Insights.
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UEFA Europa League · 140 signals · 34 clubs in this view
Bayer LeverkusenWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score72/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 5
- Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +3.5
- Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.10
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 73.3
- Recency
- 64.5
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 50.9
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 19; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
BenficaGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score68/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +1.26
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 84.0
- Recency
- 43.8
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
NEC NijmegenChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score67/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −6.2
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.55
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.1
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 64.5
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 57.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 11; xPts 17.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
Union St. GilloiseDefensive consistency, positive chance balanceInsight Score62/100
Clean sheets and low goals conceded accompany a positive observed xG balance. The xG profile describes overall chance balance; it is not, by itself, proof of strong defending.
- Clean sheetsLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 6/10
- Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 0.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.44
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 67.2
- Recency
- 43.8
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Clean sheets — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Real SociedadGoals at both endsInsight Score58/100
Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.
- Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Goals conceded / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Both teams scoredLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 80%
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.44
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 54.4
- Recency
- 48.4
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 56.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Both teams scored — UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.28; xG against 1.72. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals140 signals · 34 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Lech Poznan
xG difference per match
−1.95
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG51
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.06; xG against 3.01. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.06
- xG against
- 3.01
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Benfica
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak85
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
Clean sheets
6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 67.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | No |
Ferencvarosi TC
Unbeaten in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak85
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Anderlecht
Clean sheets
6
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 67.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Anderlecht’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat AlmatyA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Kairat AlmatyH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-03 | KortrijkH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | GenkH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | KV MechelenA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | LyonH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Zulte WaregemH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Cercle BruggeA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Dinamo ZagrebA | 0–1L | No |
Union St. Gilloise
Unbeaten in a row
9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak81
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 90.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen
Wins in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak64
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
NEC Nijmegen
Points below expected
−6.2
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast64
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 17.2. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 17.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Omonia Nicosia
Goals conceded per match
0.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.1
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W |
| 2026-07-29 | Kairat AlmatyA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-06 | Lincoln Red Imps FCA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-13 | Lincoln Red Imps FCH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-20 | St. TruidenA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-27 | St. TruidenH | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-16 | Celta VigoH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | CeljeA | 3–0W |
Benfica
xG difference per match
+1.26
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG45
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.03; xG against 0.77. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 84.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.03
- xG against
- 0.77
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Red Bull Salzburg
Clean sheets
4
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 65.9
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Red Bull Salzburg’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | PafosH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | PafosA | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Mjallby AIFA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Mjallby AIFH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Levski SofiaA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | AC MilanH | 0–4L | No |
Crystal Palace
Goals conceded away per match
2.4
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores51
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
1899 Hoffenheim
Points below expected
−6.2
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast68
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 6; xPts 12.2. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 71.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 6.0
- xPts
- 12.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC
Goals conceded per match
0.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W |
Ferencvarosi TC
Wins in a row
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak64
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 40.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Benfica
Goals scored per match
2.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 49.7
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W |
Union St. Gilloise
Goals conceded per match
0.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D |
Ferencvarosi TC
Scoring in a row
10+
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak85
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 100.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Sunderland
Goals conceded away per match
2.2
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores49
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Sunderland’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | IpswichA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-05 | BrentfordA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester CityA | 3–5L |
| 2026-10-15 | TorreenseA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | BournemouthA | 0–2L |
Bayer Leverkusen
Unbeaten in a row
7
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak71
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 64.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Celje
xG difference per match
−1.12
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG42
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.82; xG against 1.94. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 74.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.82
- xG against
- 1.94
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Anderlecht
Goals conceded per match
0.7
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 28.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Anderlecht’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Kairat AlmatyA | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | Kairat AlmatyH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | Union St. GilloiseA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-03 | KortrijkH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | GenkH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-11 | KV MechelenA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | LyonH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Zulte WaregemH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | Cercle BruggeA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | Dinamo ZagrebA | 0–1L |
Olympiakos Piraeus
xG difference per match
+1.18
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG44
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.38. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 78.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.56
- xG against
- 0.38
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim
Both teams scored
88%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores66
