Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich

Premier League Gameweek 37 Sun, May 23 · 15:00 The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Nottingham Forest 19th · 5 pts · 7 played DWLLL

VS— Compare

Ipswich 10th · 9 pts · 7 played LWLWL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel185 kmRest days8 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Nottingham Forest—%

Draw—%

Ipswich—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)

Forecast from 8 May

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Alert Ipswich 2.1 Goals conceded per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals conceded · W/D/L colours

Streaks

Streak Nottingham Forest 3 Losses in a row Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Nottingham Forest

Ipswich

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

70 Current StrengthIn forecast 49

68 AttackIn forecast 59

74 DefenceIn forecast 50

41 Form indexContext 64

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Nottingham Forest

Attack—

Defense risk—

Ipswich

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Nottingham Forest

Ipswich

0.71 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.57

1.29 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.14

1.56 xGVia Att/Def 1.52

1.18 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.03

-0.85 Goals minus xGContext +0.05

43% Scored inContext 71%

14% Clean sheetsContext 0%

17.14 ShotsContext 11.00

3.57 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.43

21% On target shareContext 40%

10.43 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

61% Box shareContext 66%

4% ConversionContext 14%

2.33 OffsidesContext 2.60

10.57 Shots allowedContext 16.86

3.83 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.57

3.00 BlocksContext 5.00

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.29

68% Save rateContext 59%

46% PossessionIn forecast 43%

370 PassesContext 401

292 Accurate passesContext 331

79% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.79 Team ratingContext 6.65

14.14 FoulsContext 11.71

11.57 Fouls sufferedContext 9.14

2.29 Yellow cardsContext 1.71

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 7 and 7 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

1.56 xGVia Att/Def 1.56

1.53 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.71

-0.66 Goals minus xGContext +0.04

60% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 20%

16.30 ShotsContext 12.10

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.90

25% On target shareContext 41%

10.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.90

65% Box shareContext 67%

6% ConversionContext 13%

2.11 OffsidesContext 2.38

13.60 Shots allowedContext 16.00

4.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.30

4.40 BlocksContext 5.10

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

70% Save rateContext 66%

46% PossessionIn forecast 46%

388 PassesContext 396

309 Accurate passesContext 323

80% Pass accuracyContext 82%

6.81 Team ratingContext 6.77

13.10 FoulsContext 11.70

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.40

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Nottingham Forest DWLLL

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km350 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 41 · 4 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected

L18 OctH · Arsenal0–10.9 xPts
L11 OctA · Crystal Palace1–31.4 xPts
L19 SepH · Coventry0–12.1 xPts
W12 SepA · Aston Villa2–11.0 xPts
D5 SepH · Tottenham0–01.9 xPts

Ipswich LWLWL

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel185 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 64 · 6 pts vs 4.4 for an average club · +1.8 vs expected

L17 OctA · Manchester City2–30.4 xPts
W10 OctH · Fulham2–11.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Everton0–10.8 xPts
W12 SepA · Crystal Palace3–20.8 xPts
L4 SepH · Liverpool0–20.9 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8Premier League 2026-2027, 15 May	8Premier League 2026-2027, 15 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	185 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	350 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Nottingham Forest Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Arsenal (H) 0–1, 18 Oct

26M. Sels(G)

5Murillo 2O. Diomande 23Jair

3N. Williams 21X. Schlager 24J. McAtee 27D. Muñoz

14D. Ndoye 8N. Domínguez

19L. Delap

Ipswich Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Manchester City (A) 2–3, 17 Oct

28C. Walton(G)

24J. Greaves 6I. Diop 26D. O'Shea

3L. Davis 25E. Palacios 12Florentino 42A. Ouattara

10J. Enciso 38D. Maeda

19Emersonn

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Nottingham Forest Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Ipswich Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Nottingham Forest · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 0.75

Ipswich · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 1.75
Conceded: 2.75

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich
Crystal Palace	L 1–3 A	W 3–2 A
Liverpool	D 2–2 A	L 0–2 H
Points	1 of 6 · 0.50 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

2 Nottingham Forest wins0 draws0 Ipswich wins

Goals per game2.50 – 1.00 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets50% · 0%

15 Mar 2025Ipswich2–4Nottingham Forest
30 Nov 2024Nottingham Forest1–0Ipswich

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich
Scored per game	0.71	1.57
Conceded per game	1.29	2.14
Match goals	2.00	3.71
Over 1.5	43%	86%
Over 2.5	43%	71%
Over 3.5	29%	43%
Both teams scored	43%	71%
Clean sheets	14%	0%
Failed to score	57%	29%
Games	7	7

	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich
Scored per game	0.90	1.57
Conceded per game	1.40	2.14
Match goals	2.30	3.71
Over 1.5	60%	86%
Over 2.5	40%	71%
Over 3.5	30%	43%
Both teams scored	60%	71%
Clean sheets	10%	0%
Failed to score	40%	29%
Games	10	7

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich	League
Corners
Corners won	4.71	3.29
Corners conceded	4.86	4.86
Match total	9.57	8.15	9.49
Over 8.5	43% 3/7	29% 2/7
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	14% 1/7
Over 10.5	43% 3/7	14% 1/7
Cards
Cards	2.29	1.86
Opponent cards	1.71	2.29
Match total	4.00	4.15	4.17
Over 3.5	57% 4/7	71% 5/7
Over 4.5	29% 2/7	43% 3/7

	Nottingham Forest	Ipswich	League
Corners
Corners won	4.70	4.20
Corners conceded	4.50	4.30
Match total	9.20	8.50	9.49
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Over 10.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	1.50	1.90
Match total	3.50	3.90	4.17
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.