UEFA Champions League Matchday 5 Wed, Nov 25 · 17:45 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazir
Sabah FA 22nd · 3 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Barcelona 3rd · 6 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel3,963 kmRest days20.9 · 3.1Matches / 14d0 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Sabah FA—%
Draw—%
Barcelona—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Masazir)

Forecast from 10 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Sabah FA and Barcelona. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Sabah FABarcelona
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 93
30 AttackIn forecast 97
27 DefenceIn forecast 92
— Form indexContext 96
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

Barcelona

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sabah FABarcelona
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 4.50
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
50% Scored inContext 100%
50% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.50 ShotsContext 22.50
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 10.00
26% On target shareContext 44%
7.50 Shots in the boxContext 14.50
62% Box shareContext 63%
9% ConversionContext 20%
— OffsidesContext 4.00
19.50 Shots allowedContext 4.50
9.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.50
5.50 BlocksContext 1.00
5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 1.50
61% Save rateContext 60%
44% PossessionIn forecast 72%
398 PassesContext 691
322 Accurate passesContext 640
81% Pass accuracyContext 93%
6.73 Team ratingContext 7.33
14.00 FoulsContext 10.00
13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 0.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 4.30
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
— xGVia Att/Def 3.55
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.95
— Goals minus xGContext +0.75
90% Scored inContext 100%
50% Clean sheetsContext 30%
17.14 ShotsContext 22.40
7.17 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.90
36% On target shareContext 40%
12.83 Shots in the boxContext 15.00
64% Box shareContext 67%
13% ConversionContext 19%
2.40 OffsidesContext 3.30
15.00 Shots allowedContext 6.30
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.44
4.67 BlocksContext 1.43
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.25
63% Save rateContext 64%
48% PossessionIn forecast 72%
415 PassesContext 712
343 Accurate passesContext 651
83% Pass accuracyContext 91%
6.98 Team ratingContext 7.38
13.00 FoulsContext 9.50
12.33 Fouls sufferedContext 10.20
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sabah FA
Rest20.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 56 · 3 pts vs 2.3 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected
  • W13 OctH · Slavia Praha2–01.3 xPts
  • L10 SepA · Manchester United0–40.3 xPts
Barcelona
Rest3.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel3,963 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load28%Moderate
Form 96 · 15 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +3.0 vs expected
  • W17 OctA · Real Betis5–22.1 xPts
  • W13 OctA · Galatasaray4–12.1 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Getafe3–02.7 xPts
  • W19 SepA · Sevilla3–12.3 xPts
  • W16 SepH · Racing Santander7–22.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sabah FA Barcelona
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 28
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match20.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 4 Nov3.1La Liga 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km3,963 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 11 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one133.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sabah FA Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Slavia Praha (H) 2–0, 13 Oct
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 4A. McCarthy 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica 7U. Rahmonaliyev
21V. Simić 37Du Queiroz 11K. Parris
20J. Mickels
Barcelona Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Real Betis (A) 5–2, 17 Oct
1Joan García(G)
12Xavi Espart 18Gerard Martín 5Pau Cubarsí 23J. Koundé
8Pedri 16Rodri
14K. Adeyemi 7Fermín López 10Lamine Yamal
9G. de Jesus

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sabah FA Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Barcelona Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sabah FA · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.00
Barcelona · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
4.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Sabah FABarcelonaForecast
Scored per game 1.004.50
Conceded per game 2.001.00
Match goals 3.005.50
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 50%100%
Over 3.5 50%100%
Both teams scored 0%100%
Clean sheets 50%0%
Failed to score 50%0%
Games22
Sabah FABarcelonaForecast
Scored per game 2.004.30
Conceded per game 1.101.10
Match goals 3.105.40
Over 1.5 90%100%
Over 2.5 60%90%
Over 3.5 30%80%
Both teams scored 40%70%
Clean sheets 50%30%
Failed to score 10%0%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Sabah FABarcelonaLeague
Corners
Corners won3.005.00
Corners conceded6.501.00
Match total9.506.009.71
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 10.50% 0/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards2.000.50
Opponent cards1.501.50
Match total3.502.003.80
Over 3.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 4.550% 1/20% 0/2
Sabah FABarcelonaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.866.33
Corners conceded4.572.44
Match total9.438.779.71
Over 8.571% 5/733% 3/9
Over 9.557% 4/733% 3/9
Over 10.543% 3/733% 3/9
Cards
Cards1.501.30
Opponent cards2.501.80
Match total4.003.103.80
Over 3.550% 5/1040% 4/10
Over 4.530% 3/1030% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Sabah FA2 games · scored 2 · conceded 4
0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Barcelona2 games · scored 9 · conceded 2
1 0-15
1 1 16-30
1 31-45
3 46-60
1 61-75
2 1 76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 20 · conceded 11
1 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
3 4 31-45
3 46-60
5 3 61-75
7 2 76-90
Barcelona10 games · scored 43 · conceded 11
6 1 0-15
8 4 16-30
5 31-45
8 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
10 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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