Viking
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It looks too close to call.
Sabah FA are the stronger side on L90 Strength (26 vs 16). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Viking. Viking have 14 days of rest, Sabah FA 15.1 and have to travel 3,691 km.
Away travel3,691 kmRest days14 · 15.1Matches / 14d0 · 0
Viking36%
Draw26%
Sabah FA38%
Viking34%
Draw27%
Sabah FA38%
Viking36%
Draw26%
Sabah FA38%
Viking29%
Draw25%
Sabah FA45%
Viking37%
Draw25%
Sabah FA37%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 60%
Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 5 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Stavanger)
Forecast from 20 Oct
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Viking and Sabah FA. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Insight
Sabah FA
5
Clean sheets
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Sabah FA
1.8
Goals conceded away per match
Last 5 recorded away matches
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
-
Trend
Sabah FA
2.0
Goals scored per match
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
VikingSabah FA
16
L90 StrengthIn forecast
26
16
Current StrengthIn forecast
26
18
AttackIn forecast
30
23
DefenceIn forecast
27
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisSabah FA
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
VikingSabah FA
2.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
3.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
50%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
8.00
ShotsContext
11.50
3.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
44%
On target shareContext
26%
6.00
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
71%
Box shareContext
62%
25%
ConversionContext
9%
—
OffsidesContext
—
20.00
Shots allowedContext
19.50
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
9.00
8.00
BlocksContext
5.50
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.50
63%
Save rateContext
61%
37%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
299
PassesContext
398
211
Accurate passesContext
322
71%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.44
Team ratingContext
6.73
12.00
FoulsContext
14.00
10.50
Fouls sufferedContext
13.00
2.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.83
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
2.00
2.17
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.10
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
100%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
50%
10.67
ShotsContext
17.14
4.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
7.17
41%
On target shareContext
36%
7.33
Shots in the boxContext
12.83
70%
Box shareContext
64%
17%
ConversionContext
13%
2.33
OffsidesContext
2.40
16.50
Shots allowedContext
15.00
4.17
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.00
5.17
BlocksContext
4.67
3.25
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.00
68%
Save rateContext
63%
44%
PossessionIn forecast
48%
359
PassesContext
415
269
Accurate passesContext
343
75%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.67
Team ratingContext
6.98
13.33
FoulsContext
13.00
10.83
Fouls sufferedContext
12.33
2.17
Yellow cardsContext
1.40
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Viking
LD
Rest14 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 47 · 1 pts vs 1.4 for an average club · +0.5 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Viking |
Sabah FA |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 14UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 21 Oct | 15.1UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 20 Oct |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 3,691 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 0 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 21 | 20.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Viking
Last XI · not confirmed
1A. Østbø(G)
28K. Haugen
25H. Falchener
6G. Stensness
5H. Heggheim
7K. Askildsen
8J. Bell
16H. Bjørdal
10Z. Tripić
22E. Botheim
20P. Christiansen
Sabah FA
Last XI · not confirmed
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz
4A. McCarthy
3S. Solvet
80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica
7U. Rahmonaliyev
21V. Simić
37Du Queiroz
11K. Parris
20J. Mickels
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Viking
No reported absences
Sabah FA
No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
- Viking+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Sabah FA+0.0 pp
From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.
Home / Away this season
Viking · Home
1.00points per game · 1 home games
- W-D-L
- 0-1-0
- Scored
- 3.00
- Conceded
- 3.00
Sabah FA · Away
0.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-0-1
- Scored
- 0.00
- Conceded
- 4.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Viking | Sabah FA | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 3.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 5.00 | 3.00 | 2.92 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 50% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 50% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Viking | Sabah FA | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.25 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.25 | 1.10 | |
| Match goals | 4.50 | 3.10 | 2.92 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | |
| Games | 4 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Viking | Sabah FA | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.50 | 3.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 9.50 | 6.50 | |
| Match total | 14.00 | 9.50 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 2/2 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 1/2 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 1.50 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 1/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Viking | Sabah FA | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.67 | 4.86 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.17 | 4.57 | |
| Match total | 10.84 | 9.43 | 9.71 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 4/6 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 3/6 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 50% 3/6 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.17 | 1.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.17 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 4.34 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 3/6 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 3/6 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Viking2 games · scored 4 · conceded 6
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Sabah FA2 games · scored 2 · conceded 4
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Viking6 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
2
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 20 · conceded 11
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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