%	57%	58%
Clean sheets	43%	29%
Failed to score	14%	29%
Games	7	7

	Lyon	Angers	Forecast
Scored per game	1.90	1.20
Conceded per game	1.00	2.00
Match goals	2.90	3.20	3.82
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	74%
Over 3.5	30%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	58%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lyon	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.29	6.43
Corners conceded	6.29	5.71
Match total	10.58	12.14	9.63
Over 8.5	86% 6/7	86% 6/7
Over 9.5	86% 6/7	71% 5/7
Over 10.5	57% 4/7	57% 4/7
Cards
Cards	1.57	1.71
Opponent cards	2.14	1.57
Match total	3.71	3.28	3.47
Over 3.5	43% 3/7	43% 3/7
Over 4.5	29% 2/7	29% 2/7

	Lyon	Angers	League
Corners
Corners won	4.40	6.00
Corners conceded	6.00	5.56
Match total	10.40	11.56	9.63
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	89% 8/9
Over 9.5	80% 8/10	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.90
Opponent cards	2.10	1.70
Match total	3.60	3.60	3.47
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.