Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

Stories behind the signals

All tracked leagues · 223 signals · 120 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

BarcelonaWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score84/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
10+
Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+6.3
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
4.3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.60
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 84/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
62.2
Context
100.0
Quality
67.9

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 33; xPts 26.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.55; xG against 0.95. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
PSV EindhovenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score76/100

A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.

Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
−3.9
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.16
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 76/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
77.3
Recency
62.2
Context
100.0
Quality
66.4

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 20; xPts 23.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.27; xG against 1.11. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Bayern MünchenGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score75/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+2.15
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 75/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
100.0
Recency
46.6
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 3.27; xG against 1.12. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
GoztepeGoals at both endsInsight Score60/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.1
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.0
Both teams scoredLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
75%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.27
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.4
Recency
48.2
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
AlvercaA winning run, a limited chance advantageInsight Score48/100

Consecutive wins stand out, while the separate observed xG profile shows little or no positive balance. That contrast invites a closer look, without predicting when the run will end.

Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.05
Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.6
Full club analysis →Different windows, shown individually. Connections invite analysis; they do not establish a cause.
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
39.5
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
  • Goals scored / match — Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

Attack223 signals · 120 clubs

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Marseille Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Marseille 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.6
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21StrasbourgH4–0W
2026-08-30MonacoA0–2L
2026-09-06Paris FCH2–3L
2026-09-11RennesA0–1L
2026-09-17BesiktasA1–4L
2026-09-20Paris Saint GermainH1–2L
2026-10-11Estac TroyesA2–0W
2026-10-15Olympiakos PiraeusH0–1L
2026-10-18AngersA5–2W
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62
Scores Galatasaray 60% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
93.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2DYes
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0WNo
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2WYes
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2WYes
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0WNo
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4LNo
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1WYes
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4LYes
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Heerenveen Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Heerenveen 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Eredivisie 2026-2027: 1.92 goals per team/match, 81 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
8.6
Recency
90.2
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Heerenveen’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09TwenteH1–0W
2026-08-16AjaxA2–2D
2026-08-22PEC ZwolleH0–2L
2026-08-30Willem IIA2–2D
2026-09-06AZ AlkmaarH2–3L
2026-09-13TelstarH0–0D
2026-09-19Sparta RotterdamA4–0W
2026-10-09PSV EindhovenA0–2L
2026-10-16ExcelsiorH4–0W
Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Ferencvarosi TC 60% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
87.3
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-09VojvodinaA2–1WYes
2026-07-16VojvodinaH3–0WNo
2026-07-23TwenteA2–1WYes
2026-07-30TwenteH2–2DYes
2026-08-05Gornik ZabrzeH1–0WNo
2026-08-13Gornik ZabrzeA1–1DYes
2026-08-20TrabzonsporA1–0WNo
2026-08-27TrabzonsporH4–0WNo
2026-09-17CelticA3–1WYes
2026-10-15PlzenH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals scored per match 1.7 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44
Scores Eintracht Frankfurt 1.7 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.6
Recency
90.2
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eintracht Frankfurt’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-29Union BerlinA3–3D
2026-09-06FC AugsburgH1–4L
2026-09-12FSV Mainz 05A3–1W
2026-09-19SC FreiburgH2–2D
2026-10-10RB LeipzigA0–6L
2026-10-161.FC KölnH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Besiktas Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64
Scores Besiktas 60% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
99.7
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AlanyasporA0–1LNo
2026-08-27Kauno ŽalgirisA0–1LNo
2026-08-31Çorum FKH6–2WYes
2026-09-05FenerbahceA2–1WYes
2026-09-11Erzurumspor FKH3–0WNo
2026-09-17MarseilleH4–1WYes
2026-09-20AmedA2–3LYes
2026-10-11KocaelisporH2–1WYes
2026-10-151899 HoffenheimA3–2WYes
2026-10-19TrabzonsporA0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores 1899 Hoffenheim 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Bundesliga 2026-2027: 1.84 goals per team/match, 54 matches · 2026-08-28 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
6.4
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-291.FC KölnA2–3L
2026-09-05Borussia DortmundH2–3L
2026-09-12VfB StuttgartH2–1W
2026-09-17OFIA0–2L
2026-09-20SC Paderborn 07A1–3L
2026-10-10Hamburger SVH2–3L
2026-10-15BesiktasH2–3L
2026-10-18Borussia MönchengladbachA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Ararat-Armenia Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Ararat-Armenia 60% Both teams scored Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.4
Recency
87.3
Context
40.0
Quality
72.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-07-07RigaH2–0WNo
2026-07-14RigaA2–3LYes
2026-07-21Shamrock RoversH2–0WNo
2026-07-28Shamrock RoversA1–2LYes
2026-08-04CeljeH2–1WYes
2026-08-11CeljeA0–2LNo
2026-08-20Universitatea CraiovaA1–1DYes
2026-08-27Universitatea CraiovaH1–0WNo
2026-09-16Sparta PrahaH1–4LYes
2026-10-15JagielloniaA1–3LYes
Full club analysis →
Standard Liege Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44
Scores Standard Liege 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
3.7
Recency
76.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Standard Liege’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-08Cercle BruggeH2–2D
2026-08-16KV MechelenA3–3D
2026-08-21RAAL La LouvièreH2–0W
2026-08-29OH LeuvenA2–1W
2026-09-05AntwerpH1–0W
2026-09-12KVC WesterloA2–4L
2026-09-18GentA1–2L
2026-10-11CharleroiH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Alverca Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Alverca 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-12 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.6
Recency
79.0
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alverca’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09FC PortoA0–2L
2026-08-15EstrelaH2–2D
2026-08-22Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-08-29Santa ClaraH1–1D
2026-09-05SC BragaH1–2L
2026-09-12NacionalA3–1W
2026-09-19Rio AveH1–0W
2026-10-12FamalicaoA4–1W
Full club analysis →
Villarreal Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Villarreal 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.3
Recency
93.3
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Villarreal’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Atletico MadridA2–2D
2026-08-28AlavesA0–1L
2026-09-05Deportivo La CorunaH2–3L
2026-09-08Borussia DortmundA2–3L
2026-09-14Real BetisH1–2L
2026-09-17MalagaA3–1W
2026-09-20LevanteH3–1W
2026-10-10Real MadridA0–1L
2026-10-13NapoliH3–1W
2026-10-17ElcheH0–0D
Full club analysis →
Ipswich Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Ipswich 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.2
Recency
93.3
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22SunderlandH2–1W
2026-08-30Manchester UnitedA2–5L
2026-09-04LiverpoolH0–2L
2026-09-12Crystal PalaceA3–2W
2026-09-19EvertonA0–1L
2026-10-10FulhamH2–1W
2026-10-17Manchester CityA2–3L
Full club analysis →
Auxerre Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Auxerre 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Ligue 1 2026-2027: 1.52 goals per team/match, 63 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.7
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Auxerre’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22LensA2–5L
2026-08-29AngersH1–3L
2026-09-04LyonA1–3L
2026-09-12NiceH1–0W
2026-09-20Stade Brestois 29H2–1W
2026-10-11RennesA1–4L
2026-10-18LE HavreA3–1W
Full club analysis →
Manchester United Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Manchester United 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22Hull CityA0–2L
2026-08-30IpswichH5–2W
2026-09-06EvertonA2–2D
2026-09-10Sabah FAH4–0W
2026-09-13Manchester CityH0–1L
2026-09-20FulhamA1–1D
2026-10-10TottenhamH1–1D
2026-10-13Atletico MadridA0–2L
2026-10-18LeedsA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Bournemouth Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52
Scores Bournemouth 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.0
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23Manchester CityA1–2L
2026-08-29EvertonH1–1D
2026-09-05NewcastleA2–2D
2026-09-12BrentfordH2–2D
2026-09-17Real SociedadA2–1W
2026-09-20LiverpoolH0–1L
2026-10-10ChelseaA1–5L
2026-10-15Sturm GrazH3–0W
2026-10-18SunderlandH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Sevilla Goals scored per match 1.6 Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Scores50
Scores Sevilla 1.6 Goals scored per match Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.7
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
90.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Sevilla’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15Rayo VallecanoH2–1W
2026-08-22Athletic ClubA3–1W
2026-08-29Atletico MadridH1–3L
2026-09-06EspanyolA1–1D
2026-09-11ValenciaH1–0W
2026-09-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–0W
2026-09-19BarcelonaH1–3L
2026-10-12LevanteA3–3D
2026-10-18Real MadridA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Red Bull Salzburg Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Scores39
Scores Red Bull Salzburg 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 39/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
2.2
Recency
87.3
Context
40.0
Quality
43.2

