Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
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Explore competitions →League insights
Premier League · 21 signals · 13 clubs in this view
Manchester UnitedChance balance ahead of the points returnInsight Score70/100
A positive observed xG balance sits alongside points below stored forecast expectations. These are different windows: inspect finishing, conceding and individual matches before assigning a cause.
- Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - −5.8
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.26
- Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.6
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 62.1
- Recency
- 63.6
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 63.3
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Points minus expected — Points 10; xPts 15.8. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 1.3. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
BrightonWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score68/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 4
- Points minus expected7/7 current-league matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +4.6
- Goals scored / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3.3
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.74
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 62.8
- Recency
- 63.6
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 51.7
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 5. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.01; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ArsenalWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score67/100
A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.
- Wins in a rowLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 3
- Points minus expected9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games - +5.0
- Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.7
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.71
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 53.6
- Recency
- 63.6
- Context
- 100.0
- Quality
- 63.3
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Points minus expected — Points 24; xPts 19. Saved pre: 3; reconstructed: 6. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.56; xG against 0.85. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Manchester CityGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score58/100
Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.
- Goals scored / matchLast 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.6
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - +0.77
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 51.3
- Recency
- 46.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 65.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.16; xG against 1.39. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
ChelseaGoals at both endsInsight Score50/100
Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.
- Goals scored / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 2.4
- Goals conceded / matchLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 1.9
- Both teams scoredLast 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions - 71%
- Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages - −0.30
Sources, limitations & score
- Deviation
- 33.5
- Recency
- 46.1
- Context
- 80.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
- Goals scored / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Goals conceded / match — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Both teams scored — Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.2; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
Attack21 signals · 13 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Brighton
Goals scored per match
3.3
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 62.8
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Aston VillaH | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | ChelseaA | 3–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | LeedsH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-13 | CoventryA | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | ArsenalH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | SunderlandA | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | Crystal PalaceH | 5–0W |
Manchester City
Scoring in a row
9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak79
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 86.8
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BournemouthH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal PalaceA | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | CoventryH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | FC PortoA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester UnitedA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | SunderlandH | 5–3W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | LiverpoolA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | IpswichH | 3–2W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Manchester City
Goals scored per match
2.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 41.7
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester City’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BournemouthH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal PalaceA | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-05 | CoventryH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-08 | FC PortoA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester UnitedA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | SunderlandH | 5–3W |
| 2026-10-11 | LiverpoolA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Paris Saint GermainH | 2–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | IpswichH | 3–2W |
Chelsea
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.5
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-08-30 | BrightonH | 4–3W |
| 2026-09-06 | ArsenalA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | Hull CityH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | BrentfordA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | BournemouthH | 5–1W |
| 2026-10-17 | EvertonA | 2–0W |
Brighton
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brighton’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Aston VillaH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | ChelseaA | 3–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | LeedsH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | CoventryA | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | ArsenalH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SunderlandA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Crystal PalaceH | 5–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Brentford
Scoring in a row
7
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 61.3
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | TottenhamH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | LeedsA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SunderlandH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | BournemouthA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | ChelseaH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | Aston VillaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | LiverpoolH | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Aston Villa
Scoring in a row
6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak69
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 57.9
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Newcastle
Both teams scored
71%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 32.5
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Newcastle’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | LiverpoolH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | TottenhamA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-05 | BournemouthH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | LeedsA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | Hull CityH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | CoventryA | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Aston VillaH | 0–1L | No |
Chelsea
Both teams scored
71%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-24 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 32.5
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Chelsea’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | FulhamA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | BrightonH | 4–3W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | ArsenalA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Hull CityH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | BrentfordA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | BournemouthH | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EvertonA | 2–0W | No |
Brentford
Both teams scored
71%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 32.5
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | TottenhamH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | LeedsA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | SunderlandH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | BournemouthA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | ChelseaH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Aston VillaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | LiverpoolH | 1–2L | Yes |
Ipswich
Both teams scored
71%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 32.5
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SunderlandH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester UnitedA | 2–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | LiverpoolH | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | Crystal PalaceA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | EvertonA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | FulhamH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Manchester CityA | 2–3L | Yes |
Leeds
Both teams scored
71%
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 32.5
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Leeds’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Nottingham ForestA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | BrentfordH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | BrightonA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-14 | NewcastleH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Crystal PalaceH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-10 | ArsenalA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Manchester UnitedH | 1–1D | Yes |
Liverpool
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.6
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Liverpool’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | NewcastleA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-29 | Nottingham ForestH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-04 | IpswichA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-09 | Atletico MadridH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-12 | FulhamH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-20 | BournemouthA | 1–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | Manchester CityH | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-14 | Lask LinzA | 6–3W |
| 2026-10-17 | BrentfordA | 2–1W |
Bournemouth
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.6
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester CityA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | EvertonH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | NewcastleA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | BrentfordH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Real SociedadA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | LiverpoolH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-10-10 | ChelseaA | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | Sturm GrazH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | SunderlandH | 2–0W | No |
Brentford
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores50
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 13.9
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Brentford’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | TottenhamH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | LeedsA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | SunderlandH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-12 | BournemouthA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-18 | ChelseaH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | Aston VillaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | LiverpoolH | 1–2L |
Aston Villa
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.4
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Aston Villa’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | BrightonA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | ArsenalH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull CityA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge KVA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | Nottingham ForestH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | TottenhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-10 | BrentfordH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-14 | FenerbahceH | 6–0W |
| 2026-10-17 | NewcastleA | 1–0W |
Arsenal
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.2
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Arsenal’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | CoventryH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston VillaA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-06 | ChelseaH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-09 | NapoliA | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SunderlandA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | BrightonA | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-10 | LeedsH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | LilleH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham ForestA | 1–0W |
Crystal Palace
Goals scored per match
1.7
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 8.2
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Crystal Palace’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | EvertonA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-28 | Manchester CityH | 1–4L |
| 2026-09-05 | FulhamA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-12 | IpswichH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-17 | Lech PoznanH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | LeedsA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-11 | Nottingham ForestH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | LyonA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | BrightonA | 0–5L |
Ipswich
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores47
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 7 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.2
- Recency
- 92.3
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 70.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 7 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Ipswich’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SunderlandH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester UnitedA | 2–5L |
| 2026-09-04 | LiverpoolH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | Crystal PalaceA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-19 | EvertonA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | FulhamH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-17 | Manchester CityA | 2–3L |
Manchester United
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.0
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Manchester United’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Hull CityA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | IpswichH | 5–2W |
| 2026-09-06 | EvertonA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-10 | Sabah FAH | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester CityH | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-20 | FulhamA | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-10 | TottenhamH | 1–1D |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico MadridA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | LeedsA | 1–1D |
Bournemouth
Goals scored per match
1.6
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores51
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Premier League 2026-2027: 1.45 goals per team/match, 70 matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.0
- Recency
- 95.4
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Bournemouth’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester CityA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-29 | EvertonH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-05 | NewcastleA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-12 | BrentfordH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-17 | Real SociedadA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | LiverpoolH | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | ChelseaA | 1–5L |
| 2026-10-15 | Sturm GrazH | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | SunderlandH | 2–0W |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →