Coventry

17th · Premier League · 6 points · Matches played: 7

15 points behind Manchester City · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.7 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +1.8 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 50.7+2.7
World Rank 73rd Global, by Elo
Premier League Rank 18th L90 Strength
Last TottenhamA xG 0.8–0.9 1–3 Next FulhamH 36%

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Upcoming fixtures

Coventry · All competitions

Forecast
FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 36% win 1.33 xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Home 41% win 1.49 xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away 24% win 0.95 xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts IpswichPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EvertonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts SunderlandPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LeedsPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Crystal PalacePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LiverpoolPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrentfordPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BournemouthPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ChelseaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Aston VillaPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts FulhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Coventry · All competitions

Full time
TottenhamPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 1–3 0.8–0.9 xG -0.9 Δpts NewcastlePremier League 2026-2027 · Home W 4–1 1.5–1.9 xG +1.8 Δpts Nottingham ForestPremier League 2026-2027 · Away W 1–0 0.7–1.1 xG +2.3 Δpts BrightonPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–5 1.3–2.8 xG -1.0 Δpts Manchester CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 1.4–2.1 xG -0.3 Δpts Hull CityPremier League 2026-2027 · Home L 0–1 1.3–0.7 xG -1.9 Δpts ArsenalPremier League 2026-2027 · Away L 0–3 0.2–1.9 xG -0.3 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Coventry first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile4.8 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 276 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability5 out, 1 key: A. Amenda · Last match: 19 Oct
11%

Load before the next match, vs Fulham, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 21 Aug at Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100
L
 Aug 29 Aug vs Hull City: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100
L
 5 Sep at Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100
L
 Sep 13 Sep vs Brighton: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 19 Sep at Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
W
 12 Oct vs Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100
W
 Oct 19 Oct at Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100
L
 24 Oct vs Fulham: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 31 Oct vs Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 6 Nov at Everton: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 Nov 21 Nov vs Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 28 Nov at Leeds: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 2 Dec vs Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 48/100 Dec 5 Dec at Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 50/100; match difficulty 76/100 12 Dec vs Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 48/100; match difficulty 81/100 19 Dec at Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 27 Dec vs Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 30 Dec vs Brentford: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 72/100 2 Jan at Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 52/100; match difficulty 80/100 Jan 6 Jan at Ipswich: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 48/100 16 Jan vs Everton: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 64/100 23 Jan at Sunderland: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 30 Jan vs Leeds: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 6 Feb at Crystal Palace: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 Feb 10 Feb vs Liverpool: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 80/100 20 Feb at Brentford: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 27 Feb vs Bournemouth: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 3 Mar at Chelsea: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 73/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Manchester City: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 87/100 20 Mar at Brighton: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100 10 Apr vs Arsenal: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 Apr 17 Apr at Hull City: Schedule difficulty 19/100; match difficulty 38/100 24 Apr at Aston Villa: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 81/100 1 May vs Manchester United: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 76/100 May 8 May at Newcastle: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 68/100 15 May vs Tottenham: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 23 May at Fulham: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 30 May vs Nottingham Forest: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest4.8 daysbefore FUL
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d276 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs FulhamSat 24 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 65 36%win25%draw39%loss Low load · 4.8 d rest vs SunderlandSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 57 41%win24%draw34%loss Low load · 7 d rest at EvertonFri 6 Nov, 20:00 Premier League 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 67 24%win23%draw53%loss Low load · 6.2 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Fulham, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

3 of 3 forecasts available

Attack Swing+10%

Baseline 4.06 → Forecast 4.47 expected goals · 3 included matches

Conceding Swing−9%

Baseline 5.57 → Forecast 5.06 expected goals conceded · 3 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Fulham24 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +7% −4% 1.45 → 1.56
vs Sunderland31 Oct · Premier League 2026-2027 +16% −11% 1.45 → 1.68
at Everton6 Nov · Premier League 2026-2027 +7% −11% 1.15 → 1.23

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Coventry

Baseline: average Premier League opponent

Attack Uplift +7% Expected goals Baseline1.45Forecast1.56
Conceding Risk −4% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.71Forecast1.63
Clean Sheet +1.4 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline18.2%Forecast19.6%