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 64.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FC KölnA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia DortmundH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB StuttgartH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | OFIA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SVH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BesiktasH | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 2–1W | Yes |
Ararat-Armenia
Goals conceded away per match
2.2
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-07-14 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Ararat-Armenia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | RigaA | 2–3L |
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock RoversA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-11 | CeljeA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-20 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | JagielloniaA | 1–3L |
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals scored per match
2.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 47.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W |
Benfica
Goals conceded per match
0.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 24.7
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W |
NEC Nijmegen
Goals conceded away per match
2.0
Last 7 recorded away matches
Scores46
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 7 recorded away matches · 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-10 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 19.5
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-15 | Willem IIA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D |
Celje
Losses in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak56
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celje’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Egnatia RrogozhinëA | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-07-28 | Egnatia RrogozhinëH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-04 | Ararat-ArmeniaA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-19 | Slovan BratislavaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-26 | Slovan BratislavaH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Bayer LeverkusenA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Omonia NicosiaH | 0–3L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Celtic
xG difference per match
+1.12
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG42
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.44; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 74.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.44
- xG against
- 1.32
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad
Goals conceded away per match
2.0
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores49
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 54.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Real BetisA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W |
Bayer Leverkusen
xG difference per match
+1.10
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG42
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.35; xG against 1.25. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 73.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.35
- xG against
- 1.25
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Points above expected
+5.0
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast63
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 20; xPts 15. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 53.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 20.0
- xPts
- 15.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Levski Sofia
Goals conceded per match
0.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.8
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Borac Banja LukaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-07-14 | Borac Banja LukaH | 4–0W |
| 2026-07-22 | Universitatea CraiovaH | 1–0W |
| 2026-07-29 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-04 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-11 | Kairat AlmatyA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-18 | AEK Athens FCH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-09-17 | Red Bull SalzburgH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-15 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
Levski Sofia
Clean sheets
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores61
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 47.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Borac Banja LukaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-07-14 | Borac Banja LukaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-22 | Universitatea CraiovaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-04 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | Kairat AlmatyA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | AEK Athens FCH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FCA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | Red Bull SalzburgH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D | No |
Celtic
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 6 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 6 recorded away matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.9
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 54.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | KilmarnockA | 5–1W |
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
Omonia Nicosia
Wins in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak56
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | Kairat AlmatyA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-06 | Lincoln Red Imps FCA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-13 | Lincoln Red Imps FCH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | St. TruidenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | St. TruidenH | 4–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Celta VigoH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CeljeA | 3–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
1899 Hoffenheim
Goals conceded per match
2.4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from 1899 Hoffenheim’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FC KölnA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia DortmundH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB StuttgartH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-17 | OFIA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | SC Paderborn 07A | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SVH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-15 | BesiktasH | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | Borussia MönchengladbachA | 2–1W |
Union St. Gilloise
Points above expected
+4.8
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 24; xPts 19.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 48.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 24.0
- xPts
- 19.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Marseille
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores45
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-30 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 10.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Marseille’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | MonacoA | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-11 | RennesA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-17 | BesiktasA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-11 | Estac TroyesA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AngersA | 5–2W |
Real Sociedad
Both teams scored
80%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores66
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 54.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | EspanyolH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | Celta VigoH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Atletico MadridH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | BournemouthH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W | Yes |
Bayer Leverkusen
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | No |
Union St. Gilloise
Scoring in a row
8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak78
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 80.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia
Both teams scored
83%
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | RangersH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | RangersA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | SaburtaloH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | SaburtaloA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 3–1W | Yes |
NEC Nijmegen
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | FeyenoordH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-08 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-20 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Levski SofiaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–2D |
Bayer Leverkusen
Scoring in a row
8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak74
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 73.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bayer Leverkusen’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | SV ElversbergA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | Union BerlinH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | FC AugsburgA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | CeljeH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RB LeipzigH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | FSV Mainz 05A | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Lech PoznanA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SC FreiburgH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Crystal Palace
Goals conceded per match
2.2
