Estoril

18th · Primeira Liga · 2 points · Matches played: 8

22 points behind FC Porto · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+2.5 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -3.0 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 21.7+2.5
World Rank 359th Global, by Elo
Primeira Liga Rank 13th L90 Strength
Last Academico ViseuA xG 1.4–0.8 1–2 Next MoreirenseH 46%

Compare clubs

Choose a second club to explore what separates them.

Upcoming fixtures

Estoril · All competitions

Forecast
MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 46% win 1.65 xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away 7% win 0.35 xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home 51% win 1.79 xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MoreirensePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FC PortoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MaritimoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts GIL VicentePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GuimaraesPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Sporting CPPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AlvercaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts EstrelaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Estoril · All competitions

Full time
Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 1.4–0.8 xG -1.0 Δpts Casa PiaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 — xG -1.8 Δpts SC BragaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 — xG -0.6 Δpts AroucaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 — xG -0.4 Δpts BenficaPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 1–2 0.4–2.0 xG -0.2 Δpts Rio AvePrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home L 0–2 1.2–0.7 xG -1.7 Δpts NacionalPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Away L 0–2 0.9–2.0 xG -1.3 Δpts FamalicaoPrimeira Liga 2026-2027 · Home D 1–1 1.1–1.5 xG -0.2 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Estoril first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile14.8 days since last match
0%
Schedule load0 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel loadHome match, 0 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availabilityFull squad available
0%

Load before the next match, vs Moreirense, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 7 Aug vs Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 67/100
D
 Aug 16 Aug at Nacional: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 44/100
L
 22 Aug vs Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 49/100
L
 31 Aug at Benfica: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100
L
 7 Sep vs Arouca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
D
 Sep 14 Sep at SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 43/100; match difficulty 79/100
L
 20 Sep vs Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100
L
 10 Oct at Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100
L
 Oct 25 Oct vs Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 54/100 31 Oct at FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100 8 Nov vs Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 41/100 Nov 29 Nov at GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 63/100 6 Dec vs Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 29/100; match difficulty 57/100 Dec 13 Dec vs Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 20 Dec at Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 27 Dec vs Alverca: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 10 Jan at Estrela: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100 Jan 17 Jan at Famalicao: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 67/100 24 Jan vs Nacional: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 44/100 31 Jan at Rio Ave: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 49/100 7 Feb vs Benfica: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 Feb 14 Feb at Arouca: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 21 Feb vs SC Braga: Schedule difficulty 40/100; match difficulty 79/100 28 Feb at Casa Pia: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 45/100 7 Mar vs Academico Viseu: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 61/100 Mar 14 Mar at Moreirense: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 54/100 21 Mar vs FC Porto: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 91/100 4 Apr at Maritimo: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 41/100 Apr 11 Apr vs GIL Vicente: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 63/100 18 Apr at Guimaraes: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 57/100 25 Apr at Santa Clara: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 63/100 2 May vs Sporting CP: Schedule difficulty 51/100; match difficulty 92/100 May 9 May at Alverca: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100 16 May vs Estrela: Schedule difficulty 24/100; match difficulty 47/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest14.8 daysbefore MOR
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel / 14d0 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
vs MoreirenseSun 25 Oct, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 25 46%win27%draw27%loss Low load · 14.8 d rest at FC PortoSat 31 Oct, 20:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 80 7%win14%draw79%loss Low load · 6.2 d rest vs MaritimoSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 16 51%win25%draw24%loss Low load · 7.8 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → vs Moreirense, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−7%

Baseline 2.39 → Forecast 2.22 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+22%

Baseline 3.12 → Forecast 3.82 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
vs Moreirense25 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 +14% −20% 1.33 → 1.51
at FC Porto31 Oct · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 −33% +56% 1.06 → 0.71
vs Maritimo8 Nov · Primeira Liga 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Estoril

Baseline: average Primeira Liga opponent

Attack Uplift +14% Expected goals Baseline1.33Forecast1.51
Conceding Risk −20% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.38Forecast1.10
Clean Sheet +8.0 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline25.3%Forecast33.3%