Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad

UEFA Europa League Matchday 5 Thu, Nov 26 · 20:00 Selhurst Park, London

Crystal Palace 15th · 3 pts · 2 played WL

VS— Compare

Real Sociedad 22nd · 1 pts · 2 played LD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel922 kmRest days5.2 · 4.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

Crystal Palace—%

Draw—%

Real Sociedad—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (London)

Forecast from 11 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Real Sociedad 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Crystal Palace

Real Sociedad

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

64 Current StrengthIn forecast 58

64 AttackIn forecast 62

54 DefenceIn forecast 48

64 Form indexContext 81

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Crystal Palace

Attack—

Defense risk—

Real Sociedad

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Crystal Palace

Real Sociedad

3.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

50% Clean sheetsContext 0%

14.00 ShotsContext 10.00

5.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

36% On target shareContext 30%

10.50 Shots in the boxContext 4.50

76% Box shareContext 50%

21% ConversionContext 10%

2.00 OffsidesContext 1.00

14.00 Shots allowedContext 13.50

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

4.50 BlocksContext 3.50

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

70% Save rateContext 63%

51% PossessionIn forecast 55%

515 PassesContext 561

447 Accurate passesContext 469

87% Pass accuracyContext 84%

6.90 Team ratingContext 6.51

9.50 FoulsContext 13.50

5.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.90

2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.90

1.52 xGVia Att/Def 1.28

1.86 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.72

+0.08 Goals minus xGContext +0.62

70% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 10%

11.00 ShotsContext 13.80

3.90 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

36% On target shareContext 38%

7.80 Shots in the boxContext 7.80

71% Box shareContext 55%

15% ConversionContext 14%

2.50 OffsidesContext 1.75

16.30 Shots allowedContext 15.80

5.40 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70

4.70 BlocksContext 3.90

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00

63% Save rateContext 70%

45% PossessionIn forecast 50%

416 PassesContext 481

341 Accurate passesContext 410

82% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.77 Team ratingContext 6.82

10.50 FoulsContext 12.40

9.70 Fouls sufferedContext 10.70

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Crystal Palace WDWLL

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km276 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 64 · 7 pts vs 5.3 for an average club · +0.9 vs expected

L18 OctA · Brighton0–50.6 xPts
L15 OctA · Lyon2–31.3 xPts
W11 OctH · Nottingham Forest3–11.4 xPts
D20 SepA · Leeds0–00.9 xPts
W17 SepH · Lech Poznan4–01.9 xPts

Real Sociedad LWWDW

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel922 km298 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

Form 81 · 10 pts vs 5.9 for an average club · +4.0 vs expected

W18 OctA · Malaga5–21.3 xPts
D15 OctA · Union St. Gilloise1–10.9 xPts
W11 OctH · Deportivo La Coruna3–21.7 xPts
W20 SepA · Valencia3–21.2 xPts
L17 SepH · Bournemouth1–21.0 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Crystal Palace	Real Sociedad
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2Premier League 2026-2027, 21 Nov	4.2La Liga 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	922 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	276 km	298 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	1 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	2.8	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Crystal Palace Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Brighton (A) 0–5, 18 Oct

44W. Benítez(G)

21H. Ahanor 26Chris Richards 6J. Canvot

3T. Mitchell 23Q. Timber 20A. Wharton 25A. Khalaili

10Yeremy Pino 18Daichi Kamada

22J. Strand Larsen

Real Sociedad Last XI · not confirmed

4-4-2 · vs Malaga (A) 5–2, 18 Oct

1Álex Remiro(G)

3Aihen Muñoz 19M. Sarr 6Jon Martín 22Héctor Fort

7Barrenetxea 18Carlos Soler 4Jon Gorrotxategi 14T. Kubo

9O. Óskarsson 10Mikel Oyarzabal

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Crystal Palace Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Real Sociedad Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Crystal Palace · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 4.00
Conceded: 0.00

Real Sociedad · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Crystal Palace	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	3.00	1.00
Conceded per game	1.50	1.50
Match goals	4.50	2.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	100%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	100%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Crystal Palace	Real Sociedad
Scored per game	1.60	1.90
Conceded per game	2.20	1.90
Match goals	3.80	3.80
Over 1.5	90%	90%
Over 2.5	80%	80%
Over 3.5	70%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	80%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	30%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Crystal Palace	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	6.00
Corners conceded	5.00	3.50
Match total	9.50	9.50	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	1.50	2.00
Match total	3.00	4.00	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2

	Crystal Palace	Real Sociedad	League
Corners
Corners won	3.89	7.00
Corners conceded	5.22	4.70
Match total	9.11	11.70	9.76
Over 8.5	44% 4/9	90% 9/10
Over 9.5	33% 3/9	80% 8/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	70% 7/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	2.20
Opponent cards	2.00	2.40
Match total	3.60	4.60	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.