Aston Villa

12th · Premier League · 8 points · Matches played: 7

13 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.4 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +0.8 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 84.3-2.4
World Rank 7th Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 3rd L90 Strength
Last NewcastleA xG 1.6–1.1 1–0 Next VikingH 85%

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Our take

A top side, and in form.

Aston Villa lean on a top-third attack, with a mid-table defence behind it. Across the 7 league matches with forecasts, they have collected around 3 fewer points than our pre-match forecasts predicted. J. Manzambi and A. Wan-Bissaka are out, and The toughest of the next 5 matches is the trip to Barcelona, in a congested stretch.

Premier League · 7 games. Their underlying numbers look better than their results. Scoring fewer goals than their chances suggest is partly offset by conceding fewer than expected; good goalkeeping or poor finishing by opponents may explain the defensive gap.

Unusually, they travel better than they host: 1.8 points per game away against 0.3 at home.

  • Top 4 26% · Relegation <1%Likely 6th · 60 projected points
  • Next 5: about 8 of 15 points Toughest at Barcelona · , 11% to win · congested stretch
  • 3 key players outJ. Manzambi, A. Wan-Bissaka · 30% of squad weight missing
  • 8 pts vs 10.8 expected-2.8 vs pre-match expectations · 7 matches with forecasts

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Aston Villa. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals for this club in each category.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses observed Playing style averages; window size is not xG coverage and the two metrics can have different denominators. Points minus xPts uses the same covered current-league matches and stored forecasts as Club strength, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking
The full picture, with the evidence behind every signal.View all Club insights →

Season

League position and season results.

Overview

2026-2027
UEFA Champions League · League phaseView table →
Position
2nd/ 36
Points
63.00 PPG
Played
2
League gap
0pts behind leader
100.0%Win %
Wins2
Draws0
Losses0

Expected metrics · 2 of 2 matches covered

Goals For
94.50 / game
xG 5.48 3.52 more goals than expected. vs 9 goals
Goals Against
21.00 / game
xGA 3.57 1.57 fewer conceded than expected. vs 2 conceded
Goal Difference
+7+3.50 / game
xGD +1.91 Goal difference is 5.09 higher than expected. vs +7 GD
Clean Sheets
150% of games

League phase standings

UEFA Champions League · 2026-2027

Full standings →

Swipe to explore the league table →

Full UEFA Champions League table, Aston Villa highlighted
#ClubRatingPWDLGDPtsForm
1– Paris Saint Germain 90 2200 +7 6
2▲ Aston Villa 84 2200 +7 6
3– Barcelona 93 2200 +7 6
4▲ VfB Stuttgart 68 2200 +5 6
5▲ Liverpool 84 2200 +4 6
6– Sporting CP 84 2200 +4 6
7▲ Arsenal 94 2200 +4 6
8▲ Real Betis 72 2200 +2 6
9▲ Real Madrid 89 2200 +2 6
10▼ Bayern München 94 2110 +5 4
11▲ Shakhtar Donetsk 58 2110 +2 4
12▼ Como 67 2101 +2 3
13▼ Manchester United 79 2101 +2 3
14▲ Villarreal 67 2101 +1 3
15▲ Atletico Madrid 81 2101 +1 3
16▲ Club Brugge KV 76 2101 +0 3
17▼ Manchester City 91 2101 +0 3
18▼ Borussia Dortmund 81 2101 +0 3
19▼ Lens 58 2101 -1 3
20▼ AEK Athens FC 53 2101 -1 3
21▲ RB Leipzig 68 2101 -2 3
22▲ Sabah FA 26 2101 -2 3
23▲ Feyenoord 61 2101 -3 3
24▲ Bodo/Glimt 60 2101 -4 3
25▼ AS Roma 74 2011 -1 1
26▼ PSV Eindhoven 74 2011 -1 1
27▲ Viking 16 2011 -2 1
28▼ Fenerbahce 64 2011 -6 1
29▼ Inter 84 2002 -2 0
30▲ FC Porto 80 2002 -3 0
31▼ Slavia Praha 40 2002 -3 0
32▼ Napoli 63 2002 -3 0
33▼ Lask Linz 39 2002 -4 0
34▼ Lille 56 2002 -4 0
35▼ Galatasaray 64 2002 -5 0
36▼ Slovan Bratislava 20 2002 -8 0

36 clubs · ▲ Up · ▼ Down · – Unchanged · Since the start of the latest played matchday.

League position over time

Position by matchday

Higher is better. One point per matchday; partial rounds are marked. Postponed games count when played. Hover, tap or focus a point for details.

View position history
Aston Villa league position by matchweek
MDResults through (UTC)PositionPtsP
110 Sep 2026931
214 Oct 2026262

Squad 35 players · this season, all competitions · 9 out

Top scorer
N. Jackson5 goals
Most assists
B. Kamara2 assists
Best rated
J. Manzambi7.66 avg rating
Injured
Most minutes
V. Lindelöf810 min
Key to the model
N. JacksonCore · weight 2.62
PlayerAgeAppsMinGARatingModel role
Goalkeepers
Z. Suzuki 24 8 (8) 720 0 0 7.07 starter
M. Bizot 35 1 (1) 90 0 0 6.50 rotation
J. Wright 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Defenders
V. Lindelöf 32 9 (9) 810 0 0 6.70 rotation
M. Cash 29 7 (6) 567 0 0 6.58 starter
T. Mings 33 6 (4) 441 0 0 6.96 rotation
A. Wan-Bissaka injured 28 8 (5) 433 0 0 6.87 starter
I. Maatsen injured 24 5 (5) 427 0 0 6.10 rotation
Pau Torres 29 6 (5) 382 0 2 6.74 rotation
M. Ruggeri injured 24 4 (2) 158 0 0 6.57 rotation
T. Harwood-Bellis injured 24 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
Midfielders
B. Kamara 26 9 (9) 765 0 2 6.99 rotation
J. McGinn 32 9 (8) 751 2 2 6.90 starter
E. Buendía 29 8 (8) 608 2 0 6.69 starter
João Gomes 25 6 (5) 445 0 2 6.80 rotation
R. Barkley 32 9 (5) 438 2 1 6.94 rotation
George Hemmings injured 19 6 (5) 390 0 0 6.42 rotation
J. Manzambi injured 21 5 (4) 330 3 2 7.66 core
Alysson Edward 20 8 (1) 174 1 1 6.78 depth
L. Bogarde 22 2 (0) 38 0 0 6.65 rotation
L. Goretzka 31 2 (0) 25 0 0 6.87 rotation
M. Cissé injured 21 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
A. Borland 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
TJ Carroll — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Theodore Carroll — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
R. Fortes — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
J. Jimoh-Aloba 20 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
A. Onana injured 25 0 (0) 0 0 0 — starter
Forwards
N. Jackson 25 8 (8) 629 5 0 7.44 core
I. Mbaye 18 5 (1) 156 0 1 6.82 rotation
T. Abraham 29 6 (0) 91 1 0 6.57 rotation
A. Garnacho 22 4 (0) 42 0 0 6.38 depth
L. Lynch 19 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —
Brian Madjo injured 17 0 (0) 0 0 0 — depth
T. Mulley — 0 (0) 0 0 0 — —

Stats are this season in all competitions. Model role is how much the availability model weighs each player before the game with Viking: core, starter, rotation or depth, from several seasons of minutes and ratings.

Performance

Strength, recent form and playing style.

Strength Premier League · 20 clubs

L90 Strength3rd of 20
84 Elo 1898 · World #7
Current Strength
82 With absences before 21 Oct: -26 Elo
Attack5th of 20
83 Scores 2.26 per match against an average top-five side
Defence7th of 20
78 Concedes 1.14 per match against an average top-five side

In forecast League average

L90 Strength comes from Elo; Attack and Defence from goals scored and conceded, expected goals (xG) and shots on target, all on fixed 0–100 scales shared by every league. These are the numbers the forecast uses.

Strong at both ends Defence first Attack first Struggling Attack → Defence → Manchester City: attack 92, defence 82, L90 Strength 91 Arsenal: attack 86, defence 95, L90 Strength 94 Brighton: attack 87, defence 85, L90 Strength 83 Chelsea: attack 77, defence 74, L90 Strength 77 Liverpool: attack 85, defence 84, L90 Strength 84 Brentford: attack 73, defence 73, L90 Strength 75 Leeds: attack 69, defence 77, L90 Strength 73 Everton: attack 61, defence 66, L90 Strength 67 Hull City: attack 37, defence 50, L90 Strength 37 Ipswich: attack 59, defence 50, L90 Strength 49 Newcastle: attack 61, defence 61, L90 Strength 71 Aston Villa: attack 83, defence 78, L90 Strength 84 Manchester United: attack 72, defence 80, L90 Strength 79 Crystal Palace: attack 64, defence 54, L90 Strength 64 Bournemouth: attack 83, defence 82, L90 Strength 77 Tottenham: attack 56, defence 74, L90 Strength 62 Coventry: attack 47, defence 59, L90 Strength 51 Fulham: attack 66, defence 68, L90 Strength 65 Nottingham Forest: attack 68, defence 74, L90 Strength 70 Sunderland: attack 62, defence 59, L90 Strength 57
Every Premier League club on the Attack and Defence scales. Dashed lines are the league average. Tap a crest to open that club.

Form last 5 for the index · last 9 listed

84
Form index · 5th of 20 in league
Points, last 5
10
Median top-5 club
5.3
Own forecasts
8.5 +1.5
Table12th L90 Strength3rd Form5th

Lower in the table than their strength suggests.

Form compares points with what a median top-five club (L90 Strength 50) would take from the same fixtures, so wins over strong sides count for more; 50 is a typical run. "Own forecasts" is the gap to this club's pre-match expectations. Form is context: in our tests it did not improve the forecast.

  • W17 OctA · Newcastle1–01.6 xPts
  • W14 OctH · Fenerbahce6–02.0 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Brentford2–21.7 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Tottenham3–21.5 xPts
  • L12 SepH · Nottingham Forest1–21.8 xPts
  • W8 SepA · Club Brugge KV3–21.3 xPts
  • D5 SepA · Hull City0–01.9 xPts
  • L31 AugH · Arsenal0–11.0 xPts
  • L23 AugA · Brighton0–41.4 xPts

Trends last 9, all competitions

Scored 6/9
Clean sheet 3/9
Conceded 2+ 5/9
Over 2.5 6/9
Both teams scored 4/9

Playing style vs Premier League average

ASTLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.00 1.43 15th
Goals conceded 1.57 1.45 13th
xG 1.13 1.49 17th
xG allowed 1.67 1.50 15th
Scored in 57% 72% 15th
Clean sheets 29% 28% 8th
ASTLeagueRank
Shots 11.86 13.71 15th
Shots on target 4.40 4.56 11th
On target share 27% 32% 17th
Box share 64% 64% 10th
Conversion 8% 10% 12th
ASTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.86 13.77 16th
On target allowed 4.43 4.55 11th
Blocks 3.83 4.33 13th
Save rate 71% 66% 7th
ASTLeagueRank
Possession 48% 50% 11th
Passes 410 442 12th
Pass accuracy 83% 82% 11th
ASTLeagueRank
Fouls 10.71 11.49 8th
Fouls suffered 13.00 11.49 6th
Yellow cards 2.00 1.96 12th
Red cards 0.00 0.06 1st
This league season, per match · 7 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.
ASTLeagueRank
Goals scored 1.80 1.54 4th
Goals conceded 1.40 1.34 11th
xG 1.52 1.53 12th
xG allowed 1.66 1.44 16th
Scored in 70% 76% 10th
Clean sheets 30% 29% 5th
ASTLeagueRank
Shots 13.60 13.96 10th
Shots on target 5.88 4.69 2nd
On target share 35% 33% 6th
Box share 65% 65% 9th
Conversion 13% 11% 6th
ASTLeagueRank
Shots allowed 15.60 13.41 16th
On target allowed 4.50 4.43 12th
Blocks 4.22 4.19 9th
Save rate 73% 68% 5th
ASTLeagueRank
Possession 46% 50% 16th
Passes 404 442 14th
Pass accuracy 84% 83% 8th
ASTLeagueRank
Fouls 10.50 11.35 5th
Fouls suffered 12.20 11.46 7th
Yellow cards 1.70 1.96 7th
Red cards 0.00 0.05 1st
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 games. Rank among 20 clubs; for conceded, allowed, fouls and cards the lowest ranks 1st.

Home and away this league season

Home0.33pts per game0-1-2 · 1.0–1.7 goals · 3 games
Away1.75pts per game2-1-1 · 1.0–1.5 goals · 4 games

Goal timing this league season · 6 games

1 2 0-15
2 16-30
2 1 31-45
1 46-60
2 61-75
2 4 76-90

scored conceded, per 15 minutes

In forecastVia Att/DefContextLeague average

Possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Goals, xG and shots on target feed the Attack and Defence ratings. The rest describes how the team plays and does not change the forecast.

Team rankings Premier League · 7 games · rank of 20

Attack

GF 7 15th / 20
GF/G 1.00 15th / 20
xG/G 1.13 17th / 20
G − xG -0.13 11th / 20

Defence

GA 11 13th / 20
GA/G 1.57 13th / 20
xGA/G 1.67 15th / 20
xGA − GA +0.10 7th / 20

Overall

Pts 8 11th / 20
xPts 10.8 6th / 20
PPG 1.14 11th / 20
TR 6.72 17th / 20
GD -4 12th / 20
xGD -3.8 16th / 20
W 2 7th / 20
L 3 11th / 20

Scorelines

  • 0–4×1
  • 0–1×1
  • 0–0×1
  • 1–2×1
  • 3–2×1
  • 2–2×1

Goals per game both teams

14% 0
29% 1
0% 2
14% 3
29% 4
14% 5+

Totals club · league

Over 1.5
57%76%
Over 2.5
57%54%
Over 3.5
43%36%
Both scored
43%53%
Clean sheet
29%27%
Failed to score
43%27%
ClubLeague average

This league season only. xPts adds up our pre-match win and draw chances (pure EloLambda, the same numbers as Form). xG and TR come from match data and describe the season so far; none of these rankings change the forecast directly.