UEFA Champions League Matchday 7 Wed, Jan 20 · 20:00 Estadio Benito Villamarín, Sevilla
Real Betis 9th · 6 pts · 2 played
VS— Compare
Arsenal 7th · 6 pts · 2 played
Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,637 kmRest days3.2 · 4.2Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Real Betis—%
Draw—%
Arsenal—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Sevilla)

Forecast from 5 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Automatic descriptive highlights for Real Betis and Arsenal. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.

Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.

xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.

Headlines

Headlines insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Attack

Attack insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Defence

Defence insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Streaks

Streaks insights

All qualifying highlights · metric types alternate, not a combined ranking

Team strength

Real BetisArsenal
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
72 Current StrengthIn forecast 94
79 AttackIn forecast 86
59 DefenceIn forecast 95
80 Form indexContext 92
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Real Betis

Attack—
Defense risk—

Arsenal

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Real BetisArsenal
3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.00
1.74 xGVia Att/Def —
0.82 xG allowedVia Att/Def —
+1.26 Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
0% Clean sheetsContext 100%
18.50 ShotsContext 21.00
6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 8.00
32% On target shareContext 38%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext 13.50
60% Box shareContext 66%
16% ConversionContext 10%
— OffsidesContext 2.50
8.50 Shots allowedContext 4.50
3.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
2.00 BlocksContext 2.50
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
60% Save rateContext 100%
56% PossessionIn forecast 58%
534 PassesContext 576
466 Accurate passesContext 524
87% Pass accuracyContext 91%
6.90 Team ratingContext 7.17
13.50 FoulsContext 12.00
13.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50
3.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.60
1.71 xGVia Att/Def 1.56
1.79 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.85
+0.39 Goals minus xGContext +0.04
100% Scored inContext 90%
30% Clean sheetsContext 60%
16.70 ShotsContext 13.50
6.20 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.60
37% On target shareContext 34%
10.00 Shots in the boxContext 9.30
58% Box shareContext 71%
13% ConversionContext 12%
1.40 OffsidesContext 3.60
14.60 Shots allowedContext 10.80
6.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.50
3.50 BlocksContext 3.10
4.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.63
67% Save rateContext 75%
52% PossessionIn forecast 57%
504 PassesContext 508
438 Accurate passesContext 441
87% Pass accuracyContext 87%
6.98 Team ratingContext 7.06
10.70 FoulsContext 11.20
11.90 Fouls sufferedContext 14.30
1.80 Yellow cardsContext 1.60
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Real Betis
Rest3.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,641 km in 14d
Schedule load13%Low
Form 80 · 10 pts vs 6.1 for an average club · +2.3 vs expected
  • L17 OctH · Barcelona2–50.8 xPts
  • W14 OctH · FC Porto3–21.4 xPts
  • W11 OctH · Osasuna5–22.0 xPts
  • D20 SepA · Deportivo La Coruna1–11.6 xPts
  • W17 SepH · Getafe1–02.0 xPts
Arsenal
Rest4.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,637 km498 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Form 92 · 12 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected
  • W18 OctA · Nottingham Forest1–01.9 xPts
  • W13 OctH · Lille3–02.5 xPts
  • W10 OctH · Leeds2–12.2 xPts
  • L19 SepA · Brighton0–31.8 xPts
  • W12 SepA · Sunderland2–02.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Real Betis Arsenal
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 13Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match3.2La Liga 2026-2027, 17 Jan4.2Premier League 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,637 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,641 km498 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 31 / 1 / 5
Next matchdays after this one3.82.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Real Betis Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Barcelona (H) 2–5, 17 Oct
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García 16Valentín Gómez 3Diego Llorente 2Héctor Bellerín
25Dani Ceballos 6F. Bernal
10A. Ezzalzouli 8Pablo Fornals 20G. Lo Celso
9C. Hernández
Arsenal Last XI · not confirmed
4-2-3-1 · vs Nottingham Forest (A) 1–0, 18 Oct
1David Raya(G)
33R. Calafiori 6Gabriel Magalhães 15E. Konsa 4B. White
39Bruno Guimarães 41D. Rice
10E. Eze 8M. Ødegaard 7B. Saka
29K. Havertz

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Real Betis Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Arsenal Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Real Betis · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
3.00
Conceded
2.00
Arsenal · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
1.00
Conceded
0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 1 this season

OpponentReal BetisArsenal
Lille W 3–2 A W 3–0 H
Points3 of 3 · 3.00 per game3 of 3 · 3.00 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Real BetisArsenalForecast
Scored per game 3.002.00
Conceded per game 2.000.00
Match goals 5.002.00
Over 1.5 100%50%
Over 2.5 100%50%
Over 3.5 100%0%
Both teams scored 100%0%
Clean sheets 0%100%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games22
Real BetisArsenalForecast
Scored per game 2.101.70
Conceded per game 1.800.60
Match goals 3.902.30
Over 1.5 70%70%
Over 2.5 60%60%
Over 3.5 50%0%
Both teams scored 70%30%
Clean sheets 30%60%
Failed to score 0%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Real BetisArsenalLeague
Corners
Corners won5.006.00
Corners conceded3.001.00
Match total8.007.009.71
Over 8.550% 1/20% 0/1
Over 9.550% 1/20% 0/1
Over 10.50% 0/20% 0/1
Cards
Cards3.501.50
Opponent cards2.501.50
Match total6.003.003.80
Over 3.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Over 4.5100% 2/20% 0/2
Real BetisArsenalLeague
Corners
Corners won4.904.67
Corners conceded5.904.44
Match total10.809.119.71
Over 8.570% 7/1044% 4/9
Over 9.570% 7/1044% 4/9
Over 10.550% 5/1033% 3/9
Cards
Cards1.901.60
Opponent cards2.602.80
Match total4.504.403.80
Over 3.560% 6/1060% 6/10
Over 4.560% 6/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Goal timing

Real Betis2 games · scored 6 · conceded 4
1 0-15
16-30
1 1 31-45
3 1 46-60
1 1 61-75
1 76-90
Arsenal2 games · scored 4 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
4 61-75
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 21 · conceded 18
1 2 0-15
1 2 16-30
8 3 31-45
5 5 46-60
2 3 61-75
4 3 76-90
Arsenal9 games · scored 15 · conceded 6
2 1 0-15
2 16-30
2 31-45
3 2 46-60
6 1 61-75
2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.

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