UEFA Champions League Matchday 7 Wed, Jan 20 · 17:45 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazir
Sabah FA 22nd · 3 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Napoli 32nd · 0 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,986 kmRest days43 · 3Matches / 14d0 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Sabah FA—%
Draw—%
Napoli—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Masazir)

Forecast from 5 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Sabah FA and Napoli. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

Sabah FANapoli
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 61
30 AttackIn forecast 61
27 DefenceIn forecast 70
— Form indexContext 44
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

Napoli

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sabah FANapoli
1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
50% Scored inContext 50%
50% Clean sheetsContext 0%
11.50 ShotsContext 8.00
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00
26% On target shareContext 38%
7.50 Shots in the boxContext 6.00
62% Box shareContext 65%
9% ConversionContext 6%
— OffsidesContext 2.00
19.50 Shots allowedContext 21.50
9.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.00
5.50 BlocksContext 6.50
5.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50
61% Save rateContext 58%
44% PossessionIn forecast 45%
398 PassesContext 444
322 Accurate passesContext 375
81% Pass accuracyContext 85%
6.73 Team ratingContext 6.38
14.00 FoulsContext 13.50
13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
— xGVia Att/Def 1.81
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.79
— Goals minus xGContext -0.61
90% Scored inContext 80%
50% Clean sheetsContext 40%
17.14 ShotsContext 14.70
7.17 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.00
36% On target shareContext 34%
12.83 Shots in the boxContext 10.20
64% Box shareContext 67%
13% ConversionContext 8%
2.40 OffsidesContext 2.90
15.00 Shots allowedContext 16.20
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.20
4.67 BlocksContext 5.13
4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.90
63% Save rateContext 69%
48% PossessionIn forecast 53%
415 PassesContext 516
343 Accurate passesContext 450
83% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.98 Team ratingContext 6.82
13.00 FoulsContext 9.00
12.33 Fouls sufferedContext 9.40
1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.10
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sabah FA
Rest43 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 56 · 3 pts vs 2.3 for an average club · +1.3 vs expected
  • W13 OctH · Slavia Praha2–01.3 xPts
  • L10 SepA · Manchester United0–40.3 xPts
Napoli
Rest3 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel2,986 km1,172 km in 14d
Schedule load28%Moderate
Form 44 · 7 pts vs 7.7 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected
  • L17 OctA · Venezia0–12.3 xPts
  • L13 OctA · Villarreal1–31.1 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Frosinone3–02.1 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Fiorentina1–11.6 xPts
  • W13 SepH · Bologna1–01.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sabah FA Napoli
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 28
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match43UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - League phase, 8 Dec3Serie A 2026-2027, 17 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,986 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km1,172 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 01 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one7.14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sabah FA Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Slavia Praha (H) 2–0, 13 Oct
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 4A. McCarthy 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica 7U. Rahmonaliyev
21V. Simić 37Du Queiroz 11K. Parris
20J. Mickels
Napoli Last XI · not confirmed
3-4-2-1 · vs Venezia (A) 0–1, 17 Oct
1A. Meret(G)
5B. Badiashile 13A. Rrahmani 31S. Beukema
37L. Spinazzola 68S. Lobotka 6B. Gilmour 22G. Di Lorenzo
8S. McTominay 23Giovane
20L. Lucca

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sabah FA Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Napoli Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sabah FA · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.00
Napoli · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
0-0-1
Scored
1.00
Conceded
3.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Sabah FANapoliForecast
Scored per game 1.000.50
Conceded per game 2.002.00
Match goals 3.002.50
Over 1.5 100%50%
Over 2.5 50%50%
Over 3.5 50%50%
Both teams scored 0%50%
Clean sheets 50%0%
Failed to score 50%50%
Games22
Sabah FANapoliForecast
Scored per game 2.001.20
Conceded per game 1.101.10
Match goals 3.102.30
Over 1.5 90%60%
Over 2.5 60%40%
Over 3.5 30%20%
Both teams scored 40%40%
Clean sheets 50%40%
Failed to score 10%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Sabah FANapoliLeague
Corners
Corners won3.002.50
Corners conceded6.505.00
Match total9.507.509.71
Over 8.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/2
Over 10.50% 0/20% 0/2
Cards
Cards2.002.50
Opponent cards1.501.50
Match total3.504.003.80
Over 3.550% 1/250% 1/2
Over 4.550% 1/250% 1/2
Sabah FANapoliLeague
Corners
Corners won4.863.88
Corners conceded4.575.38
Match total9.439.269.71
Over 8.571% 5/763% 5/8
Over 9.557% 4/738% 3/8
Over 10.543% 3/713% 1/8
Cards
Cards1.501.10
Opponent cards2.501.60
Match total4.002.703.80
Over 3.550% 5/1020% 2/10
Over 4.530% 3/1010% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Sabah FA2 games · scored 2 · conceded 4
0-15
1 16-30
2 31-45
1 46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Napoli2 games · scored 1 · conceded 4
1 0-15
2 16-30
31-45
46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 20 · conceded 11
1 1 0-15
1 1 16-30
3 4 31-45
3 46-60
5 3 61-75
7 2 76-90
Napoli10 games · scored 12 · conceded 11
1 0-15
4 3 16-30
1 1 31-45
2 3 46-60
1 1 61-75
3 3 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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