UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 28 · 20:00 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim 30th · 0 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Ferencvarosi TC 7th · 6 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel775 kmRest days5.2 · 7.1Matches / 14d3 · 1
Real contextStrength only
1899 Hoffenheim—%
Draw—%
Ferencvarosi TC—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sinsheim)

Forecast from 13 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for 1899 Hoffenheim and Ferencvarosi TC. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TC
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
49 Current StrengthIn forecast 57
46 AttackIn forecast 61
43 DefenceIn forecast 56
15 Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

1899 Hoffenheim

Attack—
Defense risk—

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TC
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
50% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
17.00 ShotsContext 13.00
4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00
24% On target shareContext 46%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext 8.50
66% Box shareContext 66%
6% ConversionContext 19%
— OffsidesContext 1.00
14.00 Shots allowedContext 17.00
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50
4.50 BlocksContext 6.50
1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50
38% Save rateContext 82%
60% PossessionIn forecast 46%
506 PassesContext 395
418 Accurate passesContext 321
83% Pass accuracyContext 81%
6.39 Team ratingContext 6.91
20.50 FoulsContext 12.50
8.00 Fouls sufferedContext 16.50
3.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.70
1.56 xGVia Att/Def —
1.52 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
-0.16 Goals minus xGContext —
80% Scored inContext 100%
10% Clean sheetsContext 40%
16.60 ShotsContext —
4.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
28% On target shareContext 46%
10.30 Shots in the boxContext —
62% Box shareContext —
8% ConversionContext 19%
2.14 OffsidesContext —
12.90 Shots allowedContext —
4.20 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
4.10 BlocksContext 5.00
2.10 Goalkeeper savesContext —
50% Save rateContext 82%
59% PossessionIn forecast 48%
515 PassesContext —
426 Accurate passesContext —
83% Pass accuracyContext —
6.72 Team ratingContext —
14.00 FoulsContext 14.75
9.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.50
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.70
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

1899 Hoffenheim
Rest5.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel0 km3,450 km in 14d
Schedule load25%Moderate
Form 15 · 3 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -5.0 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.2 xPts
  • L15 OctH · Besiktas2–31.5 xPts
  • L10 OctH · Hamburger SV2–31.9 xPts
  • L20 SepA · SC Paderborn 071–31.4 xPts
  • L17 SepA · OFI0–21.9 xPts
Ferencvarosi TC
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel775 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 76 · 6 pts vs 2.7 for an average club · +2.9 vs expected
  • W15 OctH · Plzen2–11.9 xPts
  • W17 SepA · Celtic3–11.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
1899 Hoffenheim Ferencvarosi TC
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextModerate · 25Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match5.2Bundesliga 2026-2027, 23 Jan7.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km775 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,450 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 3 / 50 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one1.8—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

1899 Hoffenheim Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) 2–1, 18 Oct
1O. Baumann(G)
39M. Rots 28K. Machida 2R. Hranáč 34V. Coufal
22A. Prass 7L. Avdullahu
10A. Hložek 11F. Asllani 20B. Conté
19T. Lemperle
Ferencvarosi TC Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Plzen (H) 2–1, 15 Oct
63D. Radnóti(G)
20Cadu 4M. Gómez 28T. Raemaekers 14A. Osváth
6Á. Nagy 17M. Corbu
7V. Birmančević 16K. Zachariassen 11B. Yusuf
76K. Lisztes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
1899 Hoffenheim Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Ferencvarosi TC Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

1899 Hoffenheim · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
2.00
Conceded
3.00
Ferencvarosi TC · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
3.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game 1.002.50
Conceded per game 2.501.00
Match goals 3.503.50
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 50%100%
Over 3.5 50%50%
Both teams scored 50%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games22
1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game 1.402.10
Conceded per game 2.300.70
Match goals 3.702.80
Over 1.5 90%80%
Over 2.5 80%70%
Over 3.5 60%30%
Both teams scored 70%60%
Clean sheets 10%40%
Failed to score 20%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won7.505.00
Corners conceded4.507.00
Match total12.0012.009.76
Over 8.5100% 2/2100% 2/2
Over 9.5100% 2/2100% 2/2
Over 10.5100% 2/250% 1/2
Cards
Cards3.502.00
Opponent cards1.500.50
Match total5.002.503.76
Over 3.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 4.5100% 2/20% 0/2
1899 HoffenheimFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won7.106.00
Corners conceded4.206.25
Match total11.3012.259.76
Over 8.5100% 10/10100% 4/4
Over 9.590% 9/10100% 4/4
Over 10.570% 7/1075% 3/4
Cards
Cards2.701.80
Opponent cards1.401.50
Match total4.103.303.76
Over 3.560% 6/1040% 4/10
Over 4.540% 4/1040% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

1899 Hoffenheim2 games · scored 2 · conceded 5
0-15
1 16-30
31-45
1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 2 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC2 games · scored 5 · conceded 2
0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 46-60
61-75
1 1 76-90
1899 Hoffenheim10 games · scored 14 · conceded 23
2 2 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 1 31-45
4 4 46-60
3 5 61-75
1 8 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 21 · conceded 7
2 0-15
5 16-30
2 4 31-45
5 46-60
2 61-75
5 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures UEFA Europa League

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Bournemouth Hapoel Beer Sheva Jan 2820:00 Lyon Bayer Leverkusen Jan 2820:00 Marseille Anderlecht Jan 2820:00 1899 Hoffenheim Ferencvarosi TC Jan 2820:00 Benfica AZ Alkmaar Jan 2820:00 AC Milan Ararat-Armenia Jan 2820:00 Juventus Real Sociedad Jan 2820:00 Celta Vigo Lillestrom Jan 2820:00 Plzen Jagiellonia Jan 2820:00 Red Bull Salzburg Crystal Palace Jan 2820:00 Dinamo Zagreb Sturm Graz Jan 2820:00 Sparta Praha Rennes Jan 2820:00 Sunderland Levski Sofia Jan 2820:00 OFI Lech Poznan Jan 2820:00 Union St. Gilloise Celtic Jan 2820:00 Omonia Nicosia Besiktas Jan 2820:00 Celje NEC Nijmegen Jan 2820:00 Torreense Olympiakos Piraeus Jan 2820:00