Juventus vs Real Sociedad

UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 28 · 20:00 Allianz Stadium, Torino

Juventus 1st · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Real Sociedad 22nd · 1 pts · 2 played LD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel794 kmRest days4.1 · 4.2Matches / 14d3 · 3

Real contextStrength only

Juventus—%

Draw—%

Real Sociedad—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Torino)

Forecast from 13 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Sociedad 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Juventus

Real Sociedad

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

67 Current StrengthIn forecast 58

57 AttackIn forecast 62

76 DefenceIn forecast 48

74 Form indexContext 81

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Sociedad

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Juventus

Real Sociedad

3.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

50% Clean sheetsContext 0%

16.50 ShotsContext 10.00

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

39% On target shareContext 30%

13.00 Shots in the boxContext 4.50

80% Box shareContext 50%

21% ConversionContext 10%

— OffsidesContext 1.00

9.50 Shots allowedContext 13.50

2.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

1.00 BlocksContext 3.50

2.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

80% Save rateContext 63%

51% PossessionIn forecast 55%

525 PassesContext 561

463 Accurate passesContext 469

88% Pass accuracyContext 84%

7.20 Team ratingContext 6.51

14.00 FoulsContext 13.50

15.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.50 xGVia Att/Def 1.28

0.61 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72

+0.30 Goals minus xGContext +0.62

90% Scored inContext 80%

40% Clean sheetsContext 10%

16.70 ShotsContext 13.80

5.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

35% On target shareContext 38%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.80

60% Box shareContext 55%

11% ConversionContext 14%

2.75 OffsidesContext 1.75

8.20 Shots allowedContext 15.80

2.90 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70

1.89 BlocksContext 3.90

2.13 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

68% Save rateContext 70%

57% PossessionIn forecast 50%

532 PassesContext 481

466 Accurate passesContext 410

88% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.85 Team ratingContext 6.82

12.60 FoulsContext 12.40

11.10 Fouls sufferedContext 10.70

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Juventus WWDWL

Rest4.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km1,825 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 74 · 10 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected

L18 OctH · Lazio0–32.1 xPts
W15 OctA · Celta Vigo2–11.6 xPts
D11 OctA · Cagliari1–11.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Atalanta2–01.9 xPts
W17 SepH · NEC Nijmegen5–02.2 xPts

Real Sociedad LWWDW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel794 km705 km in 14d

Schedule load21%Moderate

Form 81 · 10 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +4.0 vs expected

W18 OctA · Malaga5–21.3 xPts
D15 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.9 xPts
W11 OctH · Deportivo La Coruna3–21.7 xPts
W20 SepA · Valencia3–21.2 xPts
L17 SepH · Bournemouth1–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Juventus	Real Sociedad
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 20	Moderate · 21
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.1Serie A 2026-2027, 24 Jan	4.2La Liga 2026-2027, 24 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	794 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,825 km	705 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 6	1 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	2.9	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Juventus Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Lazio (H) 0–3, 18 Oct

25G. Vicario(G)

2M. Çelik 26J. Lucumí 3Bremer 15P. Kalulu

29P. Sarr 12Douglas Luiz

17Kerim Alajbegović 22W. McKennie 31N. González

9R. Kolo Muani

Real Sociedad Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Malaga (A) 5–2, 18 Oct

1Álex Remiro(G)

3Aihen Muñoz 19M. Sarr 6Jon Martín 22Héctor Fort

7Barrenetxea 18Carlos Soler 4Jon Gorrotxategi 14T. Kubo

9O. Óskarsson 10Mikel Oyarzabal

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Juventus Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Real Sociedad Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Juventus · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 5.00
Conceded: 0.00

Real Sociedad · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Juventus	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	3.50	1.00
Conceded per game	0.50	1.50
Match goals	4.00	2.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	100%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Juventus	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	1.80	1.90
Conceded per game	1.10	1.90
Match goals	2.90	3.80
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	50%	80%
Over 3.5	30%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	80%
Clean sheets	40%	10%
Failed to score	10%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Juventus	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	7.00	6.00
Corners conceded	1.00	3.50
Match total	8.00	9.50	9.76
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	1.50	2.00
Match total	3.00	4.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2

	Juventus	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	7.67	7.00
Corners conceded	3.22	4.70
Match total	10.89	11.70	9.76
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	90% 9/10
Over 9.5	67% 6/9	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	1.40	2.20
Opponent cards	2.00	2.40
Match total	3.40	4.60	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.