Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Nov 1 · 12:30 Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge

Cercle Brugge 17th · 3 pts · 8 played LLDLL

VS— Compare

Antwerp 13th · 7 pts · 8 played LLLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Cercle Brugge are slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Cercle Brugge. Cercle Brugge have 6.8 days of rest, Antwerp 7.9 and have to travel 86 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel86 kmRest days6.8 · 7.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

Cercle Brugge47%

Draw24%

Antwerp28%

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.32

Cercle Brugge40%

Draw27%

Antwerp33%

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.26

Cercle Brugge47%

Draw24%

Antwerp28%

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.32

Cercle Brugge39%

Draw25%

Antwerp35%

Expected goals 1.57 – 1.48

Cercle Brugge48%

Draw24%

Antwerp28%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.35

Over 2.5 60% Both score 61% Likeliest score 1–1

EloLambda forecast, updated 6 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Brugge)

12°CDrizzle

Precipitation 22%
Wind 15 km/h
Humidity 70%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Antwerp 5 Losses in a row Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Losses in a row

Team strength

Cercle Brugge

Antwerp

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 26

21 Current StrengthIn forecast 26

24 AttackIn forecast 24

28 DefenceIn forecast 19

6 Form indexContext 9

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Cercle Brugge

Attack—

Defense risk—

Antwerp

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Cercle Brugge

Antwerp

1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.50

1.74 xGVia Att/Def 1.35

1.68 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.61

-0.61 Goals minus xGContext +0.15

63% Scored inContext 75%

0% Clean sheetsContext 13%

14.13 ShotsContext 14.63

4.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

28% On target shareContext 34%

10.71 Shots in the boxContext 9.50

70% Box shareContext 64%

8% ConversionContext 10%

1.50 OffsidesContext 1.33

12.63 Shots allowedContext 16.25

4.38 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.63

3.88 BlocksContext 4.38

2.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.88

54% Save rateContext 59%

45% PossessionIn forecast 48%

370 PassesContext 393

291 Accurate passesContext 316

79% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.61 Team ratingContext 6.66

12.38 FoulsContext 14.00

10.50 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50

1.25 Yellow cardsContext 1.88

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.20 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40

2.30 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

1.63 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

1.62 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.59

-0.43 Goals minus xGContext +0.13

70% Scored inContext 70%

0% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.80 ShotsContext 14.50

4.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.80

30% On target shareContext 33%

10.11 Shots in the boxContext 9.30

69% Box shareContext 63%

9% ConversionContext 10%

1.90 OffsidesContext 1.63

12.80 Shots allowedContext 17.10

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.80

3.90 BlocksContext 5.10

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.50

52% Save rateContext 66%

46% PossessionIn forecast 47%

370 PassesContext 387

292 Accurate passesContext 311

79% Pass accuracyContext 81%

6.64 Team ratingContext 6.79

12.30 FoulsContext 13.20

9.90 Fouls sufferedContext 9.60

1.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Cercle Brugge LLDLL

Rest6.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km176 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 6 · 1 pts vs 8.5 for an average club · -5.5 vs expected

L10 OctH · Anderlecht1–21.2 xPts
L19 SepA · Charleroi2–30.8 xPts
D12 SepA · OH Leuven1–11.5 xPts
L6 SepH · Gent0–31.3 xPts
L29 AugH · Lommel United0–11.6 xPts

Antwerp LLLLL

Rest7.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel86 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 9 · 0 pts vs 6.6 for an average club · -4.8 vs expected

L11 OctA · KVC Westerlo1–51.0 xPts
L20 SepH · Union St. Gilloise0–20.7 xPts
L13 SepA · Club Brugge KV1–30.5 xPts
L5 SepA · Standard Liege0–11.1 xPts
L30 AugH · St. Truiden1–41.6 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	6.8Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 25 Oct	7.9Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 24 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	86 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	176 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	6.3	6.3

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Cercle Brugge Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Anderlecht (H) 1–2, 10 Oct

1G. Coucke(G)

12Valy Konaté 24Geoffrey Kondo 5Emmanuel Kakou 15G. Magnée

28H. Van der Bruggen 18L. Le Roux

30B. Akinsola 20A. Manneh 11C. Herrmann

9S. Ngoura

Antwerp Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs KVC Westerlo (A) 1–5, 11 Oct

41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)

5D. Foulon 3Álvaro Cortés 20R. Van Helden 17S. Renders

48A. Vermeeren 8M. Benítez

7I. Salah 24T. Somers 14Xander Dierickx

9M. Frey

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Cercle Brugge No reported absences

Antwerp No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Cercle Brugge+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Antwerp+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Cercle Brugge · Home 0.25points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.25

Antwerp · Away 0.75points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-3
Scored: 1.25
Conceded: 2.25

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 3 this season

Opponent	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp
Club Brugge KV	L 0–1 A	L 1–3 A
St. Truiden	D 3–3 H	L 1–4 H
Standard Liege	D 2–2 A	L 0–1 A
Points	2 of 9 · 0.67 per game	0 of 9 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 4 of 4 meetings

0 Cercle Brugge wins1 draws3 Antwerp wins

Goals per game0.50 – 2.25 Over 2.550% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%

31 Jan 2026Cercle Brugge0–4Antwerp
4 Oct 2025Antwerp1–1Cercle Brugge
9 Dec 2023Cercle Brugge1–3Antwerp
30 Jul 2023Antwerp1–0Cercle Brugge

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp	Forecast
Scored per game	1.13	1.50
Conceded per game	2.00	2.50
Match goals	3.13	4.00	3.08
Over 1.5	75%	88%
Over 2.5	63%	75%	60%
Over 3.5	38%	50%
Both teams scored	63%	63%	61%
Clean sheets	0%	13%
Failed to score	38%	25%
Games	8	8

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp	Forecast
Scored per game	1.30	1.30
Conceded per game	2.10	2.20
Match goals	3.40	3.50	3.08
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	60%	60%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	60%	61%
Clean sheets	0%	10%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp	League
Corners
Corners won	7.29	4.63
Corners conceded	4.57	5.50
Match total	11.86	10.13	10.01
Over 8.5	71% 5/7	50% 4/8
Over 9.5	71% 5/7	38% 3/8
Over 10.5	71% 5/7	38% 3/8
Cards
Cards	1.25	2.13
Opponent cards	1.63	2.25
Match total	2.88	4.38	3.36
Over 3.5	25% 2/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	25% 2/8	50% 4/8

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp	League
Corners
Corners won	6.67	4.60
Corners conceded	5.00	6.10
Match total	11.67	10.70	10.01
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	78% 7/9	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.20	2.20
Opponent cards	1.50	2.00
Match total	2.70	4.20	3.36
Over 3.5	20% 2/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.