Trabzonspor vs Gazişehir Gaziantep

Süper Lig Gameweek 10 Sun, Nov 1 · 13:00 Papara Park, Trabzon

Trabzonspor 4th · 16 pts · 8 played WLWWW

VS— Compare

Gazişehir Gaziantep 14th · 8 pts · 8 played WDLLL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Trabzonspor are clear favourites.

Trabzonspor are the stronger side on L90 Strength (45 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Trabzonspor. Trabzonspor have 5.9 days of rest, Gazişehir Gaziantep 8 and have to travel 483 km. Conditions look neutral.

Away travel483 kmRest days5.9 · 8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Trabzonspor69%

Draw18%

Gazişehir Gaziantep13%

Expected goals 2.47 – 0.99

Trabzonspor65%

Draw21%

Gazişehir Gaziantep14%

Expected goals 2.07 – 0.87

Trabzonspor69%

Draw18%

Gazişehir Gaziantep13%

Expected goals 2.47 – 0.99

Trabzonspor62%

Draw21%

Gazişehir Gaziantep18%

Expected goals 2.20 – 1.11

Trabzonspor68%

Draw18%

Gazişehir Gaziantep13%

Expected goals 2.40 – 0.97

Over 2.5 67% Both score 58% Likeliest score 2–0

EloLambda forecast, updated 6 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Trabzon)

20°CDrizzle

Precipitation 37%
Wind 6 km/h
Humidity 86%

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Trend Trabzonspor 1.8 Goals scored per match Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours

Defence

Streaks

Team strength

Trabzonspor

Gazişehir Gaziantep

45 L90 StrengthIn forecast 16

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

54 AttackIn forecast 15

48 DefenceIn forecast 18

78 Form indexContext 20

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Trabzonspor

Attack+20%

Defense risk−17%

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack−10%

Defense risk+23%

Changes versus each team's league-average baseline. Higher attack and lower defense risk are favorable.

Playing style

Trabzonspor

Gazişehir Gaziantep

2.25 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

0.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.58 xGVia Att/Def 1.10

1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.35

+0.67 Goals minus xGContext -0.10

88% Scored inContext 63%

50% Clean sheetsContext 25%

13.25 ShotsContext 12.86

6.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.57

50% On target shareContext 28%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.57

70% Box shareContext 59%

17% ConversionContext 9%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.71

13.50 Shots allowedContext 13.29

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

2.86 BlocksContext 3.57

4.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.29

88% Save rateContext 57%

53% PossessionIn forecast 52%

430 PassesContext 431

365 Accurate passesContext 358

85% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.12 Team ratingContext 6.87

10.38 FoulsContext 11.14

16.13 Fouls sufferedContext 17.00

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.25

0.13 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 8 and 8 games

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.58 xGVia Att/Def 0.99

1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.55

+0.22 Goals minus xGContext +0.01

70% Scored inContext 70%

40% Clean sheetsContext 20%

13.25 ShotsContext 12.56

6.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.56

50% On target shareContext 28%

10.00 Shots in the boxContext 7.67

70% Box shareContext 61%

17% ConversionContext 9%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.44

13.50 Shots allowedContext 13.44

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.22

3.22 BlocksContext 3.33

4.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.56

88% Save rateContext 61%

52% PossessionIn forecast 53%

430 PassesContext 425

365 Accurate passesContext 352

85% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.12 Team ratingContext 6.84

10.00 FoulsContext 11.00

16.30 Fouls sufferedContext 17.33

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.30 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Trabzonspor WLWWW

Rest5.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km133 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 78 · 12 pts vs 8.4 for an average club · +4.9 vs expected

W19 OctH · Besiktas2–01.3 xPts
W10 OctA · Samsunspor3–01.6 xPts
W19 SepH · Galatasaray4–00.9 xPts
L12 SepA · Konyaspor0–11.5 xPts
W6 SepH · Genclerbirligi5–01.9 xPts

Gazişehir Gaziantep WDLLL

Rest8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel483 km1,700 km in 14d

Schedule load11%Low

Form 20 · 4 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected

L18 OctA · Istanbul Basaksehir1–20.8 xPts
L11 OctH · Çorum FK0–31.4 xPts
L19 SepA · Kocaelispor0–21.1 xPts
D14 SepH · Fenerbahce0–00.8 xPts
W7 SepA · Goztepe4–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 11
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 26 Oct	8Süper Lig 2026-2027, 24 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	483 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	133 km	1,700 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 3	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7.1	5.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Trabzonspor Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Besiktas (H) 2–0, 19 Oct

24A. Onana(G)

55Sidny Lopes Cabral 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 7E. Muçi 10Mohamed Salah

9F. Gluda Djú

Gazişehir Gaziantep Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Istanbul Basaksehir (A) 1–2, 18 Oct

25K. Tobiasz(G)

21L. Sylla 14L. Abena 4A. Kızıldağ 2Luis Pérez

3D. Camara 61O. Özçiçek 8V. Gidado 18D. Sorescu

10K. Kozłowski 9T. Stewart

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Trabzonspor No reported absences

Gazişehir Gaziantep No reported absences

Total impact vs full squads

Trabzonspor+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.0 pp

From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.

Home / Away this season

Trabzonspor · Home 3.00points per game · 4 home games

W-D-L: 4-0-0
Scored: 3.25
Conceded: 0.25

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Away 1.50points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 2-0-2
Scored: 1.50
Conceded: 1.50

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

Opponent	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep
Istanbul Basaksehir	W 2–1 H	L 1–2 A
Points	3 of 3 · 3.00 per game	0 of 3 · 0.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

4 Trabzonspor wins2 draws0 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins

Goals per game2.17 – 1.17 Over 2.567% Both scored83% Clean sheets17% · 17%

22 Feb 2026Gazişehir Gaziantep1–2Trabzonspor
20 Sep 2025Trabzonspor1–1Gazişehir Gaziantep
23 Feb 2025Trabzonspor3–2Gazişehir Gaziantep
23 Sep 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep0–0Trabzonspor
28 Apr 2024Trabzonspor4–2Gazişehir Gaziantep
10 Dec 2023Gazişehir Gaziantep1–3Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Forecast
Scored per game	2.25	1.00
Conceded per game	0.63	1.50
Match goals	2.88	2.50	3.46
Over 1.5	88%	75%
Over 2.5	63%	50%	67%
Over 3.5	25%	13%
Both teams scored	38%	50%	58%
Clean sheets	50%	25%
Failed to score	13%	38%
Games	8	8

	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Forecast
Scored per game	1.80	1.00
Conceded per game	1.00	1.60
Match goals	2.80	2.60	3.46
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%	67%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	30%	60%	58%
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	League
Corners
Corners won	5.13	3.60
Corners conceded	3.25	4.40
Match total	8.38	8.00	9.12
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	60% 3/5
Over 9.5	13% 1/8	40% 2/5
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	40% 2/5
Cards
Cards	2.13	2.38
Opponent cards	2.88	2.50
Match total	5.01	4.88	4.04
Over 3.5	75% 6/8	63% 5/8
Over 4.5	63% 5/8	50% 4/8

	Trabzonspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	League
Corners
Corners won	5.20	4.29
Corners conceded	4.00	4.71
Match total	9.20	9.00	9.12
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	71% 5/7
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	43% 3/7
Over 10.5	30% 3/10	43% 3/7
Cards
Cards	2.30	2.30
Opponent cards	2.90	2.40
Match total	5.20	4.70	4.04
Over 3.5	80% 8/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.