Konyaspor vs Galatasaray

Süper Lig Gameweek 10 Fri, Oct 30 · 17:00 Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Konya

Konyaspor 16th · 5 pts · 8 played LWDDL

VS— Compare

Galatasaray 1st · 19 pts · 8 played WWLWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Galatasaray are slight favourites.

Galatasaray are the stronger side on L90 Strength (64 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Konyaspor. Konyaspor have 5.2 days of rest, Galatasaray 3.9 and have to travel 463 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel463 kmRest days5.2 · 3.9Matches / 14d2 · 3

Konyaspor21%

Draw23%

Galatasaray56%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.91

Konyaspor17%

Draw23%

Galatasaray60%

Expected goals 0.94 – 1.91

Konyaspor21%

Draw23%

Galatasaray56%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.91

Konyaspor16%

Draw21%

Galatasaray64%

Expected goals 0.97 – 2.14

Konyaspor21%

Draw24%

Galatasaray55%

Expected goals 1.07 – 1.84

Over 2.5 58% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 37 minutes ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Konya)

12°CDrizzle

Precipitation 24%
Wind 4 km/h
Humidity 88%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

18 L90 StrengthIn forecast 64

18 Current StrengthIn forecast 62

13 AttackIn forecast 57

31 DefenceIn forecast 55

23 Form indexContext 59

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Konyaspor

Attack−19%

Defense risk+39%

Galatasaray

Attack+3%

Defense risk−19%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.13

1.13 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.38

0.91 xGVia Att/Def 2.29

1.12 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.93

-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

38% Scored inContext 88%

38% Clean sheetsContext 38%

10.38 ShotsContext 22.13

3.71 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.38

31% On target shareContext 33%

6.75 Shots in the boxContext 15.13

64% Box shareContext 69%

5% ConversionContext 10%

2.80 OffsidesContext 2.83

12.88 Shots allowedContext 10.75

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.86

3.50 BlocksContext 3.71

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.57

80% Save rateContext 78%

49% PossessionIn forecast 60%

396 PassesContext 475

325 Accurate passesContext 411

82% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.75 Team ratingContext 7.02

11.88 FoulsContext 11.75

12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 11.63

2.38 Yellow cardsContext 1.63

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.25

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.97

1.33 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.22

-0.41 Goals minus xGContext -0.07

40% Scored inContext 90%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

10.80 ShotsContext 19.20

3.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.50

29% On target shareContext 34%

7.10 Shots in the boxContext 13.20

65% Box shareContext 69%

5% ConversionContext 10%

2.43 OffsidesContext 3.43

13.80 Shots allowedContext 11.50

6.11 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.78

3.40 BlocksContext 3.56

4.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.78

78% Save rateContext 64%

49% PossessionIn forecast 57%

391 PassesContext 460

322 Accurate passesContext 397

82% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.86

12.30 FoulsContext 11.60

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.60

2.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Konyaspor LWDDL

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,357 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 23 · 5 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

L17 OctA · Amed0–10.8 xPts
D11 OctH · Istanbul Basaksehir0–01.4 xPts
D18 SepA · Kasimpasa0–01.1 xPts
W12 SepH · Trabzonspor1–01.2 xPts
L5 SepA · Erzurumspor FK0–11.1 xPts

Galatasaray WLWLW

Rest3.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel463 km5,202 km in 14d

Schedule load31%Moderate

Form 59 · 9 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -0.5 vs expected

W17 OctA · Genclerbirligi1–02.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Barcelona1–40.7 xPts
W9 OctH · Kasimpasa3–12.3 xPts
L19 SepA · Trabzonspor0–41.9 xPts
W13 SepH · Kocaelispor1–02.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 31
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2Süper Lig 2026-2027, 25 Oct	3.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 26 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	463 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,357 km	5,202 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	1 / 3 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	7.8	4

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Konyaspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Amed (A) 0–1, 17 Oct

13B. Güngördü(G)

26A. Masuaku 15C. Awaziem 22R. Baniya 17Y. Andzouana

8M. Jevtović 77M. İbrahimoğlu

7Diogo Gonçalves 66R. Tóth 9D. Türüç

11J. Muleka

Galatasaray Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Genclerbirligi (A) 1–0, 17 Oct

1U. Çakır(G)

17E. Elmalı 42A. Bardakcı 6D. Sánchez 7R. Sallai

8Gabriel Sara 99M. Lemina

53B. Yılmaz 83A. Batrakov 10L. Sané

45V. Osimhen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Konyaspor No reported absences

Galatasaray No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Konyaspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Galatasaray+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Konyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 1-1-2
Scored: 0.50
Conceded: 0.75

Galatasaray · Away 2.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 3-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

Opponent	Konyaspor	Galatasaray
Istanbul Basaksehir	D 0–0 H	W 3–2 A
Kasimpasa	D 0–0 A	W 3–1 H
Trabzonspor	W 1–0 H	L 0–4 A
Erzurumspor FK	L 0–1 A	W 4–0 A
Kocaelispor	L 1–2 H	W 1–0 H
Points	5 of 15 · 1.00 per game	12 of 15 · 2.40 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Konyaspor wins0 draws5 Galatasaray wins

Goals per game0.83 – 2.00 Over 2.567% Both scored50% Clean sheets17% · 33%

21 Feb 2026Konyaspor2–0Galatasaray
22 Sep 2025Galatasaray3–1Konyaspor
25 Jan 2025Galatasaray1–0Konyaspor
16 Aug 2024Konyaspor1–2Galatasaray
26 May 2024Konyaspor1–3Galatasaray
7 Jan 2024Galatasaray3–0Konyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Konyaspor	Galatasaray	Forecast
Scored per game	0.50	2.13
Conceded per game	1.13	1.38
Match goals	1.63	3.50	3.00
Over 1.5	25%	75%
Over 2.5	25%	75%	58%
Over 3.5	13%	75%
Both teams scored	25%	50%	57%
Clean sheets	38%	38%
Failed to score	63%	13%
Games	8	8

	Konyaspor	Galatasaray	Forecast
Scored per game	0.50	1.90
Conceded per game	1.40	1.80
Match goals	1.90	3.70	3.00
Over 1.5	40%	80%
Over 2.5	40%	80%	58%
Over 3.5	10%	80%
Both teams scored	30%	60%	57%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	60%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Konyaspor	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	2.50	7.38
Corners conceded	5.50	3.13
Match total	8.00	10.51	9.12
Over 8.5	38% 3/8	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	25% 2/8	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	0% 0/8	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	2.50	1.88
Opponent cards	1.88	2.00
Match total	4.38	3.88	4.04
Over 3.5	75% 6/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	38% 3/8

	Konyaspor	Galatasaray	League
Corners
Corners won	2.80	6.40
Corners conceded	4.90	3.20
Match total	7.70	9.60	9.12
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	0% 0/10	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.00
Opponent cards	1.60	1.80
Match total	4.10	3.80	4.04
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.