Omonia Nicosia vs Besiktas

UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 28 · 20:00 Neo GSP, Levkosía

Omonia Nicosia 6th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Besiktas 4th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel755 kmRest days7 · 4.3Matches / 14d1 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Omonia Nicosia—%

Draw—%

Besiktas—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Levkosía)

Forecast from 13 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Omonia Nicosia 3 Wins in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Team strength

Omonia Nicosia

Besiktas

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

33 Current StrengthIn forecast 50

34 AttackIn forecast 60

41 DefenceIn forecast 48

— Form indexContext 62

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Omonia Nicosia

Attack—

Defense risk—

Besiktas

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Omonia Nicosia

Besiktas

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.50

0.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.23 xGVia Att/Def —

1.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.77 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

100% Clean sheetsContext 0%

12.50 ShotsContext 18.50

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

44% On target shareContext 32%

5.50 Shots in the boxContext 14.50

42% Box shareContext 78%

16% ConversionContext 19%

1.00 OffsidesContext —

15.50 Shots allowedContext 13.50

3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.00

5.50 BlocksContext 3.50

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.50

86% Save rateContext 50%

43% PossessionIn forecast 51%

454 PassesContext 473

385 Accurate passesContext 395

85% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.22 Team ratingContext 7.05

6.50 FoulsContext 9.00

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.20

0.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40

1.43 xGVia Att/Def 2.06

0.93 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27

-0.23 Goals minus xGContext +0.14

70% Scored inContext 70%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

13.25 ShotsContext 16.75

5.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.25

40% On target shareContext 37%

8.25 Shots in the boxContext 10.88

60% Box shareContext 64%

9% ConversionContext 14%

1.25 OffsidesContext 3.00

13.25 Shots allowedContext 11.25

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

3.50 BlocksContext 3.38

2.75 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.88

69% Save rateContext 64%

46% PossessionIn forecast 59%

386 PassesContext 481

314 Accurate passesContext 410

81% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.67 Team ratingContext 6.97

9.71 FoulsContext 11.44

14.43 Fouls sufferedContext 15.22

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Omonia Nicosia WW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km6,419 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 73 · 6 pts vs 3.3 for an average club · +3.4 vs expected

W15 OctA · Celje3–01.3 xPts
W16 SepH · Celta Vigo1–01.3 xPts

Besiktas WLWWL

Rest4.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel755 km656 km in 14d

Schedule load21%Moderate

Form 62 · 9 pts vs 7.6 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected

L19 OctA · Trabzonspor0–21.5 xPts
W15 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–21.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Kocaelispor2–12.2 xPts
L20 SepA · Amed2–31.4 xPts
W17 SepH · Marseille4–11.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Omonia Nicosia	Besiktas
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Moderate · 21
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan	4.3Süper Lig 2026-2027, 24 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	755 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	6,419 km	656 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 1	1 / 3 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	—	2.7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Omonia Nicosia Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Celje (A) 3–0, 15 Oct

40Fabiano(G)

29J. Balkovec 37Ľ. Šatka 5S. Coulibaly 93J. Duverne

14M. Marić 22M. Tankovic 74P. Andreou

7J. Montnor 99L. Diony 11Ewandro

Besiktas Last XI · not confirmed

4-1-4-1 · vs Trabzonspor (A) 0–2, 19 Oct

1A. Nübel(G)

33R. Yılmaz 53E. Topçu 12E. Agbadou 62A. Murillo

6S. Özcan

19L. Trossard 21F. Miretti 15Junior Olaitan 18V. Černý

28D. Vlahović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Omonia Nicosia Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Besiktas Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Omonia Nicosia · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.00

Besiktas · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Omonia Nicosia	Besiktas
Scored per game	2.00	3.50
Conceded per game	0.00	1.50
Match goals	2.00	5.00
Over 1.5	50%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	0%	100%
Both teams scored	0%	100%
Clean sheets	100%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Omonia Nicosia	Besiktas
Scored per game	1.38	2.20
Conceded per game	0.63	1.40
Match goals	2.00	3.60
Over 1.5	38%	80%
Over 2.5	25%	70%
Over 3.5	13%	40%
Both teams scored	25%	60%
Clean sheets	50%	10%
Failed to score	25%	30%
Games	8	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Omonia Nicosia	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	4.00
Corners conceded	6.00	5.50
Match total	10.50	9.50	9.76
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.50
Opponent cards	2.50	2.50
Match total	3.50	4.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Omonia Nicosia	Besiktas	League
Corners
Corners won	4.29	5.78
Corners conceded	4.86	4.44
Match total	9.15	10.22	9.76
Over 8.5	71% 5/7	67% 6/9
Over 9.5	29% 2/7	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	29% 2/7	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.20	2.20
Opponent cards	3.10	2.60
Match total	5.30	4.80	3.76
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.