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 29.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | EvertonA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | Manchester CityH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | IpswichH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | Lech PoznanH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | LeedsA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-11 | Nottingham ForestH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | LyonA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | BrightonA | 0–5L |
Juventus
xG difference per match
+0.89
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG37
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.5; xG against 0.61. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 59.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.50
- xG against
- 0.61
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Hapoel Beer Sheva’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vikingur ReykjavikA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-07-29 | Vikingur ReykjavikH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-04 | FK Crvena ZvezdaH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | FK Crvena ZvezdaA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | Sabah FAH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-25 | Sabah FAA | 2–5L | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Dinamo ZagrebH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | AZ AlkmaarA | 1–2L | No |
Lech Poznan
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.1
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | AarhusA | 4–1W |
| 2026-07-29 | AarhusH | 0–3L |
| 2026-08-06 | KI KlaksvikH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-14 | KI KlaksvikA | 5–0W |
| 2026-08-20 | FC ThunH | 7–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | FC ThunA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Crystal PalaceA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 0–4L |
Omonia Nicosia
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-22 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 43.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Omonia Nicosia’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Kairat AlmatyH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | Kairat AlmatyA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-06 | Lincoln Red Imps FCA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-13 | Lincoln Red Imps FCH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | St. TruidenA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | St. TruidenH | 4–2W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Celta VigoH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CeljeA | 3–0W | Yes |
Union St. Gilloise
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-11 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Bodo/GlimtA | 2–3L |
| 2026-08-15 | Zulte WaregemH | 0–0D |
| 2026-08-30 | AnderlechtH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-02 | St. TruidenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | CharleroiA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Lommel UnitedH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | PlzenA | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AntwerpA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | OH LeuvenH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Real SociedadH | 1–1D |
Lyon
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W |
Besiktas
Points above expected
+4.1
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 21; xPts 16.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 41.0
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 21.0
- xPts
- 16.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Besiktas
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.1
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AlanyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-27 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | Çorum FKH | 6–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | FenerbahceA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-11 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | MarseilleH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | AmedA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | KocaelisporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–2L |
AZ Alkmaar
xG difference per match
+0.80
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG35
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.2; xG against 1.4. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 53.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.20
- xG against
- 1.40
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Celta Vigo
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-27 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celta Vigo’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | OsasunaH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletic ClubH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-03 | Real SociedadA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-07 | GetafeA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | MalagaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-16 | Omonia NicosiaA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | Racing SantanderH | 5–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | ElcheA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-15 | JuventusH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | AlavesH | 2–1W |
Besiktas
xG difference per match
+0.79
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.06; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.06
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Sturm Graz
Clean sheets
3
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 38.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sturm Graz’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | Heart Of MidlothianA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | FenerbahceA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-11 | FenerbahceH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-16 | RennesH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | BournemouthA | 0–3L | No |
Celta Vigo
Points below expected
−3.8
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 14.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 34.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 14.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Juventus
Clean sheets
4
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FrosinoneA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | ParmaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AC MilanH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-13 | SassuoloA | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | NEC NijmegenH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AtalantaH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | CagliariA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Celta VigoA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | LazioH | 0–3L | No |
Marseille
Points below expected
−3.8
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast58
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 12.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 40.7
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 12.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
AC Milan
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | TorinoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | VeneziaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | JuventusA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-12 | LazioA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-16 | BenficaH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | LecceH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | SassuoloA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Red Bull SalzburgA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AtalantaH | 3–2W |
Juventus
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Juventus’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FrosinoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | ParmaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | AC MilanH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | SassuoloA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | NEC NijmegenH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | AtalantaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | CagliariA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Celta VigoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | LazioH | 0–3L |
Real Sociedad
Points above expected
+3.5
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast56
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 13.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 31.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 63.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 13.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Levski Sofia
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores41
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-07-07 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Levski Sofia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Borac Banja LukaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-07-29 | Universitatea CraiovaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-11 | Kairat AlmatyA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-26 | AEK Athens FCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-15 | NEC NijmegenA | 1–1D |
AC Milan
xG difference per match
+0.70
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG32
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 46.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.97
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Bayer Leverkusen
Points above expected
+3.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-29 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 19; xPts 15.5. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 40.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 19.0
- xPts
- 15.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 5.
