Slavia Praha vs Villarreal

UEFA Champions League Matchday 5 Wed, Nov 25 · 17:45 Fortuna Arena, Praha

Slavia Praha 31st · 0 pts · 2 played LL

VS— Compare

Villarreal 14th · 3 pts · 2 played LW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,600 kmRest days20.9 · 3.1Matches / 14d0 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Slavia Praha—%

Draw—%

Villarreal—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Praha)

Forecast from 10 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Slavia Praha

Villarreal

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

38 Current StrengthIn forecast 65

41 AttackIn forecast 76

40 DefenceIn forecast 73

— Form indexContext 79

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Slavia Praha

Attack—

Defense risk—

Villarreal

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Slavia Praha

Villarreal

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50

2.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

— xGVia Att/Def 1.36

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.39

— Goals minus xGContext +1.14

50% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

17.50 ShotsContext 15.00

6.50 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00

37% On target shareContext 33%

11.50 Shots in the boxContext 8.50

66% Box shareContext 58%

6% ConversionContext 17%

3.00 OffsidesContext 3.00

19.00 Shots allowedContext 14.50

7.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

5.50 BlocksContext 4.50

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

57% Save rateContext 67%

46% PossessionIn forecast 50%

334 PassesContext 487

253 Accurate passesContext 415

76% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.43 Team ratingContext 6.77

11.00 FoulsContext 9.00

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.00

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50

0.50 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60

2.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.09 xGVia Att/Def 2.12

1.95 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.30

-0.39 Goals minus xGContext -0.52

40% Scored inContext 70%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

12.60 ShotsContext 16.50

4.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.00

30% On target shareContext 36%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 11.00

61% Box shareContext 67%

6% ConversionContext 10%

3.75 OffsidesContext 2.90

16.90 Shots allowedContext 12.00

7.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.70

4.60 BlocksContext 4.63

5.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.29

66% Save rateContext 72%

46% PossessionIn forecast 59%

329 PassesContext 560

248 Accurate passesContext 493

75% Pass accuracyContext 88%

6.59 Team ratingContext 6.86

15.70 FoulsContext 10.40

12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 12.10

1.90 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Slavia Praha LL

Rest20.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 25 · 0 pts vs 3.1 for an average club · -2.7 vs expected

L13 OctA · Sabah FA0–21.4 xPts
L10 SepH · Lens2–31.3 xPts

Villarreal WWLWD

Rest3.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel1,600 km499 km in 14d

Schedule load28%Moderate

Form 79 · 10 pts vs 6.2 for an average club · +2.2 vs expected

D17 OctH · Elche0–02.1 xPts
W13 OctH · Napoli3–11.7 xPts
L10 OctA · Real Madrid0–10.7 xPts
W20 SepH · Levante3–11.9 xPts
W17 SepA · Malaga3–11.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Slavia Praha	Villarreal
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 28
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	20.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 4 Nov	3.1La Liga 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,600 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	499 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 1	1 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	13.1	3.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Slavia Praha Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Sabah FA (A) 0–2, 13 Oct

35J. Markovič(G)

27T. Vlček 6C. N'Guessan 4D. Zima 3T. Holeš

23M. Sadílek 16D. Moses

10D. Šturm 17L. Provod 20E. Ayaosi

25T. Chorý

Villarreal Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Elche (H) 0–0, 17 Oct

25P. Gulácsi(G)

23Sergi Cardona 2Logan Costa 8J. Foyth 3A. Freeman

10Alberto Moleiro 16Carlos Macia 14Santi Comesaña 11I. Akhomach

21T. Oluwaseyi 22Ayoze Pérez

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Slavia Praha Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Villarreal Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Slavia Praha · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 3.00

Villarreal · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Slavia Praha	Villarreal
Scored per game	1.00	2.50
Conceded per game	2.50	2.00
Match goals	3.50	4.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	100%
Over 3.5	50%	100%
Both teams scored	50%	100%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	50%	0%
Games	2	2

	Slavia Praha	Villarreal
Scored per game	1.00	1.60
Conceded per game	2.50	1.50
Match goals	3.50	3.10
Over 1.5	100%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	70%
Over 3.5	50%	60%
Both teams scored	50%	70%
Clean sheets	0%	10%
Failed to score	50%	30%
Games	2	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Slavia Praha	Villarreal	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	5.50
Corners conceded	6.50	6.50
Match total	12.50	12.00	9.71
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.50
Opponent cards	2.00	2.00
Match total	3.50	4.50	3.80
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2

	Slavia Praha	Villarreal	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	6.50
Corners conceded	5.89	4.70
Match total	9.89	11.20	9.71
Over 8.5	78% 7/9	60% 6/10
Over 9.5	56% 5/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.10	1.70
Opponent cards	2.40	2.90
Match total	4.50	4.60	3.80
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.