Eredivisie Gameweek 11 Sat, Oct 31 · 20:00 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Cambuur 14th · 9 pts · 9 played
VS— Compare
GO Ahead Eagles 9th · 11 pts · 9 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

Cambuur are slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Cambuur. Cambuur have 7.1 days of rest, GO Ahead Eagles 8.1 and have to travel 108 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel108 kmRest days7.1 · 8.1Matches / 14d2 · 2
Cambuur46%
Draw23%
GO Ahead Eagles31%
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.56
Cambuur43%
Draw27%
GO Ahead Eagles30%
Expected goals 1.48 – 1.21
Cambuur46%
Draw23%
GO Ahead Eagles31%
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.56
Cambuur38%
Draw23%
GO Ahead Eagles39%
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.74
Cambuur46%
Draw23%
GO Ahead Eagles30%
Expected goals 1.87 – 1.48
Over 2.5 68% Both score 68% Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 6 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Leeuwarden)
7°CClear
  • Precipitation 28%
  • Wind 6 km/h
  • Humidity 92%
Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

CambuurGO Ahead Eagles
23 L90 StrengthIn forecast 24
23 Current StrengthIn forecast 24
22 AttackIn forecast 29
23 DefenceIn forecast 17
51 Form indexContext 14
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cambuur

Attack+17%
Defense risk−3%

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack+6%
Defense risk−13%

Both teams face a more favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.

Playing style

CambuurGO Ahead Eagles
1.44 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.22
2.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.33
1.19 xGVia Att/Def 1.78
2.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.81
+0.25 Goals minus xGContext +0.44
89% Scored inContext 100%
22% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.89 ShotsContext 15.78
4.44 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.22
37% On target shareContext 39%
8.33 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
71% Box shareContext 66%
12% ConversionContext 14%
2.00 OffsidesContext 1.33
14.78 Shots allowedContext 16.89
5.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.22
4.00 BlocksContext 5.50
3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
63% Save rateContext 57%
46% PossessionIn forecast 56%
369 PassesContext 486
295 Accurate passesContext 402
80% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.79 Team ratingContext 6.74
12.11 FoulsContext 7.11
14.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.78
1.67 Yellow cardsContext 0.78
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games
1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.10
2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.30
1.19 xGVia Att/Def 1.54
2.03 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.25
+0.21 Goals minus xGContext +0.56
90% Scored inContext 100%
20% Clean sheetsContext 0%
14.10 ShotsContext 14.50
4.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.70
35% On target shareContext 39%
9.30 Shots in the boxContext 10.44
69% Box shareContext 66%
10% ConversionContext 15%
2.11 OffsidesContext 1.33
13.80 Shots allowedContext 18.80
5.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.90
3.70 BlocksContext 6.44
3.67 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00
64% Save rateContext 62%
49% PossessionIn forecast 55%
395 PassesContext 467
317 Accurate passesContext 385
80% Pass accuracyContext 82%
6.84 Team ratingContext 6.75
12.40 FoulsContext 7.20
14.70 Fouls sufferedContext 9.90
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 0.90
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cambuur
Rest7.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km379 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 51 · 9 pts vs 8.9 for an average club · +3.3 vs expected
  • D18 OctH · AZ Alkmaar2–20.9 xPts
  • W11 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–01.3 xPts
  • D19 SepA · ADO Den Haag1–11.4 xPts
  • W12 SepH · NEC Nijmegen3–01.1 xPts
  • D6 SepA · Telstar2–21.0 xPts
GO Ahead Eagles
Rest8.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel108 km58 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 14 · 4 pts vs 9.0 for an average club · -3.2 vs expected
  • L18 OctA · PEC Zwolle1–41.5 xPts
  • D10 OctH · Sparta Rotterdam3–31.9 xPts
  • D20 SepA · NEC Nijmegen1–11.1 xPts
  • D12 SepH · Groningen1–11.6 xPts
  • D8 SepA · Utrecht3–31.2 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Cambuur GO Ahead Eagles
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match7.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 24 Oct8.1Eredivisie 2026-2027, 23 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km108 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways379 km58 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 2 / 30 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one7.87