Full club analysis →
Ferencvarosi TC
Goals scored per match
2.1
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W |
Bournemouth
xG difference per match
+0.67
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG32
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.82; xG against 1.15. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 44.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.82
- xG against
- 1.15
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W | Yes |
AC Milan
Points above expected
+3.4
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 18; xPts 14.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 36.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 18.0
- xPts
- 14.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Benfica
Clean sheets
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-20 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 27.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Benfica’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | AarhusH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | AarhusA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-08-31 | EstorilH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | MaritimoA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | MoreirenseA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GIL VicenteH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-09-16 | AC MilanA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FC PortoA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-10-11 | GuimaraesH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | CelticH | 4–1W | No |
Jagiellonia
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 23.6
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | RangersH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-13 | RangersA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | SaburtaloH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | SaburtaloA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-16 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 3–1W |
NEC Nijmegen
Both teams scored
70%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 34.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from NEC Nijmegen’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Bodo/GlimtA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | PEC ZwolleA | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FeyenoordH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | ExcelsiorH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | CambuurA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | JuventusA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AjaxA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Levski SofiaH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Fortuna SittardH | 2–2D | Yes |
AZ Alkmaar
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AZ Alkmaar’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | UtrechtA | 4–1W |
| 2026-08-22 | Fortuna SittardA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GO Ahead EaglesH | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | HeerenveenA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-11 | Willem IIH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-16 | SunderlandA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-20 | TelstarH | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | FeyenoordA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Hapoel Beer ShevaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | CambuurA | 2–2D |
OFI
xG difference per match
−0.66
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG31
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.66; xG against 1.32. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 44.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.66
- xG against
- 1.32
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Jagiellonia
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores43
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 13.8
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | RangersH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-13 | RangersA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | SaburtaloH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-27 | SaburtaloA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-16 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 3–1W |
Ferencvarosi TC
Clean sheets
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-07-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 27.2
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ferencvarosi TC’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | VojvodinaA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-07-16 | VojvodinaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | TwenteA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-07-30 | TwenteH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-05 | Gornik ZabrzeH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | Gornik ZabrzeA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | TrabzonsporA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | TrabzonsporH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | CelticA | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-15 | PlzenH | 2–1W | No |
Bournemouth
Points below expected
−2.6
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast54
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 12; xPts 14.6. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 27.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 14.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Celtic
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-25 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Celtic’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lask LinzA | 1–5L |
| 2026-08-29 | FalkirkH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-02 | AberdeenH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | ST MirrenA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | ST JohnstoneA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-20 | RangersH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-11 | MotherwellA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-15 | BenficaA | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-18 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 7–1W |
Sturm Graz
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores43
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 13.8
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 43.2
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Sturm Graz’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Heart Of MidlothianH | 4–0W |
| 2026-07-28 | Heart Of MidlothianA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-05 | FenerbahceA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-11 | FenerbahceH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-16 | RennesH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-15 | BournemouthA | 0–3L |
AC Milan
Goals scored per match
2.0
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 21.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from AC Milan’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | TorinoA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | VeneziaH | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | JuventusA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-12 | LazioA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-16 | BenficaH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | LecceH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | SassuoloA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-15 | Red Bull SalzburgA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | AtalantaH | 3–2W |
NEC Nijmegen
xG difference per match
+0.55
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.94; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 36.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.94
- xG against
- 1.39
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Dinamo Zagreb
