Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 28 · 20:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

Bournemouth 5th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Hapoel Beer Sheva 24th · 1 pts · 2 played DL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel3,697 kmRest days5.2 · 7Matches / 14d3 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Bournemouth—%

Draw—%

Hapoel Beer Sheva—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Bournemouth, Dorset)

Forecast from 13 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Bournemouth

Hapoel Beer Sheva

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

77 Current StrengthIn forecast 28

83 AttackIn forecast 26

82 DefenceIn forecast 31

74 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Bournemouth

Attack—

Defense risk—

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Bournemouth

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

— xGVia Att/Def 0.92

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.47

— Goals minus xGContext -0.42

100% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 50%

17.50 ShotsContext 10.50

5.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

31% On target shareContext 29%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.00

68% Box shareContext 65%

14% ConversionContext 5%

2.50 OffsidesContext 1.50

10.50 Shots allowedContext 10.50

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50

— BlocksContext 3.50

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

83% Save rateContext 71%

54% PossessionIn forecast 54%

415 PassesContext 550

332 Accurate passesContext 466

80% Pass accuracyContext 85%

7.03 Team ratingContext 6.57

12.00 FoulsContext 13.50

16.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.50

3.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

1.82 xGVia Att/Def —

1.15 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.32 Goals minus xGContext —

90% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 50%

15.80 ShotsContext 13.25

5.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

32% On target shareContext 34%

9.60 Shots in the boxContext 9.25

62% Box shareContext 71%

10% ConversionContext 9%

2.00 OffsidesContext 2.50

10.30 Shots allowedContext 15.50

4.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

3.29 BlocksContext 3.75

2.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

61% Save rateContext 67%

53% PossessionIn forecast 63%

434 PassesContext 569

353 Accurate passesContext 489

81% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.68

12.20 FoulsContext 11.40

12.70 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

2.80 Yellow cardsContext 2.80

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Bournemouth WLLWW

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km3,125 km in 14d

Schedule load25%Moderate

Form 74 · 9 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +0.1 vs expected

W18 OctH · Sunderland2–01.8 xPts
W15 OctH · Sturm Graz3–02.3 xPts
L10 OctA · Chelsea1–51.3 xPts
L20 SepH · Liverpool0–11.6 xPts
W17 SepA · Real Sociedad2–11.8 xPts

Hapoel Beer Sheva DL

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel3,697 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 34 · 1 pts vs 2.9 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected

L15 OctA · AZ Alkmaar1–20.8 xPts
D16 SepH · Dinamo Zagreb0–01.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Bournemouth	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Moderate · 25	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2Premier League 2026-2027, 23 Jan	7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	3,697 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	3,125 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 5	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	1.8	—

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Bournemouth Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sunderland (H) 2–0, 18 Oct

1Đ. Petrović(G)

3A. Truffert 14António Silva 5J. Hill 15A. Smith

10R. Christie 12T. Adams

16M. Tavernier 4L. Cook 37Rayan

9Evanilson

Hapoel Beer Sheva Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs AZ Alkmaar (A) 1–2, 15 Oct

1O. Marciano(G)

5Pedro Amador 15I. Nachmias 44Djibril Diop 2G. Mizrahi

7E. Peretz 25Lucas Ventura 17A. Forson

9Z. Ahmed 66I. Zlatanović 45M. Abu Rumi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Bournemouth Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Hapoel Beer Sheva Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Bournemouth · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 0.00

Hapoel Beer Sheva · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Bournemouth	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Scored per game	2.50	0.50
Conceded per game	0.50	1.00
Match goals	3.00	1.50
Over 1.5	100%	50%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	50%	50%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	Bournemouth	Hapoel Beer Sheva
Scored per game	1.50	1.38
Conceded per game	1.50	1.25
Match goals	3.00	2.63
Over 1.5	90%	75%
Over 2.5	60%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	13%
Both teams scored	70%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Failed to score	10%	13%
Games	10	8

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Bournemouth	Hapoel Beer Sheva	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	3.50
Corners conceded	6.50	3.50
Match total	11.50	7.00	9.76
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	0% 0/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	3.00	2.00
Opponent cards	3.00	2.00
Match total	6.00	4.00	3.76
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2

	Bournemouth	Hapoel Beer Sheva	League
Corners
Corners won	4.60	3.20
Corners conceded	4.60	4.60
Match total	9.20	7.80	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	20% 1/5
Over 9.5	40% 4/10	20% 1/5
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	20% 1/5
Cards
Cards	2.80	3.30
Opponent cards	1.80	2.10
Match total	4.60	5.40	3.76
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.