UEFA Champions League Matchday 6 Wed, Dec 9 · 17:45 Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava 36th · 0 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Shakhtar Donetsk 11th · 4 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,005 kmRest days14.9 · 13.9Matches / 14d0 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Slovan Bratislava—%
Draw—%
Shakhtar Donetsk—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Bratislava)

Forecast from 24 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Slovan Bratislava and Shakhtar Donetsk. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Slovan BratislavaShakhtar Donetsk
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
20 Current StrengthIn forecast 57
18 AttackIn forecast 54
22 DefenceIn forecast 62
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Slovan Bratislava

Attack—
Defense risk—

Shakhtar Donetsk

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Slovan BratislavaShakhtar Donetsk
0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
4.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
50% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
12.00 ShotsContext 10.00
2.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00
21% On target shareContext 30%
6.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.00
54% Box shareContext 63%
4% ConversionContext 20%
1.00 OffsidesContext —
25.50 Shots allowedContext 11.50
11.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.50
4.00 BlocksContext 3.50
7.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.50
64% Save rateContext 60%
32% PossessionIn forecast 50%
322 PassesContext 418
252 Accurate passesContext 358
78% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.16 Team ratingContext 6.63
8.50 FoulsContext 15.50
11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.50
1.00 Yellow cardsContext 3.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70
1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
0.79 xGVia Att/Def 1.04
1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.27
+0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.66
80% Scored inContext 100%
30% Clean sheetsContext 30%
12.83 ShotsContext 12.88
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00
31% On target shareContext 31%
7.83 Shots in the boxContext 8.00
62% Box shareContext 62%
7% ConversionContext 15%
1.75 OffsidesContext 2.80
17.50 Shots allowedContext 10.38
6.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00
4.00 BlocksContext 2.38
4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.38
69% Save rateContext 59%
43% PossessionIn forecast 56%
400 PassesContext 455
320 Accurate passesContext 400
80% Pass accuracyContext 88%
6.63 Team ratingContext 6.78
10.86 FoulsContext 11.50
11.86 Fouls sufferedContext 11.75
1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Slovan Bratislava
Rest14.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 35 · 0 pts vs 1.7 for an average club · -1.0 vs expected
  • L14 OctH · VfB Stuttgart0–30.8 xPts
  • L9 SepA · Paris Saint Germain1–60.3 xPts
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rest13.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,005 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
Form 66 · 4 pts vs 2.2 for an average club · +1.8 vs expected
  • W14 OctH · AEK Athens FC3–11.6 xPts
  • D10 SepA · PSV Eindhoven1–10.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Slovan Bratislava Shakhtar Donetsk
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match14.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 24 Nov13.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 25 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,005 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 10 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one41.142.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Slovan Bratislava Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs VfB Stuttgart (H) 0–3, 14 Oct
71D. Takáč(G)
57Sandro Cruz 15S. Marković 12K. Bajrič 28C. Blackman
20A. Mustafić 3P. Pokorný
21Suleiman Camara 70C. Martinez 11T. Barseghyan
99A. Šporar
Shakhtar Donetsk Last XI · not confirmed
4-1-4-1 · vs AEK Athens FC (H) 3–1, 14 Oct
31D. Riznyk(G)
13Pedro Henrique 22M. Matviienko 5V. Bondar 17Vinícius Tobias
27O. Ocheretko
11Newerton 6Marlon Gomes 10Pedrinho 30Alisson Santana
9Kauã Elias

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Slovan Bratislava Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Shakhtar Donetsk Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Slovan Bratislava · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
0.00
Conceded
3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-1-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Slovan BratislavaShakhtar DonetskForecast
Scored per game 0.502.00
Conceded per game 4.501.00
Match goals 5.003.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%50%
Over 3.5 50%50%
Both teams scored 50%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games22
Slovan BratislavaShakhtar DonetskForecast
Scored per game 1.382.00
Conceded per game 1.631.00
Match goals 3.003.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 50%50%
Over 3.5 13%50%
Both teams scored 63%100%
Clean sheets 25%0%
Failed to score 13%0%
Games82

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Slovan BratislavaShakhtar DonetskLeague
Corners
Corners won1.504.00
Corners conceded7.502.50
Match total9.006.509.71
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 9.50% 0/20% 0/2
Over 10.50% 0/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards1.003.50
Opponent cards1.503.50
Match total2.507.003.80
Over 3.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 4.50% 0/2100% 2/2
Slovan BratislavaShakhtar DonetskLeague
Corners
Corners won4.175.29
Corners conceded5.503.00
Match total9.678.299.71
Over 8.567% 4/629% 2/7
Over 9.533% 2/629% 2/7
Over 10.533% 2/629% 2/7
Cards
Cards1.602.50
Opponent cards2.702.40
Match total4.304.903.80
Over 3.580% 8/1060% 6/10
Over 4.550% 5/1060% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Slovan Bratislava2 games · scored 1 · conceded 9
0-15
3 16-30
1 31-45
1 2 46-60
1 61-75
2 76-90
Shakhtar Donetsk2 games · scored 4 · conceded 2
0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 46-60
61-75
2 76-90
Slovan Bratislava10 games · scored 12 · conceded 15
1 0-15
2 3 16-30
2 5 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 61-75
5 2 76-90
Shakhtar Donetsk10 games · scored 17 · conceded 12
2 0-15
2 16-30
4 1 31-45
3 3 46-60
4 2 61-75
6 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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