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Dinamo Zagreb’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | FC ThunA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-07-28 | FC ThunH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-08-04 | Kauno ŽalgirisH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-18 | VikingH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-26 | VikingA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-16 | Hapoel Beer ShevaA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | AnderlechtH | 1–0W | Yes |
Jagiellonia
Scoring in a row
6
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak59
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 6 recorded matches · 2026-08-06 → 2026-10-15 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 49.1
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 6 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Jagiellonia’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | RangersH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | RangersA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | SaburtaloH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | SaburtaloA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-16 | Olympiakos PiraeusA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Ararat-ArmeniaH | 3–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Marseille
xG difference per match
+0.50
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG28
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.83; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 33.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.83
- xG against
- 1.33
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Scoring in a row
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak70
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Omonia Nicosia
xG difference per match
+0.50
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG28
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.43; xG against 0.93. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 33.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.43
- xG against
- 0.93
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Real Sociedad
Scoring in a row
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak70
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | EspanyolH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | Celta VigoH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Atletico MadridH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-17 | BournemouthH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
AZ Alkmaar
Points above expected
+2.4
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 11/11 current-league matches · 2026-08-08 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 23; xPts 20.6. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 21.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 59.1
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
11/11 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 23.0
- xPts
- 20.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Union St. Gilloise
xG difference per match
+0.44
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG26
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.4; xG against 0.96. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 29.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.40
- xG against
- 0.96
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Rennes
Points above expected
+2.3
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast53
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 17; xPts 14.7. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 24.6
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 14.7
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 3; reconstructed: 6.
Full club analysis →
Lech Poznan
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-07-21 → 2026-10-15 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 20.5
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 57.6
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lech Poznan’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | AarhusA | 4–1W | No |
| 2026-07-29 | AarhusH | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-06 | KI KlaksvikH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | KI KlaksvikA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | FC ThunH | 7–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | FC ThunA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-17 | Crystal PalaceA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-15 | Bayer LeverkusenH | 0–4L | No |
Benfica
Points above expected
+2.2
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-09 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Points 25; xPts 22.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 9. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 22.0
- Recency
- 87.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 25.0
- xPts
- 22.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 9.
Full club analysis →
Lyon
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Lyon’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | ToulouseA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-26 | FenerbahceH | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | LE HavreH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-04 | AuxerreH | 3–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | Paris FCA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-16 | AnderlechtA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | RennesH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-09 | LensA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-15 | Crystal PalaceH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-18 | NiceH | 2–1W |
Real Sociedad
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-29 | EspanyolH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-03 | Celta VigoH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-13 | Atletico MadridH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | BournemouthH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W |
Bournemouth
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester CityA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | EvertonH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NewcastleA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Real SociedadA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | LiverpoolH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | ChelseaA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Sturm GrazH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | SunderlandH | 2–0W | No |
Rennes
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 17.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 64.8
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Rennes’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-30 | Le MansH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | AngersA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-11 | MarseilleH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-16 | Sturm GrazA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-19 | LyonA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-11 | AuxerreH | 4–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | OFIH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-18 | Paris FCA | 3–4L |
Real Sociedad
Goals conceded per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-26 → 2026-10-18 UTC. UEFA Europa League 2026-2027: 1.43 goals per team/match, 36 matches · 2026-09-16 → 2026-10-15 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 72.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Real Sociedad’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Real MadridA | 1–4L |
| 2026-08-29 | EspanyolH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-03 | Celta VigoH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-07 | ElcheA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-13 | Atletico MadridH | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | BournemouthH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | ValenciaA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-11 | Deportivo La CorunaH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-15 | Union St. GilloiseA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-18 | MalagaA | 5–2W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →