Excelsior

10th · Eredivisie · 11 points · Matches played: 9

12 points behind Feyenoord · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

-2.8 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed -4.4 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 21.4-2.8
World Rank 365th Global, by Elo
Eredivisie Rank 13th L90 Strength
Last HeerenveenA xG 0.7–2.3 0–4 Next Fortuna SittardA 31%

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Upcoming fixtures

Excelsior · All competitions

Forecast
Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away 31% win 1.17 xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 26% win 1.02 xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home 41% win 1.46 xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts FeyenoordEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Fortuna SittardEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TwenteEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AZ AlkmaarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts PEC ZwolleEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ADO Den HaagEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts TelstarEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Excelsior · All competitions

Full time
HeerenveenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away L 0–4 0.7–2.3 xG -0.9 Δpts GroningenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–5 1.8–2.5 xG -1.6 Δpts AjaxEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 — xG +0.3 Δpts UtrechtEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 — xG -1.9 Δpts NEC NijmegenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away D 2–2 — xG +0.0 Δpts Willem IIEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 3–0 — xG +1.3 Δpts Sparta RotterdamEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +1.2 Δpts PSV EindhovenEredivisie 2026-2027 · Home L 1–2 0.5–2.2 xG -0.9 Δpts CambuurEredivisie 2026-2027 · Away W 4–0 3.4–0.7 xG +1.9 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Excelsior first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile8.7 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load141 km to venue, 302 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability1 out, 1 key: N. Naujoks · Last match: 16 Oct
7%

Load before the next match, at Fortuna Sittard, 25 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 7 Aug at Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100
W
 Aug 15 Aug vs PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100
L
 29 Aug vs Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100
W
 5 Sep at Willem II: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100
W
 Sep 8 Sep at NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 62/100
D
 13 Sep vs Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100
L
 19 Sep at Ajax: Schedule difficulty 47/100; match difficulty 78/100
D
 11 Oct vs Groningen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100
L
 Oct 16 Oct at Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100
L
 25 Oct at Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 1 Nov vs Twente: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 Nov 7 Nov vs GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 21 Nov at Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 28 Nov vs Telstar: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 6 Dec at ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 Dec 12 Dec at PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 19 Dec vs AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100 9 Jan at Sparta Rotterdam: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 Jan 16 Jan vs Feyenoord: Schedule difficulty 41/100; match difficulty 82/100 22 Jan vs Fortuna Sittard: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 29 Jan at Utrecht: Schedule difficulty 32/100; match difficulty 63/100 14 Feb vs Ajax: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 78/100 Feb 21 Feb at Twente: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100 28 Feb vs Heerenveen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 7 Mar at GO Ahead Eagles: Schedule difficulty 27/100; match difficulty 53/100 Mar 14 Mar vs NEC Nijmegen: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 21 Mar at AZ Alkmaar: Schedule difficulty 37/100; match difficulty 74/100 4 Apr vs PEC Zwolle: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100 Apr 11 Apr at Groningen: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100 25 Apr vs Willem II: Schedule difficulty 16/100; match difficulty 31/100 2 May vs Cambuur: Schedule difficulty 26/100; match difficulty 51/100 May 9 May at PSV Eindhoven: Schedule difficulty 44/100; match difficulty 88/100 16 May vs ADO Den Haag: Schedule difficulty 20/100; match difficulty 40/100 23 May at Telstar: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest8.7 daysbefore SIT
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d302 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at Fortuna SittardSun 25 Oct, 11:15 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 21 31%win24%draw45%loss Low load · 8.7 d rest vs TwenteSun 1 Nov, 13:30 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 45 26%win23%draw51%loss Low load · 7.1 d rest vs GO Ahead EaglesSat 7 Nov, 20:00 Eredivisie 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 26 41%win24%draw35%loss Low load · 6.3 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Fortuna Sittard, 25 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 5 matches · all competitions

2 of 5 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−5%

Baseline 2.91 → Forecast 2.76 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing−5%

Baseline 3.87 → Forecast 3.66 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 5 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Fortuna Sittard25 Oct · Eredivisie 2026-2027 +10% −20% 1.29 → 1.42
vs Twente1 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 −17% +13% 1.62 → 1.34
vs GO Ahead Eagles7 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
at Feyenoord21 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable
vs Telstar28 Nov · Eredivisie 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Excelsior

Baseline: average Eredivisie opponent

Attack Uplift +10% Expected goals Baseline1.29Forecast1.42
Conceding Risk −20% Expected goals conceded Baseline2.16Forecast1.74
Clean Sheet +6.1 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline11.5%Forecast17.6%