Deportivo La Coruna
Attack+10%
Defense risk−9%
Deportivo La Coruna
9th · 11 pts · 9 played
DLDLD
VS—
Compare
Osasuna
10th · 11 pts · 9 played
LLDLW
Our take
Deportivo La Coruna are slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Deportivo La Coruna have 9 days of rest, Osasuna 7 and have to travel 552 km. Conditions look neutral.
Away travel552 kmRest days9 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Deportivo La Coruna43%
Draw27%
Osasuna30%
Deportivo La Coruna43%
Draw27%
Osasuna30%
Deportivo La Coruna43%
Draw27%
Osasuna30%
Deportivo La Coruna36%
Draw27%
Osasuna37%
Deportivo La Coruna44%
Draw26%
Osasuna31%
Over 2.5 51%
Both score 55%
Likeliest score 1–1
EloLambda forecast, updated 2 hours ago. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (La Coruña)
12°CDrizzle
- Precipitation 23%
- Wind 13 km/h
- Humidity 63%
Referee—Not appointed yet
Key insights
Automatic descriptive highlights for Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna. These describe recorded performance and do not change the match forecast. Each metric is ordered within its own type; types alternate to keep the selection varied. Up to six distinct signals per category, with at most three per team.Result statistics require at least five known completed matches. They use the last ten recorded results across all competitions, or the last eight away results. Future, special and invalid results are excluded; missing results can interrupt real-world sequences, so streaks refer to recorded results. 10+ means at least ten within the window.
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored, or goals conceded in conceding cards, on the same 0–6 scale. Six or more goals use maximum height; zero retains a small marker. Colour shows the result: teal = win, amber = draw, red = loss. In event and streak cards, solid bars mark the event and faded bars mark its absence. Hover for the date, full score and event. xG and points cards compare their two inputs, not a fabricated history.
xG Difference uses the observed pre-match Playing style averages already shown for this fixture. Window size is not xG coverage, and the two averages can have different denominators. Result statistics use completed matches recorded up to now; their window can differ from the Playing style profile. Season points and xPts are not included here.
Headlines
-
Trend
Deportivo La Coruna
89%
Both teams scored
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Both teams scored -
Insight
Osasuna
3
Clean sheets
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals scored · W/D/L colours
Solid = Clean sheet -
Alert
Osasuna
2.0
Goals conceded per match
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Goals conceded · W/D/L colours
Defence
Streaks
Not enough recorded data for this category yet.
Team strength
Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna
45
L90 StrengthIn forecast
46
45
Current StrengthIn forecast
46
40
AttackIn forecast
50
57
DefenceIn forecast
50
21
Form indexContext
31
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisOsasuna
Attack+4%
Defense risk−15%
Both teams face a more favorable matchup than their league-average baseline.
Playing style
Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna
1.44
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.11
1.33
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.00
1.08
xGVia Att/Def
1.52
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.43
+0.36
Goals minus xGContext
-0.41
89%
Scored inContext
67%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
33%
11.67
ShotsContext
10.78
4.33
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.33
37%
On target shareContext
40%
7.89
Shots in the boxContext
7.63
64%
Box shareContext
64%
12%
ConversionContext
10%
1.71
OffsidesContext
2.63
12.56
Shots allowedContext
13.22
4.33
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.89
3.11
BlocksContext
3.89
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
69%
Save rateContext
51%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
444
PassesContext
390
376
Accurate passesContext
316
85%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.79
Team ratingContext
6.54
13.00
FoulsContext
14.67
11.89
Fouls sufferedContext
12.33
1.78
Yellow cardsContext
2.67
0.22
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.40
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
1.08
xGVia Att/Def
1.42
1.15
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.31
+0.32
Goals minus xGContext
-0.42
90%
Scored inContext
60%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
11.10
ShotsContext
10.80
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.40
38%
On target shareContext
41%
7.60
Shots in the boxContext
7.56
66%
Box shareContext
64%
13%
ConversionContext
9%
1.63
OffsidesContext
2.44
11.80
Shots allowedContext
12.50
4.10
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.80
3.00
BlocksContext
3.70
3.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.00
69%
Save rateContext
53%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
46%
455
PassesContext
373
389
Accurate passesContext
298
85%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.77
Team ratingContext
6.54
12.80
FoulsContext
15.20
11.50
Fouls sufferedContext
12.80
1.70
Yellow cardsContext
2.60
0.20
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Deportivo La Coruna
DLDLD
Rest9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,017 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 21 · 3 pts vs 6.7 for an average club · -3.7 vs expected
Osasuna
LLDLW
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel552 km1,415 km in 14d
Schedule load6%Low
Form 31 · 4 pts vs 6.3 for an average club · -2.6 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Deportivo La Coruna |
Osasuna |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 9La Liga 2026-2027, 24 Oct | 7La Liga 2026-2027, 26 Oct |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 552 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,017 km | 1,415 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4.8 | 4.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Deportivo La Coruna
Last XI · not confirmed
13Leo Román(G)
12G. Quagliata
22B. Ede
20J. Giménez
23Ximo Navarro
14Riki Rodríguez
8Diego Villares
21Mario Soriano
19Luismi Cruz
32B. Nsongo
10Peke
Osasuna
Last XI · not confirmed
13Aitor Fernández(G)
23Abel Bretones
22F. Boyomo
24Catena
19V. Rosier
16Moi Gómez
8Iker Muñoz
7Moncayola
21J. Dubasin
17A. Budimir
14Rubén García
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Deportivo La Coruna
No reported absences
Osasuna
No reported absences
Total impact vs full squads
- Deportivo La Coruna+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Osasuna+0.0 pp
From eScored squad data: each player's weight is his role (core 3, starter 2, rotation 1, depth 0.5) times his share of minutes. Defenders and keepers count to the defence line, forwards to attack, midfielders half to each. EloLambda turns the lost share into fewer goals scored and more conceded (weight 0.1); the totals show how that moves the result chances.
Home / Away this season
Deportivo La Coruna · Home
1.20points per game · 5 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-3-1
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.00
Osasuna · Away
0.75points per game · 4 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-3
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 3.75
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 3 this season
| Opponent | Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Levante | D 1–1 H | D 0–0 H |
| Real Betis | D 1–1 H | L 2–5 A |
| Getafe | D 1–1 A | W 1–0 H |
| Points | 3 of 9 · 1.00 per game | 4 of 9 · 1.33 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.44 | 1.11 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 2.00 | |
| Match goals | 2.78 | 3.11 | 2.70 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% | |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 44% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 33% | |
| Games | 9 | 9 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.44 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.90 | |
| Match goals | 2.78 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 40% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 11% | 40% | |
| Games | 9 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.22 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.44 | 4.50 | |
| Match total | 10.66 | 8.50 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 56% 5/9 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 9.5 | 56% 5/9 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 38% 3/8 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.11 | 2.67 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.11 | 4.67 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 78% 7/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Over 4.5 | 33% 3/9 | 56% 5/9 | |
| Deportivo La Coruna | Osasuna | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.80 | 4.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.40 | 4.22 | |
| Match total | 10.20 | 8.22 | 9.91 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 30% 3/10 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.00 | 2.60 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 3.80 | 4.50 | 4.73 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Goal timing
Deportivo La Coruna9 games · scored 13 · conceded 12
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
Osasuna9 games · scored 10 · conceded 18
1
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
Deportivo La Coruna10 games · scored 14 · conceded 14
1
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
Osasuna10 games · scored 10 · conceded 19
1
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
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