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cambuur Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs AZ Alkmaar (H) 2–2, 18 Oct
1T. Jansen(G)
28M. Costarelli 14B. van Duijl 4I. Baouf 2D. Bouah
8N. Souren 33M. Maertens
11I. Hamache 10Rafik El Arguioui 30J. Çeka
13N. Binder
GO Ahead Eagles Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs PEC Zwolle (A) 1–4, 18 Oct
1C. Haug(G)
5D. James 4J. Kramer 25G. van Zwam 2A. Sampsted
8H. Linthorst 21M. Meulensteen
17M. Suray 10S. Tengstedt 16V. Edvardsen
9S. Sigurðarson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Cambuur No reported absences
GO Ahead Eagles No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
  • Cambuur+0.0 pp
  • Draw+0.0 pp
  • GO Ahead Eagles+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Cambuur · Home 0.80points per game · 5 home games
W-D-L
1-1-3
Scored
1.60
Conceded
3.00
GO Ahead Eagles · Away 0.60points per game · 5 away games
W-D-L
0-3-2
Scored
1.80
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 5 this season

OpponentCambuurGO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar D 2–2 H L 2–5 A
PEC Zwolle W 1–0 A L 1–4 A
ADO Den Haag D 1–1 A W 3–1 H
NEC Nijmegen W 3–0 H D 1–1 A
Feyenoord L 2–5 H D 2–2 A
Points8 of 15 · 1.60 per game5 of 15 · 1.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

CambuurGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 1.442.22
Conceded per game 2.332.33
Match goals 3.784.56 3.49
Over 1.5 89%100%
Over 2.5 78%78% 68%
Over 3.5 67%78%
Both teams scored 67%100% 68%
Clean sheets 22%0%
Failed to score 11%0%
Games99
CambuurGO Ahead EaglesForecast
Scored per game 1.442.10
Conceded per game 2.332.30
Match goals 3.784.40 3.49
Over 1.5 89%100%
Over 2.5 78%80% 68%
Over 3.5 67%70%
Both teams scored 67%100% 68%
Clean sheets 22%0%
Failed to score 11%0%
Games910

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

CambuurGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won3.786.33
Corners conceded5.784.78
Match total9.5611.1110.39
Over 8.578% 7/978% 7/9
Over 9.544% 4/978% 7/9
Over 10.533% 3/967% 6/9
Cards
Cards1.780.78
Opponent cards1.780.89
Match total3.561.672.77
Over 3.556% 5/90% 0/9
Over 4.533% 3/90% 0/9
CambuurGO Ahead EaglesLeague
Corners
Corners won4.806.10
Corners conceded5.305.60
Match total10.1011.7010.39
Over 8.580% 8/1080% 8/10
Over 9.550% 5/1080% 8/10
Over 10.540% 4/1070% 7/10
Cards
Cards2.000.90
Opponent cards2.400.90
Match total4.401.802.77
Over 3.560% 6/100% 0/10
Over 4.540% 4/100% 0/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Cambuur9 games · scored 13 · conceded 21
1 2 0-15
2 6 16-30
2 4 31-45
3 1 46-60
1 3 61-75
4 5 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles9 games · scored 20 · conceded 21
1 3 0-15
4 1 16-30
1 4 31-45
4 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90
Cambuur10 games · scored 14 · conceded 22
1 2 0-15
2 6 16-30
2 4 31-45
3 1 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 6 76-90
GO Ahead Eagles10 games · scored 21 · conceded 23
1 4 0-15
4 2 16-30
1 4 31-45
5 3 46-60
6 4 61-75
4 6 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Beta

Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.

Next fixtures Eredivisie

View all fixtures →
Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard Oct 3115:30 PSV Eindhoven Willem II Oct 3117:45 Heerenveen NEC Nijmegen Oct 3117:45 Ajax AZ Alkmaar Oct 3120:00 Cambuur GO Ahead Eagles Oct 3120:00 PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag Nov 111:15 Excelsior Twente Nov 113:30 Telstar Utrecht Nov 113:30 Groningen Sparta Rotterdam Nov 115:45