1.FC Köln vs SV Elversberg

Bundesliga Gameweek 11 Sat, Nov 28 · 14:30 Cologne Stadium, Köln

1.FC Köln 12th · 7 pts · 6 played LDLWL

VS— Compare

SV Elversberg 6th · 10 pts · 6 played WLDLW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel180 kmRest days7.8 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

1.FC Köln—%

Draw—%

SV Elversberg—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Köln)

Forecast from 13 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

1.FC Köln

SV Elversberg

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

34 Current StrengthIn forecast 42

36 AttackIn forecast 44

36 DefenceIn forecast 37

26 Form indexContext 60

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

1.FC Köln

Attack—

Defense risk—

SV Elversberg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

1.FC Köln

SV Elversberg

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

1.83 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.83

1.67 xGVia Att/Def 1.45

1.73 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.17

-0.34 Goals minus xGContext +0.55

83% Scored inContext 67%

0% Clean sheetsContext 17%

16.33 ShotsContext 11.17

5.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.67

33% On target shareContext 42%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 8.17

71% Box shareContext 72%

8% ConversionContext 18%

1.00 OffsidesContext 3.20

15.67 Shots allowedContext 22.00

6.33 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.33

3.83 BlocksContext 8.50

4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.17

71% Save rateContext 59%

48% PossessionIn forecast 44%

417 PassesContext 382

344 Accurate passesContext 303

83% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.76 Team ratingContext 6.82

11.17 FoulsContext 11.67

11.33 Fouls sufferedContext 13.17

1.83 Yellow cardsContext 2.17

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 6 and 6 games

1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.40

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.61 xGVia Att/Def 1.46

1.70 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.63

-0.31 Goals minus xGContext +0.94

90% Scored inContext 80%

0% Clean sheetsContext 20%

15.30 ShotsContext 11.20

5.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.20

35% On target shareContext 38%

11.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.56

73% Box shareContext 66%

9% ConversionContext 21%

1.17 OffsidesContext 2.86

14.50 Shots allowedContext 16.90

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60

3.80 BlocksContext 6.33

3.56 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.89

60% Save rateContext 59%

47% PossessionIn forecast 48%

414 PassesContext 387

343 Accurate passesContext 309

83% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.69 Team ratingContext 6.83

9.80 FoulsContext 11.50

9.30 Fouls sufferedContext 12.40

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

1.FC Köln LDLWL

Rest7.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km912 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 26 · 4 pts vs 7.0 for an average club · -2.2 vs expected

L16 OctA · Eintracht Frankfurt0–11.0 xPts
W11 OctH · Borussia Mönchengladbach2–11.7 xPts
L19 SepA · Hamburger SV1–21.2 xPts
D12 SepH · Werder Bremen1–11.6 xPts
L4 SepA · VfB Stuttgart1–40.7 xPts

SV Elversberg WLDLW

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel180 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 60 · 7 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected

W17 OctH · FC Augsburg4–31.4 xPts
L10 OctA · Union Berlin0–11.3 xPts
D20 SepA · FC Schalke 040–01.1 xPts
L13 SepH · Bayern München1–20.5 xPts
W5 SepA · Borussia Mönchengladbach4–31.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.8Bundesliga 2026-2027, 20 Nov	7Bundesliga 2026-2027, 21 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	180 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	912 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7	7

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

1.FC Köln Last XI · not confirmed

5-3-2 · vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 0–1, 16 Oct

1M. Schwäbe(G)

3B. Sosa 24L. Lochoshvili 22J. Simpson-Pusey 2Joel Schmied 28S. Sebulonsen

37L. Maina 5T. Krauß 8Í. Jóhannesson

10S. El Mala 30M. Bülter

SV Elversberg Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs FC Augsburg (H) 4–3, 17 Oct

20N. Kristof(G)

21L. Günther 31M. Rohr 19L. Pinckert 30J. Gyamerah

8Ł. Poręba 43F. Keidel

7M. Krattenmacher 10N. Darvich 25L. Petkov

42David Mokwa

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

1.FC Köln Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

SV Elversberg Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

1.FC Köln · Home 2.33points per game · 3 home games

W-D-L: 2-1-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.33

SV Elversberg · Away 1.33points per game · 3 away games

W-D-L: 1-1-1
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 1.33

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach	W 2–1 H	W 4–3 A
Points	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg
Scored per game	1.33	2.00
Conceded per game	1.83	1.83
Match goals	3.17	3.83
Over 1.5	83%	67%
Over 2.5	67%	67%
Over 3.5	33%	50%
Both teams scored	83%	67%
Clean sheets	0%	17%
Failed to score	17%	33%
Games	6	6

	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg
Scored per game	1.30	2.00
Conceded per game	2.30	1.83
Match goals	3.60	3.83
Over 1.5	90%	67%
Over 2.5	80%	67%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	90%	67%
Clean sheets	0%	17%
Failed to score	10%	33%
Games	10	6

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	3.67
Corners conceded	6.33	8.00
Match total	12.33	11.67	10.72
Over 8.5	83% 5/6	67% 4/6
Over 9.5	83% 5/6	67% 4/6
Over 10.5	67% 4/6	50% 3/6
Cards
Cards	1.83	2.17
Opponent cards	1.67	1.83
Match total	3.50	4.00	3.51
Over 3.5	67% 4/6	50% 3/6
Over 4.5	0% 0/6	33% 2/6

	1.FC Köln	SV Elversberg	League
Corners
Corners won	5.78	4.00
Corners conceded	5.44	6.20
Match total	11.22	10.20	10.72
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	44% 4/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.80	1.90
Opponent cards	1.70	2.30
Match total	3.50	4.20	3.51
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	10% 1/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.