Lens vs Manchester City

UEFA Champions League Matchday 7 Wed, Jan 20 · 20:00 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Lens 19th · 3 pts · 2 played WL

VS— Compare

Manchester City 17th · 3 pts · 2 played WL

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel485 kmRest days4.2 · 4.2Matches / 14d1 · 2

Real contextStrength only

Lens—%

Draw—%

Manchester City—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Lens)

Forecast from 5 Jan

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Manchester City 9 Scoring in a row Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Lens

Manchester City

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

56 Current StrengthIn forecast 91

63 AttackIn forecast 92

53 DefenceIn forecast 82

51 Form indexContext 93

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lens

Attack—

Defense risk—

Manchester City

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lens

Manchester City

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

— xGVia Att/Def 2.43

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.09

— Goals minus xGContext -0.43

50% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

23.50 ShotsContext 23.50

7.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 9.50

30% On target shareContext 40%

12.50 Shots in the boxContext 16.00

53% Box shareContext 68%

6% ConversionContext 9%

1.00 OffsidesContext 1.50

14.00 Shots allowedContext 10.00

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

5.00 BlocksContext 1.50

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext —

60% Save rateContext 60%

60% PossessionIn forecast 59%

493 PassesContext 566

421 Accurate passesContext 506

85% Pass accuracyContext 89%

6.58 Team ratingContext 6.89

8.00 FoulsContext 13.50

10.00 Fouls sufferedContext 10.50

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

2.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.40

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.30

2.25 xGVia Att/Def 2.16

1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39

-0.15 Goals minus xGContext +0.24

80% Scored inContext 100%

10% Clean sheetsContext 40%

16.40 ShotsContext 16.50

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.90

37% On target shareContext 36%

10.90 Shots in the boxContext 11.60

70% Box shareContext 69%

13% ConversionContext 15%

1.56 OffsidesContext 1.89

12.30 Shots allowedContext 11.20

4.80 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.89

3.44 BlocksContext 2.50

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.33

71% Save rateContext 68%

52% PossessionIn forecast 62%

474 PassesContext 606

405 Accurate passesContext 541

85% Pass accuracyContext 89%

6.86 Team ratingContext 7.10

10.80 FoulsContext 11.00

12.20 Fouls sufferedContext 12.70

2.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lens DLWLW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km832 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 51 · 7 pts vs 6.9 for an average club · -1.3 vs expected

W17 OctA · Estac Troyes3–12.2 xPts
L13 OctH · Sporting CP0–21.3 xPts
W9 OctH · Lyon2–11.6 xPts
L18 SepA · Monaco1–21.3 xPts
D13 SepA · Le Mans2–22.0 xPts

Manchester City WWWLW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel485 km115 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 93 · 12 pts vs 5.0 for an average club · +2.4 vs expected

W17 OctH · Ipswich3–22.5 xPts
L14 OctH · Paris Saint Germain2–41.9 xPts
W11 OctA · Liverpool3–01.5 xPts
W20 SepH · Sunderland5–32.3 xPts
W13 SepA · Manchester United1–01.5 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lens	Manchester City
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 16 Jan	4.2Premier League 2026-2027, 16 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	485 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	832 km	115 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 2	1 / 2 / 5
Next matchdays after this one	2.8	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lens Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Estac Troyes (A) 3–1, 17 Oct

40R. Risser(G)

20J. Todibo 25P. Ganiou 32Kyllian Antonio

22M. Skóraś 5A. Bulatović 8Y. Titraoui 2R. Aguilar

7F. Sotoca 10F. Thauvin

11O. Édouard

Manchester City Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Ipswich (H) 3–2, 17 Oct

1G. Donnarumma(G)

33N. O'Reilly 6A. Guéhi 3Rúben Dias 27M. Nunes

32A. Bouaddi 8M. Kovačić

11J. Doku 47P. Foden 7I. Ndiaye

9E. Haaland

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lens Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Manchester City Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lens · Home 0.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 2.00

Manchester City · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lens	Manchester City
Scored per game	1.50	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	2.00
Match goals	3.50	4.00
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	50%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	50%	0%
Games	2	2

	Lens	Manchester City
Scored per game	2.10	2.40
Conceded per game	1.50	1.30
Match goals	3.60	3.70
Over 1.5	90%	80%
Over 2.5	80%	70%
Over 3.5	50%	40%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	20%	0%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lens	Manchester City	League
Corners
Corners won	7.50	8.00
Corners conceded	4.50	2.00
Match total	12.00	10.00	9.71
Over 8.5	100% 2/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	0.50	1.00
Match total	2.00	3.00	3.80
Over 3.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2

	Lens	Manchester City	League
Corners
Corners won	6.78	6.40
Corners conceded	5.89	3.70
Match total	12.67	10.10	9.71
Over 8.5	100% 9/9	70% 7/10
Over 9.5	78% 7/9	60% 6/10
Over 10.5	56% 5/9	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	2.10	1.50
Opponent cards	1.30	1.50
Match total	3.40	3.00	3.80
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.