Paris FC

3rd · Ligue 1 · 14 points · Matches played: 7

Level on points with Lyon · Table & Fixtures →

L90 Strength L90 Strength is LOAD90’s own club strength rating on a fixed 0–100 scale, built from its Elo rating. League Strength uses the mean Elo of a league's clubs and a separate league calibration, so the two scores are not directly comparable.

+8.0 is current form. We look at the goals the team scores and concedes and at the quality of its chances (expected goals, xG) over recent matches. If attack and defence are playing above what the Elo rating predicts, L90 Strength goes up for the forecast; if below, it goes down.

Base L90 Strength changed +4.5 over the last 5 matches; that is already inside the number. 33.7+8.0
World Rank 179th Global, by Elo
Ligue 1 Rank 12th L90 Strength
Last RennesH xG 2.9–3.1 4–3 Next LensA 21%

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Upcoming fixtures

Paris FC · All competitions

Forecast
LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 21% win 0.83 xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home 39% win 1.41 xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away 39% win 1.42 xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts AuxerreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts AngersLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Le MansLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts ToulouseLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LensLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LE HavreLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts LilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts MonacoLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home — win — xPts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away — win — xPts

xPts = 3 × win probability + draw probability. — means no published forecast. Open a match for xG and the full forecast.

Results

Paris FC · All competitions

Full time
RennesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 4–3 2.9–3.1 xG +1.7 Δpts LorientLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away L 0–1 1.0–0.6 xG -1.4 Δpts StrasbourgLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 2–1 — xG +1.5 Δpts LyonLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home D 0–0 — xG -0.4 Δpts MarseilleLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away W 3–2 — xG +2.2 Δpts NiceLigue 1 2026-2027 · Home W 3–0 2.7–0.6 xG +1.3 Δpts Estac TroyesLigue 1 2026-2027 · Away D 0–0 1.8–0.4 xG -0.6 Δpts

Score and actual xG show Paris FC first. Δpts = points taken − pre-match xPts. — means data unavailable.

Current load Low · 0

Rest profile6.1 days since last match
0%
Schedule load2 matches in last 14 days
0%
Travel load179 km to venue, 881 km in 14 days
0%
Squad availability4 out, no key players · Last match: 18 Oct
7%

Load before the next match, at Lens, 24 Oct. Squad availability is shown separately and is not part of the score; availability is the share of squad weight missing, the same input the forecast uses for absences.

Schedule difficulty all competitions

Each bar is one match: 50% match difficulty from current relative Elo strength + 50% calendar load (rest, match congestion and travel). Higher means harder, on a 0–100 scale. This is a descriptive index, not a win probability. Lighter bars are upcoming; the dashed line marks today. Grey marks missing data. 22 Aug at Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100
D
 Aug 30 Aug vs Nice: Schedule difficulty 22/100; match difficulty 43/100
W
 6 Sep at Marseille: Schedule difficulty 34/100; match difficulty 62/100
W
 Sep 12 Sep vs Lyon: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 72/100
D
 19 Sep vs Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 30/100; match difficulty 60/100
W
 10 Oct at Lorient: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100
L
 Oct 18 Oct vs Rennes: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 66/100
W
 24 Oct at Lens: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 70/100 1 Nov vs Monaco: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 Nov 7 Nov at Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 22 Nov vs Angers: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 27 Nov at Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 50/100 5 Dec vs Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 Dec 12 Dec at Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 2 Jan vs LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 Jan 16 Jan vs Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 28/100; match difficulty 55/100 23 Jan at Lille: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 30 Jan vs Auxerre: Schedule difficulty 23/100; match difficulty 46/100 6 Feb at Strasbourg: Schedule difficulty 33/100; match difficulty 60/100 Feb 13 Feb vs Estac Troyes: Schedule difficulty 12/100; match difficulty 24/100 20 Feb at Angers: Schedule difficulty 17/100; match difficulty 34/100 27 Feb at Le Mans: Schedule difficulty 21/100; match difficulty 42/100 6 Mar vs Stade Brestois 29: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 Mar 13 Mar vs Lorient: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 50/100 20 Mar at Rennes: Schedule difficulty 36/100; match difficulty 66/100 3 Apr vs Paris Saint Germain: Schedule difficulty 46/100; match difficulty 92/100 Apr 10 Apr at Nice: Schedule difficulty 25/100; match difficulty 43/100 17 Apr at Toulouse: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 55/100 24 Apr vs Lens: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 70/100 1 May at LE Havre: Schedule difficulty 18/100; match difficulty 35/100 May 8 May vs Lille: Schedule difficulty 35/100; match difficulty 69/100 16 May at Monaco: Schedule difficulty 38/100; match difficulty 69/100 22 May vs Marseille: Schedule difficulty 31/100; match difficulty 62/100 29 May at Lyon: Schedule difficulty 39/100; match difficulty 72/100

Schedule next 30 days · forecast and load

All fixtures and load →
Rest6.1 daysbefore LEN
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel / 14d881 kmaway trips
Schedule load0%Low
at LensSat 24 Oct, 19:45 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 58 21%win21%draw59%loss Low load · 6.1 d rest vs MonacoSun 1 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 56 39%win25%draw36%loss Low load · 7.9 d rest at AuxerreSat 7 Nov, 16:15 Ligue 1 2026-2027 · opponent L90 Strength 27 39%win25%draw36%loss Low load · 6 d rest
Win · draw · loss: LOAD90 forecastLoad bar: rest, matches and travel before each game (context; only 4+ matches in 14 days changes the forecast)
Full match preview oneScored → at Lens, 24 OctOdds, value, live score

Fixture Swing

Opponent opportunity across the next 3 matches · all competitions

2 of 3 forecasts available · Partial window

Attack Swing−13%

Baseline 3.29 → Forecast 2.86 expected goals · 2 included matches

Conceding Swing+16%

Baseline 3.25 → Forecast 3.77 expected goals conceded · 2 included matches

Opportunity for the next 3 matches
MatchAttackConceding riskGoals · Baseline → Forecast
at Lens24 Oct · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −12% +24% 1.47 → 1.29
vs Monaco1 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 −14% +6% 1.82 → 1.57
at Auxerre7 Nov · Ligue 1 2026-2027 — — Opportunity unavailable

Swing compares total forecast goals with total baseline goals for the included matches. Forecasts are available up to 21 days ahead. Missing snapshots and different model revisions are excluded; a partial window covers only the matches shown with values. Your team's own conditions are kept in each baseline.

Next match · Match Opportunity

Paris FC

Baseline: average Ligue 1 opponent

Attack Downlift −12% Expected goals Baseline1.47Forecast1.29
Conceding Risk +24% Expected goals conceded Baseline1.81Forecast2.25
Clean Sheet −5.8 pp Chance of conceding no goals Baseline16.4%Forecast10.6%