NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes

UEFA Europa League Matchday 5 Thu, Nov 26 · 20:00 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen 27th · 1 pts · 2 played LD

VS— Compare

Rennes 13th · 4 pts · 2 played DW

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel679 kmRest days5.2 · 4.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Real contextStrength only

NEC Nijmegen—%

Draw—%

Rennes—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Nijmegen)

Forecast from 11 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Not enough recorded data for this category yet.

Team strength

NEC Nijmegen

Rennes

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

32 Current StrengthIn forecast 52

37 AttackIn forecast 63

33 DefenceIn forecast 39

18 Form indexContext 42

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

NEC Nijmegen

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rennes

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

NEC Nijmegen

Rennes

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

3.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50

— xGVia Att/Def 1.79

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.40

— Goals minus xGContext -0.79

50% Scored inContext 50%

0% Clean sheetsContext 50%

14.50 ShotsContext 24.00

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 7.00

41% On target shareContext 29%

8.00 Shots in the boxContext 16.00

53% Box shareContext 67%

3% ConversionContext 4%

— OffsidesContext 4.00

9.50 Shots allowedContext 6.50

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.50

2.00 BlocksContext —

1.50 Goalkeeper savesContext —

33% Save rateContext 100%

52% PossessionIn forecast 65%

493 PassesContext 503

423 Accurate passesContext 433

86% Pass accuracyContext 86%

6.37 Team ratingContext 6.98

16.50 FoulsContext 9.50

11.50 Fouls sufferedContext 11.50

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.80

2.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

1.94 xGVia Att/Def 2.12

1.39 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.91

-0.84 Goals minus xGContext -0.32

70% Scored inContext 80%

0% Clean sheetsContext 20%

12.00 ShotsContext 18.60

3.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30

32% On target shareContext 34%

7.60 Shots in the boxContext 12.60

59% Box shareContext 66%

9% ConversionContext 10%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.43

12.70 Shots allowedContext 14.70

5.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.70

2.80 BlocksContext 4.89

3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.22

59% Save rateContext 68%

52% PossessionIn forecast 54%

442 PassesContext 476

358 Accurate passesContext 403

81% Pass accuracyContext 85%

6.44 Team ratingContext 6.81

11.70 FoulsContext 12.40

11.80 Fouls sufferedContext 11.30

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

NEC Nijmegen LDDDD

Rest5.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 18 · 4 pts vs 8.2 for an average club · -2.7 vs expected

D18 OctH · Fortuna Sittard2–21.9 xPts
D15 OctH · Levski Sofia1–11.8 xPts
D10 OctA · Ajax1–10.7 xPts
D20 SepH · GO Ahead Eagles1–11.7 xPts
L17 SepA · Juventus0–50.6 xPts

Rennes DLWWL

Rest4.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel679 km265 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 42 · 7 pts vs 7.9 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected

L18 OctA · Paris FC3–41.4 xPts
W15 OctH · OFI2–12.2 xPts
W11 OctH · Auxerre4–12.1 xPts
L19 SepA · Lyon0–41.2 xPts
D16 SepA · Sturm Graz0–01.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	NEC Nijmegen	Rennes
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.2Eredivisie 2026-2027, 21 Nov	4.2Ligue 1 2026-2027, 22 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	679 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	265 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	1 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	3	2.8

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

NEC Nijmegen Last XI · not confirmed

3-4-2-1 · vs Fortuna Sittard (H) 2–2, 18 Oct

1G. Crettaz(G)

24D. Fonville 22A. Kaplan 21T. Storm

35Jamiro Monteiro 18D. Geiger 6D. Nejašmić 34Kevin Kers

99Clement Bischoff 20N. Lebreton

30B. Linssen

Rennes Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Paris FC (A) 3–4, 18 Oct

30B. Samba(G)

95P. Frankowski 24A. Rouault 4C. Cresswell 14B. Reynolds

28A. Thomasson 6D. Cissé 17S. Szymański

90I. Soumaré 9E. Lepaul 10L. Blas

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

NEC Nijmegen Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Rennes Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

NEC Nijmegen · Home 1.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.00

Rennes · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	NEC Nijmegen	Rennes
Scored per game	0.50	1.00
Conceded per game	3.00	0.50
Match goals	3.50	1.50
Over 1.5	100%	50%
Over 2.5	50%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	0%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Clean sheets	0%	50%
Failed to score	50%	50%
Games	2	2

	NEC Nijmegen	Rennes
Scored per game	1.10	1.80
Conceded per game	2.20	1.80
Match goals	3.30	3.60
Over 1.5	100%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	80%
Over 3.5	50%	60%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Clean sheets	0%	20%
Failed to score	30%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	NEC Nijmegen	Rennes	League
Corners
Corners won	6.00	8.50
Corners conceded	1.00	4.00
Match total	7.00	12.50	9.76
Over 8.5	0% 0/1	100% 2/2
Over 9.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.00	1.00
Opponent cards	0.50	2.50
Match total	1.50	3.50	3.76
Over 3.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	0% 0/2

	NEC Nijmegen	Rennes	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	7.56
Corners conceded	3.88	5.11
Match total	7.88	12.67	9.76
Over 8.5	38% 3/8	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	25% 2/8	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	25% 2/8	67% 6/9
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.00
Opponent cards	1.40	2.50
Match total	2.90	4.50	3.76
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	80% 8/10
Over 4.5	0% 0/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.