UEFA Champions League Matchday 6 Tue, Dec 8 · 17:45 Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Viking 27th · 1 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Feyenoord 23rd · 3 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel788 kmRest days12.9 · 3.1Matches / 14d1 · 3
Real contextStrength only
Viking—%
Draw—%
Feyenoord—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Stavanger)

Forecast from 23 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Viking and Feyenoord. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

VikingFeyenoord
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
16 Current StrengthIn forecast 59
18 AttackIn forecast 76
23 DefenceIn forecast 61
— Form indexContext 92
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Viking

Attack—
Defense risk—

Feyenoord

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

VikingFeyenoord
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
3.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 3.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 0%
8.00 ShotsContext 8.50
3.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50
44% On target shareContext 41%
6.00 Shots in the boxContext 5.00
71% Box shareContext 64%
25% ConversionContext 24%
— OffsidesContext 5.00
20.00 Shots allowedContext 17.50
5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00
8.00 BlocksContext 4.00
— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
63% Save rateContext 50%
37% PossessionIn forecast 38%
299 PassesContext 414
211 Accurate passesContext 354
71% Pass accuracyContext 86%
6.44 Team ratingContext 6.44
12.00 FoulsContext 15.50
10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00
2.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.83 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 3.40
2.17 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70
— xGVia Att/Def 2.42
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09
— Goals minus xGContext +0.98
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 30%
10.67 ShotsContext 18.70
4.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.50
41% On target shareContext 40%
7.33 Shots in the boxContext 12.80
70% Box shareContext 68%
17% ConversionContext 18%
2.33 OffsidesContext 2.71
16.50 Shots allowedContext 12.50
4.17 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50
5.17 BlocksContext 3.67
3.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.80
68% Save rateContext 62%
44% PossessionIn forecast 50%
359 PassesContext 473
269 Accurate passesContext 410
75% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.67 Team ratingContext 7.06
13.33 FoulsContext 10.20
10.83 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70
2.17 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 6 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Viking
Rest12.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km4,334 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
Form 47 · 1 pts vs 1.4 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
  • D13 OctH · Bayern München3–30.1 xPts
  • L9 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–30.3 xPts
Feyenoord
Rest3.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel788 km117 km in 14d
Schedule load29%Moderate
Form 92 · 15 pts vs 8.3 for an average club · +5.2 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Telstar4–32.1 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Como3–21.6 xPts
  • W10 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–01.8 xPts
  • W20 SepH · Utrecht5–02.3 xPts
  • W13 SepA · PEC Zwolle7–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Viking Feyenoord
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Moderate · 29
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match12.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 25 Nov3.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 5 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km788 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways4,334 km117 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 1 / 11 / 3 / 4
Next matchdays after this one43.14.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Viking Last XI · not confirmed
4-3-3 · vs Bayern München (H) 3–3, 13 Oct
1A. Østbø(G)
28K. Haugen 25H. Falchener 6G. Stensness 5H. Heggheim
7K. Askildsen 8J. Bell 16H. Bjørdal
10Z. Tripić 22E. Botheim 20P. Christiansen
Feyenoord Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Telstar (A) 4–3, 17 Oct
1T. Ernst(G)
35Mika Màrmol 24T. Kraaijeveld 4T. Watanabe 26G. Read
34C. Vanhoutte 8G. Zechiël
27G. Diarra 14S. Steijn 23A. Hadj Moussa
19Nacho Ferri

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Viking Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Feyenoord Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Viking · Home 1.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
0-1-0
Scored
3.00
Conceded
3.00
Feyenoord · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
5.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

VikingFeyenoordForecast
Scored per game 2.002.00
Conceded per game 3.003.50
Match goals 5.005.50
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 100%100%
Both teams scored 100%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
VikingFeyenoordForecast
Scored per game 2.253.40
Conceded per game 2.251.70
Match goals 4.505.10
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%90%
Over 3.5 100%90%
Both teams scored 100%70%
Clean sheets 0%30%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games410

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

VikingFeyenoordLeague
Corners
Corners won4.503.00
Corners conceded9.502.50
Match total14.005.509.71
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 10.550% 1/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards2.501.50
Opponent cards2.002.00
Match total4.503.503.80
Over 3.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 4.550% 1/250% 1/2
VikingFeyenoordLeague
Corners
Corners won4.675.20
Corners conceded6.173.70
Match total10.848.909.71
Over 8.567% 4/650% 5/10
Over 9.550% 3/650% 5/10
Over 10.550% 3/650% 5/10
Cards
Cards2.171.30
Opponent cards2.171.40
Match total4.342.703.80
Over 3.550% 3/640% 4/10
Over 4.550% 3/620% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Viking2 games · scored 4 · conceded 6
1 0-15
1 2 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Feyenoord2 games · scored 4 · conceded 7
1 0-15
1 2 16-30
31-45
1 1 46-60
61-75
2 3 76-90
Viking6 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
2 3 0-15
3 2 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 61-75
1 2 76-90
Feyenoord10 games · scored 34 · conceded 17
4 2 0-15
6 3 16-30
7 1 31-45
6 3 46-60
7 3 61-75
4 5 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

Next fixtures UEFA Champions League

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