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Red Bull Salzburg’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-06PafosH1–0W
2026-08-13PafosA3–3D
2026-08-20Mjallby AIFA1–0W
2026-08-27Mjallby AIFH3–0W
2026-09-17Levski SofiaA1–0W
2026-10-15AC MilanH0–4L
Full club analysis →
Santa Clara Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores44
Scores Santa Clara 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Primeira Liga 2026-2027: 1.38 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 44/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.8
Recency
73.9
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Santa Clara’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-10NacionalH2–2D
2026-08-15Academico ViseuA1–0W
2026-08-23FamalicaoH1–0W
2026-08-29AlvercaA1–1D
2026-09-06Rio AveH4–0W
2026-09-13AroucaA2–1W
2026-09-20SC BragaH0–0D
2026-10-10Casa PiaA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Rayo Vallecano Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Rayo Vallecano 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
99.7
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Rayo Vallecano’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15SevillaA1–2L
2026-08-20AlavesH1–1D
2026-08-31BarcelonaA2–5L
2026-09-05Racing SantanderH3–2W
2026-09-12Real MadridA1–4L
2026-09-15EspanyolH2–1W
2026-09-19OsasunaA1–1D
2026-10-19GetafeA1–1D
Full club analysis →
Antwerp Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores43
Scores Antwerp 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Belgian Pro League 2026-2027: 1.51 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-07 → 2026-10-11 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 43/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
0.5
Recency
76.4
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Antwerp’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-09SK BeverenH2–1W
2026-08-15KortrijkA3–0W
2026-08-22GenkH4–4D
2026-08-30St. TruidenH1–4L
2026-09-05Standard LiegeA0–1L
2026-09-13Club Brugge KVA1–3L
2026-09-20Union St. GilloiseH0–2L
2026-10-11KVC WesterloA1–5L
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Istanbul Basaksehir 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0W
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2L
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1D
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3L
2026-09-13AmedA0–5L
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0W
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0D
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49
Scores Kasimpasa 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15TrabzonsporH1–1D
2026-08-22Çorum FKA1–0W
2026-08-30Istanbul BasaksehirA1–1D
2026-09-06AmedH2–2D
2026-09-13GenclerbirligiA2–1W
2026-09-18KonyasporH0–0D
2026-10-09GalatasarayA1–3L
2026-10-18SamsunsporH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Levante Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores47
Scores Levante 1.5 Goals scored per match Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-16 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
90.2
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Levante’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16EspanyolA0–3L
2026-08-24OsasunaA0–0D
2026-08-29Real BetisH5–2W
2026-09-06MalagaA0–0D
2026-09-13BarcelonaH2–4L
2026-09-20VillarrealA1–3L
2026-10-12SevillaH3–3D
2026-10-16Deportivo La CorunaA1–1D
Full club analysis →
About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →