Lyon vs Lillestrom – 26 Nov 2026

UEFA Europa League Matchday 5 Thu, Nov 26 · 20:00 Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu

Lyon 8th · 6 pts · 2 played WW

VS— Compare

Lillestrom 23rd · 1 pts · 2 played LD

Get full prediction oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,630 kmRest days5 · 21.1Matches / 14d1 · 0

Real contextStrength only

Lyon—%

Draw—%

Lillestrom—%

Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.

Weather (Décines-Charpieu)

Forecast from 11 Nov

Referee—Not appointed yet

Key insights

Headlines

Attack

Defence

Streaks

Streak Lyon 5 Scoring in a row Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Scoring in a row

Team strength

Lyon

Lillestrom

— L90 StrengthIn forecast —

60 Current StrengthIn forecast 27

55 AttackIn forecast 23

56 DefenceIn forecast 31

85 Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Lyon

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lillestrom

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Lyon

Lillestrom

2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

1.53 xGVia Att/Def —

1.52 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.97 Goals minus xGContext —

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 0%

12.00 ShotsContext 14.50

7.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

58% On target shareContext 28%

9.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.00

79% Box shareContext 56%

21% ConversionContext 7%

— OffsidesContext 1.50

12.50 Shots allowedContext 13.00

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.50

4.00 BlocksContext 4.00

2.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.50

56% Save rateContext 64%

47% PossessionIn forecast 58%

419 PassesContext 475

348 Accurate passesContext 393

83% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.88 Team ratingContext 6.63

8.00 FoulsContext 11.50

11.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.50

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

1.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00

1.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00

1.32 xGVia Att/Def —

1.57 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.58 Goals minus xGContext —

90% Scored inContext 75%

30% Clean sheetsContext 25%

12.70 ShotsContext —

5.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

42% On target shareContext 28%

9.10 Shots in the boxContext —

72% Box shareContext —

15% ConversionContext 7%

2.57 OffsidesContext —

12.40 Shots allowedContext —

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def —

2.30 BlocksContext 6.00

3.40 Goalkeeper savesContext —

76% Save rateContext 64%

52% PossessionIn forecast 55%

457 PassesContext —

389 Accurate passesContext —

85% Pass accuracyContext —

6.95 Team ratingContext —

10.50 FoulsContext 12.75

13.80 Fouls sufferedContext 11.25

1.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.75

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 4 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Lyon WWLWW

Rest5 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,118 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 85 · 12 pts vs 7.1 for an average club · +4.3 vs expected

W18 OctH · Nice2–12.2 xPts
W15 OctH · Crystal Palace3–21.5 xPts
L9 OctA · Lens1–21.1 xPts
W19 SepH · Rennes4–01.6 xPts
W16 SepA · Anderlecht2–11.3 xPts

Lillestrom LD

Rest21.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,630 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load20%Moderate

Form 30 · 1 pts vs 3.4 for an average club · -1.7 vs expected

D15 OctA · Sparta Praha1–11.1 xPts
L17 SepH · Torreense1–21.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Lyon	Lillestrom
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5Ligue 1 2026-2027, 21 Nov	21.1UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - League phase, 5 Nov
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,630 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,118 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 4	0 / 0 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	3	14

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Lyon Last XI · not confirmed

4-2-3-1 · vs Nice (H) 2–1, 18 Oct

40R. Descamps(G)

16Abner 19M. Niakhaté 22Clinton Mata 13Z. Athekame

2M. Bidstrup 6F. Tessmann

24J. Duranville 99N. Nartey 26K. Boudache

10P. Šulc

Lillestrom Last XI · not confirmed

4-3-3 · vs Sparta Praha (A) 1–1, 15 Oct

12P. Dahlberg(G)

26W. Paintsil 47S. Kristiansen 28L. Gabrielsen 2Lars Ranger

14G. Nyheim 21F. Ottosson 29Y. Ibrahimaj

20Vá 8F. Gulbrandsen 22D. Bassi

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Lyon Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Lillestrom Squad list arrives with the next forecast refresh

Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Lyon · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 3.00
Conceded: 2.00

Lillestrom · Away 1.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	Lyon	Lillestrom
Scored per game	2.50	1.00
Conceded per game	1.50	1.50
Match goals	4.00	2.50
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	100%	50%
Over 3.5	50%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	100%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	2	2

	Lyon	Lillestrom
Scored per game	1.90	1.00
Conceded per game	1.00	1.00
Match goals	2.90	2.00
Over 1.5	90%	75%
Over 2.5	70%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	0%
Both teams scored	70%	75%
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Failed to score	10%	25%
Games	10	4

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Lyon	Lillestrom	League
Corners
Corners won	4.50	6.00
Corners conceded	4.50	4.00
Match total	9.00	10.00	9.76
Over 8.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	50% 1/2	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/2	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.50
Opponent cards	1.50	4.00
Match total	3.00	5.50	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	100% 2/2

	Lyon	Lillestrom	League
Corners
Corners won	4.40	6.25
Corners conceded	6.00	5.50
Match total	10.40	11.75	9.76
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	75% 3/4
Over 9.5	80% 8/10	75% 3/4
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 2/4
Cards
Cards	1.50	1.75
Opponent cards	2.10	2.75
Match total	3.60	4.50	3.76
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	75% 3/4
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	75% 3/4

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.