Villarreal vs Sabah FA

UEFA Champions League Matchday 6 Tue, Dec 8 · 17:45 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Villarreal 14th · 3 pts · 2 played LW

VS— Compare

Sabah FA 22nd · 3 pts · 2 played LW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel4,190 kmRest days2.1 · 13Matches / 14d3 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Villarreal—%

Draw—%

Sabah FA—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Villarreal)

Forecast from 23 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Villarreal

Sabah FA

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

65 Current StrengthIn forecast 26

76 AttackIn forecast 30

73 DefenceIn forecast 27

79 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Villarreal

Attack—

Defense risk—

Sabah FA

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Villarreal

Sabah FA

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.36 xGVia Att/Def —

2.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+1.14 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 50%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

15.00 ShotsContext 11.50

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

33% On target shareContext 26%

8.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.50

58% Box shareContext 62%

17% ConversionContext 9%

3.00 OffsidesContext —

14.50 Shots allowedContext 19.50

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 9.00

4.50 BlocksContext 5.50

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 5.50

67% Save rateContext 61%

50% PossessionIn forecast 44%

487 PassesContext 398

415 Accurate passesContext 322

85% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.73

9.00 FoulsContext 14.00

15.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

2.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10

2.12 xGVia Att/Def —

1.30 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

-0.52 Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext 90%

10% Clean sheetsContext 50%

16.50 ShotsContext 17.14

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.17

36% On target shareContext 36%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 12.83

67% Box shareContext 64%

10% ConversionContext 13%

2.90 OffsidesContext 2.40

12.00 Shots allowedContext 15.00

3.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00

4.63 BlocksContext 4.67

3.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

72% Save rateContext 63%

59% PossessionIn forecast 48%

560 PassesContext 415

493 Accurate passesContext 343

88% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.86 Team ratingContext 6.98

10.40 FoulsContext 13.00

12.10 Fouls sufferedContext 12.33

1.70 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Villarreal WWLWD

Rest2.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d3all competitions

Travel0 km4,732 km in 14d

Schedule load40%High

Form 79 · 10 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected

D17 OctH · Elche0–02.1 xPts
W13 OctH · Napoli3–11.7 xPts
L10 OctA · Real Madrid0–10.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Levante3–11.9 xPts
W17 SepA · Malaga3–11.5 xPts

Sabah FA LW

Rest13 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel4,190 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 56 · 3 pts vs 2.3 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected

W13 OctH · Slavia Praha2–01.3 xPts
L10 SepA · Manchester United0–40.3 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Villarreal	Sabah FA
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	High · 40	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	2.1La Liga 2026-2027, 6 Dec	13UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 25 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	4,190 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	4,732 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 3 / 4	0 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	4.9	43

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Villarreal Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Elche (H) 0–0, 17 Oct

25P. Gulácsi(G)

23Sergi Cardona 2Logan Costa 8J. Foyth 3A. Freeman

10Alberto Moleiro 16Carlos Macia 14Santi Comesaña 11I. Akhomach

21T. Oluwaseyi 22Ayoze Pérez

Sabah FA Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Slavia Praha (H) 2–0, 13 Oct

92S. Pokatilov(G)

27T. Puchacz 4A. McCarthy 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka

13I. Lepinjica 7U. Rahmonaliyev

21V. Simić 37Du Queiroz 11K. Parris

20J. Mickels

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Villarreal Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Sabah FA Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Villarreal · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 1.00

Sabah FA · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 4.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Villarreal	Sabah FA
Scored per game	2.50	1.00
Conceded per game	2.00	2.00
Match goals	4.50	3.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	50%
Both teams scored	100%	0%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	0%	50%
Games	2	2

	Villarreal	Sabah FA
Scored per game	1.60	2.00
Conceded per game	1.50	1.10
Match goals	3.10	3.10
Over 1.5	70%	90%
Over 2.5	70%	60%
Over 3.5	60%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	40%
Clean sheets	10%	50%
Failed to score	30%	10%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Villarreal	Sabah FA	League
Corners
Corners won	5.50	3.00
Corners conceded	6.50	6.50
Match total	12.00	9.50	9.71
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	0% 0/2
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.00
Opponent cards	2.00	1.50
Match total	4.50	3.50	3.80
Over 3.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Villarreal	Sabah FA	League
Corners
Corners won	6.50	4.86
Corners conceded	4.70	4.57
Match total	11.20	9.43	9.71
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	60% 6/10	57% 4/7
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	1.70	1.50
Opponent cards	2.90	2.50
Match total	4.60	4.00	3.80
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.