SV Elversberg vs Hamburger SV

Bundesliga Gameweek 14 Sat, Dec 19 · 14:30 URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg 6th · 10 pts · 6 played WLDLW

VS— Compare

Hamburger SV 9th · 9 pts · 6 played LLWWW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel511 kmRest days7 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 2

Real contextStrength only

SV Elversberg—%

Draw—%

Hamburger SV—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Forecast from 4 Dec

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Hamburger SV 3 Wins in a row Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Wins in a row

Team strength

SV Elversberg

Hamburger SV

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

42 Current StrengthIn forecast 40

44 AttackIn forecast 37

37 DefenceIn forecast 43

60 Form indexContext 70

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

SV Elversberg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Hamburger SV

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SV Elversberg

Hamburger SV

2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.83 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50

1.45 xGVia Att/Def 1.04

2.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.83

+0.55 Goals minus xGContext -0.04

67% Scored inContext 50%

17% Clean sheetsContext 17%

11.17 ShotsContext 11.00

4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67

42% On target shareContext 33%

8.17 Shots in the boxContext 6.33

72% Box shareContext 56%

18% ConversionContext 9%

3.20 OffsidesContext 2.00

22.00 Shots allowedContext 19.17

5.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.67

8.50 BlocksContext 5.33

3.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

59% Save rateContext 62%

44% PossessionIn forecast 40%

382 PassesContext 346

303 Accurate passesContext 270

80% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.54

11.67 FoulsContext 14.17

13.17 Fouls sufferedContext 12.83

2.17 Yellow cardsContext 1.33

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

2.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.10

1.46 xGVia Att/Def 1.11

1.63 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.63

+0.94 Goals minus xGContext +0.19

80% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.20 ShotsContext 11.60

4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

38% On target shareContext 35%

7.56 Shots in the boxContext 6.90

66% Box shareContext 59%

21% ConversionContext 11%

2.86 OffsidesContext 1.86

16.90 Shots allowedContext 16.40

4.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.30

6.33 BlocksContext 4.56

2.89 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.40

59% Save rateContext 64%

48% PossessionIn forecast 40%

387 PassesContext 348

309 Accurate passesContext 275

80% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.83 Team ratingContext 6.71

11.50 FoulsContext 12.40

12.40 Fouls sufferedContext 12.20

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

SV Elversberg WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km581 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 60 · 7 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected

W17 OctH · FC Augsburg4–31.4 xPts
L10 OctA · Union Berlin0–11.3 xPts
D20 SepA · FC Schalke 040–01.1 xPts
L13 SepH · Bayern München1–20.5 xPts
W5 SepA · Borussia Mönchengladbach4–31.2 xPts

Hamburger SV LLWWW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel511 km511 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 70 · 9 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · +3.6 vs expected

W17 OctH · VfB Stuttgart1–01.0 xPts
W10 OctA · 1899 Hoffenheim3–20.9 xPts
W19 SepH · 1.FC Köln2–11.5 xPts
L13 SepA · RB Leipzig0–50.6 xPts
L6 SepH · FSV Mainz 050–51.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	SV Elversberg	Hamburger SV
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 12 Dec	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 12 Dec
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	511 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	581 km	511 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	21	21

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

SV Elversberg Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs FC Augsburg (H) 4–3, 17 Oct

20N. Kristof(G)

21L. Günther 31M. Rohr 19L. Pinckert 30J. Gyamerah

8Ł. Poręba 43F. Keidel

7M. Krattenmacher 10N. Darvich 25L. Petkov

42David Mokwa

Hamburger SV Last XI · not confirmed

3-5-2 · vs VfB Stuttgart (H) 1–0, 17 Oct

1D. Heuer Fernandes(G)

17W. Omari 33S. Bornauw 24N. Capaldo

37Louis Lemke 28M. Muheim 4B. Nadir 5M. Adeline 3D. Møller Wolfe

15Y. Poulsen 20Fábio Vieira

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

SV Elversberg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Hamburger SV Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

SV Elversberg · Home 2.00points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 2-0-1
Scored: 2.67
Conceded: 2.33

Hamburger SV · Away 1.00points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-2
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	SV Elversberg	Hamburger SV
Scored per game	2.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.83	2.50
Match goals	3.83	3.50
Over 1.5	67%	83%
Over 2.5	67%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	67%	33%
Clean sheets	17%	17%
Failed to score	33%	50%
Games	6	6

	SV Elversberg	Hamburger SV
Scored per game	2.00	1.30
Conceded per game	1.83	2.10
Match goals	3.83	3.40
Over 1.5	67%	90%
Over 2.5	67%	70%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	67%	60%
Clean sheets	17%	10%
Failed to score	33%	30%
Games	6	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	SV Elversberg	Hamburger SV	League
Corners
Corners won	3.67	3.83
Corners conceded	8.00	6.00
Match total	11.67	9.83	10.72
Over 8.5	67% 4/6	67% 4/6
Over 9.5	67% 4/6	50% 3/6
Over 10.5	50% 3/6	33% 2/6
Cards
Cards	2.17	1.33
Opponent cards	1.83	2.17
Match total	4.00	3.50	3.51
Over 3.5	50% 3/6	50% 3/6
Over 4.5	33% 2/6	0% 0/6

	SV Elversberg	Hamburger SV	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	3.60
Corners conceded	6.20	6.40
Match total	10.20	10.00	10.72
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	40% 4/10
Cards
Cards	1.90	1.50
Opponent cards	2.30	2.60
Match total	4.20	4.10	3.51
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	20% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.